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SCP-2837 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2837
Expected annual
$6.6M
One-time setup
$35.1M
Annual recurring
$6.5M
Personnel
41
One-time capital and contingency requirements total approximately $35.1M, driven primarily by program-level catastrophic reserve, site-specific construction and major instrumentation. Annual recurring costs are roughly $6.47M/yr, driven by staff wages (security and research), ongoing research operations, and maintenance/contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $35.1M
Catastrophic Reserve $25.0M
[#25] Program-level catastrophic containment/demolition/long-term remediation fund (recommended allocation).
Equipment $3.5M
[#5, #6, #7, #8, #10, #11, #12, #17, #21] Suspension/positioning rigs, telepresence platforms, initial robot tooling, environmental sensor suites, power & UPS/generator infrastructure, secure communications hardware, CCTV/IDS hardware, initial PPE, and transport systems.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.9M
[#19, #26, #27, #28] Instrumentation and fundamental-research capital (TEM/SEM, custom detectors, HPC adaptation), SOP development/setup, archival setup, and initial biological-research stand-up costs.
Facilities $2.7M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #9, #18] Containment cell construction for Sites 17/24/37/50, HVAC upgrades, and secure waste-vault capacity; chosen point estimates from analyst ranges.
Contingency Seed $1.0M
[#24] One-time seed for the rapid-response reserve to enable immediate small-incident actions.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.5M/yr
Staff Wages $3.1M/yr
[#13, #14, #29] Incremental security staffing across sites, research staffing (leads + technicians), and program management/oversight salaries.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#8, #19, #16, #28, #27, #26, #15] Environmental monitoring calibration/ops, instrumentation operations/compute costs, medical/occupational health monitoring, recurring small biological research, archival/data management, SOP training costs, and D-class operations/associated recurring costs.
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#22, #23] Administrative/legal/cover-story expenditures and local community mitigation/public-relations fund.
Contingency Reserve $500K/yr
[#24] Annual contribution to rapid-response reserve for small incidents and equipment replacement.
Supplies And Consumables $465K/yr
[#6, #7, #20, #17, #18] Telepresence/robot maintenance & consumables, sacrificial tooling replacement, experimental consumables, PPE consumables and waste-disposal consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $340K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #12] Ongoing HVAC/energy costs and maintenance, power-system maintenance/fuel contracts, secure-communications maintenance, and CCTV/intrusion system maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#21, #30] Transport-system maintenance/ops and program-wide miscellaneous/location-specific transport premiums and contractor markups.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.5M/yr
91.8% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine research, maintenance, and staffing costs only.
routine operations scheduled experiments no containment incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $7.2M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure, small contamination event, or a short-notice replacement/repair requiring emergency purchases and short quarantines.
robot/equipment failure localized thermal/particle event small contamination requiring replacement
🚨 Catastrophic Combined Instances $56.5M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Accidental co-location/transport error leading to combined-instance effects, wide-area biological decay requiring demolition, remediation, and long-term monitoring.
accidental co-location during transport major containment breach with environmental remediation
👥 Personnel 41 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 27 [#13] Incremental 24/7 security coverage calculated from the allocated security staffing budget (approx. $1.6M/yr at ~$60k loaded per FTE).
Research Scientist 4 [#14] Lead researchers (one per site) funded within the scientific staffing line.
Lab Technician 8 [#14] Technicians for telepresence operations and experiment support (two per site).
Program Manager / Executive Staff 2 [#29] Program-level coordination and oversight staff funded within program management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and explicit recommended estimates for many categories, enabling a reasonable mid-confidence estimate; however, significant uncertainties remain due to anomalous particle interactions, R&D escalation risk, and the subjective choice of point estimates within broad ranges.
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