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SCP-2831 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2831
Expected annual
$2.9M
One-time setup
$6.9M
Annual recurring
$2.3M
Personnel
15
Upfront capital to establish a secure 1 km² containment site and lab is approximately $6.9M, dominated by land, fencing, lab build-out and a multi-million contingency reserve; recurring operating costs are about $2.3M/yr driven primarily by security and rapid-response hazmat staffing and cover/legal operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.9M
Emergency Contingency Reserve $3.5M
[#24] Emergency containment reserve (midpoint of $2M–$5M range) kept available for large-scale escalations.
Facilities $1.3M
[#1, #3] Land acquisition ($900k) and perimeter fence installation (~$400k midpoint) for a secure 1 km² containment area.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.2M
[#15, #16] On-site research lab build-out (~$750k) plus core analytical equipment (sequencer, mass spec, microscopes, ~$425k).
Equipment $910K
[#5, #9, #11, #12, #13, #19, #25, #26] Fixed surveillance installation (~$250k), vehicles and outfitting (~$250k), drone fleet (~$40k), remote manipulation hardware (~$150k), hazmat suits/decon (~$80k), heavy removal equipment (~$100k), generator/UPS (~$20k), secure communications hardware (~$20k).
Hiring And Background Checks $25K
[#27] Initial hiring budget for recruiting and background checks (~$25k one-time).
Initial Training Program $25K
[#28] Initial instructor-led training program and setup (~$25k one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#7, #8] On-site security staffing (~6 guards + 1 supervisor incl. benefits ≈ $390k/yr) and rapid-response hazmat team (~8 operatives incl. benefits ≈ $832k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#17, #23] Research consumables and operating costs (~$100k/yr) and monitoring/search for other colonies (aerial surveys/field teams ~$200k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#10, #18] Vehicle fuel/maintenance/replacement budget (~$50k/yr) and transformed-human handling/removal/disposition budgeting (~$200k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#21, #22, #29] Public-relations/cover-story (~$100k/yr midpoint), local liaison/covert payments (~$100k/yr midpoint) and legal retainers/contingency (~$50k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $70K/yr
[#4, #20] Perimeter fence maintenance/vegetation clearing (~$20k/yr) and ecological management/replanting (~$50k/yr).
Training And Drills $50K/yr
[#28] Recurring refresher training and exercises (~$50k/yr).
Energy And Fuel $45K/yr
[#25] Electricity, generator fuel and operational energy costs (~$45k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $35K/yr
[#14, #30] Hazmat consumables and suit replacement (~$10k/yr) plus small consumables and routine supplies (~$25k/yr).
Surveillance Monitoring $30K/yr
[#6] Surveillance monitoring, data storage, calibration, sensor replacement and remote operator time (~$30k/yr).
Personnel Welfare $20K/yr
[#31] Staff housing, travel allowances and mental health/counseling (~$20k/yr).
Remote Manipulation Spares $15K/yr
[#12] Ongoing spares/repairs for remote manipulation equipment (~$15k/yr).
Staff Vetting $10K/yr
[#27] Ongoing security vetting and periodic rechecks (~$10k/yr).
It And Comms Maintenance $5K/yr
[#26] Licences, secure-server/cloud backups and communications maintenance (~$5k/yr).
Land Lease Alternative $0/yr
[#2] Optional alternative: annual land lease (~$20k–$50k/yr). Set to $0 here because baseline assumes land purchase; retained as an accounted alternative.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.3M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal year with containment held, routine operations and no major incidents.
no breaches routine research and maintenance regular patrols and cover operations
🚨 Minor Incident $2.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized breach or a small number of transmutation incidents requiring extra response and cleanup.
single fence breach 1–3 transformed humans needing removal overtime and limited extra logistics
🚨 Major Breach $4.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Multiple colonies or an extended breach requiring regional mobilization and emergency containment measures.
multiple breaches spread into nearby populated area large-scale mobilization of teams
🚨 Catastrophic Spread $102.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Uncontrolled spread into population centers requiring large-scale ecological remediation and public interventions.
widespread transmutation events mass conversions in towns/cities national-level emergency response
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#7] 6 perimeter guards plus 1 onsite supervisor (salaries/benefits included in staff_wages).
Rapid-response Hazmat Operative 8 [#8] Specialized operatives for breach response (salaries/benefits included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items for most costs (payroll, equipment, facilities) so aggregate estimates are fairly grounded; ranges and emergency/contingency items (possible undiscovered colonies, catastrophic spread) introduce significant uncertainty, hence medium confidence.
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