SCP-2845 Anomalous ~ medium confidence
SCP-2845
Expected annual
$39.5M
One-time setup
$379.9M
Annual recurring
$35.1M
Personnel
91
One-time capital of approximately $380M driven by site construction, reinforced containment, cryogenic chamber and contingency reserves; recurring operations roughly $35.1M/yr dominated by staff wages, facility maintenance, energy, and contingency/insurance costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $379.9M
Facilities $267.5M
[#1, #2, #10, #28] Site acquisition, earthworks, reinforced civil construction for Site-100, installation of lead-hexagram floors and specialized ritual construction oversight tooling and verification.
Equipment $71.5M
[#3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #9, #11, #12, #13, #14, #16, #17, #19, #21] Central chamber vessel, refrigeration plant, electrical infrastructure and backup generators, gas-handling systems, explosion-mitigation hardware, ventilation/scrubbers, hazardous-material setup, robotics/remote manipulators, monitoring/control SCADA and sensors, security equipment, medical facility setup, initial PPE procurement, transfer vehicles, and IT/hardened communications.
Contingency Reserve $30.0M
[#24] Contingency / liability reserve fund sized as an upfront emergency and cleanup reserve.
Decommissioning And Waste Disposal $10.0M
[#26] End-of-life decommissioning and hazardous waste disposal planning and initial provisioning.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#20] Research equipment and laboratory buildout for experiments, analytical instruments, cryogenic sample storage and initial consumables stock.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $35.1M/yr
Facilities Maintenance $15.0M/yr
[#25] Maintenance, spare parts, lifecycle replacements and OEM service contracts for cryogenic systems, pumps, compressors and structural upkeep.
Staff Wages $9.8M/yr
[#14, #15, #16] Security staffing (approx. 60 guards), scientific/containment staff (~25 FTE), and onsite medical staffing.
Cover Story And Legal $2.0M/yr
[#22] Front companies, PR, legal fees, government liaison and deniability operations.
Insurance And Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#24] Annual insurance, actuarial costs, and ongoing contingency reserve contributions.
Energy Consumption $1.7M/yr
[#6] Continuous electricity for multi-MW-equivalent cryogenics, pumps, controls and site systems.
Logistics And Transport $1.3M/yr
[#19, #27] Transport operations, secure transfer logistics, housing/travel stipends and personnel support for remote-site staff.
Misc Operations $1.0M/yr
[#30] Office overhead, security clearances, travel and small capital replacements.
Research And Monitoring $490K/yr
[#20, #23, #13] Research consumables, environmental monitoring, and calibration/spare sensors for instrumentation.
Psychological Support $400K/yr
[#29] Counseling, retention bonuses, and psychological care for exposed staff.
It And Cybersecurity $300K/yr
[#21] Hardened network operations, classified backups, and cybersecurity staffing/ops.
Gas Handling $250K/yr
[#7] Annual replenishment and consumables for hydrogen/helium/ammonia and purifier systems.
Robotics Operations $200K/yr
[#12] Operation, maintenance and spares for remote manipulators and inspection robots.
Explosion Mitigation $150K/yr
[#8] Maintenance and periodic replacement of blast vents, recombiners, inert gas stores and related safety systems.
Training And Drills $150K/yr
[#18] Regular drills, contractor exercises, and SOP development costs.
Hazmat Monitoring $125K/yr
[#11] Ongoing lead monitoring, worker health surveillance and hazardous waste compliance costs.
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#17] PPE, suit maintenance consumables and decontamination consumables.
Ventilation Maintenance $100K/yr
[#9] AHU, scrubber consumables and effluent treatment maintenance.
Ritual Audits $50K/yr
[#28] Annual audits and verification of ritual geometry/tolerances.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $35.1M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; all recurring operations proceed as planned.
routine operations scheduled maintenance annual drills
🚨 Minor Incident $40.1M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized equipment failure, small leak, robot loss or limited contamination event requiring cleanup and temporary containment suspension.
cryocooler or pump failure localized H2/NH3 leak robotic manipulator loss
🚨 Major Breach $235.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring major repairs or partial replacement of the central chamber, large-scale cleanup, and broad deniability operations.
catastrophic cryogenic/gas-handling failure structural breach from detonation or catastrophic leak
👥 Personnel 91 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#14] 24/7 armed security force (estimated 60 guards per analyst notes).
Research Scientist / Containment Specialist / Engineer 25 [#15] Multidisciplinary scientific and technical staff (~25 FTEs) including cryogenic engineers and chemists.
Medical Officer 6 [#16] Onsite medical and emergency personnel staffing to cover toxic/cold injuries and triage.
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed analyst notes provide many line-item estimates, but key drivers (chamber volume, actual heat leak, and required redundancy) are highly uncertain; anomaly-specific risks (breach behavior) add further variance.
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