SCP-2846 — SCP-2846 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2846 Keter ? low confidence

SCP-2846

Expected annual

$431.2M

One-time setup

$1.2B

Annual recurring

$382.0M

Personnel

450

Upfront capital and retrofit costs are ~ $1.24B driven by ship conversions, sensor grid deployment, tactical-nuke infrastructure, and an emergency reserve; recurring operations, crew, sensors, R&D, munitions replenishment and cover/compensation programs run into the high hundreds of millions per year (~$382M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2B

Tactical Nuke Infrastructure $300.0M

[#10] Hardened storage, security, permissive-control and special infrastructure for tactical nuclear device custody.

Vessel Retrofit And Armament $200.0M

[#1] Conversion/refit and armament integration for two ocean-going containment vessels (SCPS Pristine & SCPS Nikolai).

Emergency Contingency Reserve $200.0M

[#25] Liquid capital reserve to surge ships, aircraft, specialized munitions, contract salvors and environmental response.

Sensor Network Deployment $175.0M

[#7] Wide-area underwater hydrophone/sonar buoy and fixed array deployment across Gulf-Atlantic including seabed moorings and comms.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $111.0M

[#15, #16] One-time environmental lab setup and initial R&D programs for non-nuclear countermeasures and marine science.

Heavy Munitions Procurement $105.0M

[#9] Initial stockpile procurement of naval shells, missiles, torpedoes and secure magazines/handling equipment.

Navy Compromise Arrangement $50.0M

[#6] One-time compromise/arrangement payment(s) for initial access or secrecy agreements with naval/deep-sea assets.

Transmitter Procurement And Installation $25.0M

[#4] Kensington-Berryman high-power transmitter acquisition, shipboard installation and adaptation to anomalous protocol.

Rov Auv Fleet $25.0M

[#8] Deep-water ROV/AUV fleet procurement and launch/recovery support equipment.

Covert Liaison One Time Payments $20.0M

[#18] One-time large payments or retainer fees to foreign ports/navies for covert liaison or access.

Evidence Storage And Containment $11.0M

[#22] Facilities for long-term hazardous/anomalous sample containment, cold storage and specialized vaults.

Medical And Debrief Outfitting $10.0M

[#13] Shipboard and shore-side medical/debrief/quarantine outfitting, trauma bays and isolation capability.

Cover Story Setup $2.8M

[#17] One-time setup costs for initial large-scale cover/ misinformation/public-affairs campaign and legal scaffolding.

Secure Servers Initial $2.0M

[#21] One-time secure server/network hardware purchase for classified sensor and comms archival.

Facilities $0

[]

Equipment $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $382.0M/yr

Replacement Compensation Fund $100.0M/yr

[#24] Annual reserve for civilian losses, compensation to shipping companies, fisheries and tourism reparations.

Ship Operations $60.0M/yr

[#2] Fuel, routine maintenance, port fees, spare parts and operational costs for both vessels.

Salvage And Evacuation Contingency $50.0M/yr

[#14] Annual reserved contingency to fund civilian rescue, evacuation, tow/salvage and immediate incident operations.

Research And Monitoring $30.5M/yr

[#15, #16] Ongoing environmental monitoring and continued R&D into non-nuclear countermeasures and analysis.

Munitions Replenishment $27.5M/yr

[#9] Annual replenishment stock for shells, missiles and torpedoes consumed in engagements/testing.

Tactical Nuke Security $27.5M/yr

[#10] Security, maintenance, testing and cover-program costs associated with tactical nuclear custody.

Staff Wages $20.0M/yr

[#3] MTF Tau-11 and premium special-ops salaries, training pipelines and benefits.

Intelligence And Covert Payments $16.0M/yr

[#18] Covert payments, diplomatic liaison officers and black-budget coordination for port/navy access.

Salvage Disposal $12.5M/yr

[#23] Towing/disposal of wreckage and hazardous-material handling contingency per year.

Cover Story And Legal $10.5M/yr

[#17] Ongoing cover-story maintenance, legal counsel, misinformation and public-affairs operations.

Navy Cooperation Liaison $5.5M/yr

[#6] Ongoing liaison, leasing/access fees and technical coordination with Navy/undersea sensor owners.

Training Exercises $4.5M/yr

[#19] Regular MTF and crew drills, live-fire exercises and coordination with SAR/port authorities.

Transmitter Operations And Comms $4.2M/yr

[#4, #5] Transmitter maintenance/operations plus specialized comms crew, encryption and power consumption.

Medical Staffing And Quarantine $3.0M/yr

[#13] Shipboard and shore-side medical staffing, medevac readiness, quarantine upkeep and mental-health follow-up.

Personnel Replacement And Psychological Care $3.0M/yr

[#20] Replacement hiring, pensions, psychological care and enhanced security vetting.

Supplies And Consumables $2.8M/yr

[#12] Class-C amnestic production, storage readiness and small consumables; per-year readiness costs.

Data Handling And Archival $2.8M/yr

[#21] Secure data storage, analysis teams, archival redundancy and classified network costs.

Evidence Storage Upkeep $1.8M/yr

[#22] Upkeep costs for hazardous-sample containment, cold storage and specialized vault systems.

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

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Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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Nuclear Detonation Liability Reserve $0/yr

[#11] Contingency liability costs are not expensed annually unless detonation occurs; modeled in scenarios.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $382.0M/yr

81.8% probability / year

Normal year with routine patrols, maintenance, R&D and cover operations; no major incidents or detonations.

regular_patrols sensor_alerts routine_maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $457.0M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline

Single major engagement causing significant salvage, munitions use, amnestic deployment and limited ship damage/loss.

single_ship_loss cruise_liner_engagement localized_salvage

🚨 Major Breach $982.0M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$600.0M vs baseline

Multiple-ship engagement with heavy damage, large-scale salvage, ship replacement/refit and major compensation liabilities.

multiple_concurrent_entities multi-vessel_losses large_salvage_and_replacement

🚨 Catastrophic Nuclear Detonation $10.4B/yr

0.2% probability / year +$10.0B vs baseline

Detonation of the tactical nuclear device with massive environmental remediation, international reparations and long-term monitoring.

authorized_nuclear_detonation extensive_environmental_damage

👥 Personnel 450 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	150	[#3] MTF Tau-11 deployed across vessels; premium special-ops personnel.
Ship Crew / Sailors	250	[#2] Operational crews for SCPS Pristine, SCPS Nikolai and attendant support vessels.
Research Scientist	20	[#15, #16, #21] Environmental monitoring, R&D teams and data analysts.
Engineer / Maintenance	15	[#1, #8] Ship/weapon/ROV maintenance and technical support staff.
Medical Officer	5	[#13] Shipboard and shore-side medics and quarantine staff.
Administrative Staff	5	[#17, #24] Legal, cover-story, public-affairs and compensation administration.
Intelligence / Liaison Officer	5	[#6, #18] Covert liaison, diplomatic and naval coordination officers.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates use broad ranges from analyst notes; SCP-2846's sporadic, high-impact appearances and contingent nuclear scenarios create large tails of uncertainty, so costs—especially incident and detonation liabilities—are highly uncertain.

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