SCP-2820 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2820
Expected annual
$205.3M
One-time setup
$365.7M
Annual recurring
$180.6M
Personnel
24
One-time capital and contingency expenses are dominated by hardened containment, long-term R&D and catastrophic-response reserves (~$3.66e8). Recurring annual costs are dominated by daily per-incident response, legal/cover operations, amnestic administration and forensic work (~$1.81e8/yr), producing a high expected annual expenditure when adverse scenarios are included.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $365.7M
Catastrophic Response Reserve $275.0M
[#20] Emergency catastrophic-response reserve for very high-cost global interventions (one-time fund).
Long Term R And D Program $55.0M
[#19] One-time program fund for extended multi-year R&D to neutralize Kalki (startup/endowment portion).
Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#24] Unallocated contingency / classified reserve fund (one-time).
Equipment $5.2M
[#2, #8, #9, #10, #11, #17, #22] Faraday/local RF shielding, cybersecurity/secure terminals hardware, high-resolution imaging hardware, remote manipulators, HPC cluster hardware, memetic-mitigation equipment, archival hardware.
Transportation Assets $5.0M
[#21] Purchase of helicopters/airlift and secure ground vehicles (one-time asset acquisition).
Facilities $3.0M
[#1] Hardened containment vault upgrade (Keter-grade cell).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.1M
[#4, #14] Precision climate-control / vibration isolation and initial amnestic production facility buildout.
Power And Ups $300K
[#3] Redundant UPS and on-site diesel generator plant (one-time capital).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $180.6M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $50.2M/yr
[#16, #18] Legal/diplomatic/bribery/compensation reserves and communications blackout / media operations / cover-story campaigns.
Logistics And Transport $47.0M/yr
[#13, #21] Dedicated rapid-response field teams (per-incident deployments multiplied to annual expectation) and transport leases/charters/maintenance.
Administrative Overhead $30.1M/yr
[#25] Administrative overhead (estimated at ~20% of personnel + operational recurring costs).
Amnestics And Medical $21.9M/yr
[#14] Per-incident amnestic production, medical monitoring, administration costs (annualized for ~1 event/day assumption).
Forensic And Mortuary $20.1M/yr
[#15] Forensic cleanup, body disposition, mortuary logistics and evidence control (annualized per-incident scale).
Long Term R And D Annual $6.0M/yr
[#19] Ongoing multi-year R&D expenditures for neutralization efforts (annual operations budget).
Staff Wages $2.8M/yr
[#5, #6, #7] On-site armed security (12 guards), technical/operational staff (4 techs) and scientific research staff (~8 researchers) including benefits/overhead.
Research And Monitoring $1.9M/yr
[#11, #12, #8] HPC cluster operations/licensing, continuous global target monitoring subscriptions/analysis pipeline, cybersecurity monitoring/IDS incident response.
Facilities Maintenance $260K/yr
[#2, #3, #4] Maintenance/energy for Faraday/shielding, generator fuel/maintenance, HVAC/climate-control systems.
Supplies And Consumables $162K/yr
[#6, #10, #23] Spare parts/consumables, tooling replacements for manipulators, routine operating supplies (PPE, batteries, small tools).
Memetic Mitigation $125K/yr
[#17] Refresher training, PPE replacements, memetic dampeners and protocol maintenance.
Data Archival $60K/yr
[#22] Off-site backups, secure storage and continuous logging operations.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $180.6M/yr
68.0% probability / year
Normal year with daily firings managed under planned operations and standard per-incident costs; no large-scale escalation or catastrophic interventions.
daily_targeting_events routine containment/responses
🚨 Frequent High Cost Incidents $246.3M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$65.7M vs baseline
Year with a cluster of higher-complexity incidents or many international/high-cost targets driving per-incident costs above planned averages.
international_incident_clusters complex_forensic_or_legal_cases
🚨 Catastrophic Response $430.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Decision/year in which Foundation opts for a large-scale kinetic/strategic intervention to disable or remove SCP-2820, triggering massive one-off costs and geopolitical expenditures.
decision_to_disable_device kinetic_strike_or_global_intervention
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 24/7 armed guard presence (3 shifts × 4 guards) with Keter-level clearance. [#5]
Engineer / Maintenance 4 Site technicians for power, HVAC, robotics and routine maintenance. [#6]
Research Scientist 8 AI specialists, physicists and anomaly researchers (6–10 staff range used). [#7]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and per-incident multipliers, enabling mid-confidence estimates; large uncertainty remains in incident complexity, geopolitical choices (catastrophic responses), and per-incident frequencies, so totals are approximate.
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