SCP-2858 — SCP-2858 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2858 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-2858

Expected annual

$4.3M

One-time setup

$2.7M

Annual recurring

$4.2M

Personnel

One-time capital/setup costs are approximately $2.72M driven by locker retrofit, lab buildout, reserves and initial PR/IT/PPE; recurring annual operations are approximately $4.28M driven by staffing, amnestics, research/monitoring, rewards, legal/cover operations, and disposal.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.7M

Scaling Reserve One Time $1.0M

[#30] Emergency reserve to buy lockers/staff/equipment in a sudden spike scenario (program reserve).

Facilities $750K

[#1] Retrofit/installation of ~100 individual ventilated, sensor-equipped, secondary-containment lockers with spill trays and plumbing; estimate chosen midpoint from $300k–$1.2M range.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $400K

[#9] Full analytical chemical lab capital (GC-MS, HPLC, FTIR, ICP-MS, fume hoods, biosafety cabinet) using the low-end quoted equipment estimate.

Insurance Reserve One Time $250K

[#26] Initial internal insurance/indemnity reserve fund (lower-bound selected of $250k).

Pr Rollout Initial $100K

[#15] One-time public relations / marketing rollout to seed the cover (fake ads, social seeding, shell company setup).

Equipment $60K

[#23, #27] Initial protective storage cabinets/refrigerators ($30k) and communications/security hardware (secure radios/encryption kits $30k).

Hazmat Ppe Initial $50K

[#6] Initial HAZMAT PPE and decontamination kit purchases for response teams.

Inventory And It Initial $50K

[#28] Initial database/software development for inventory, chain-of-custody and secure logs (development cost).

Training Development Initial $50K

[#22] Initial SOP development and training materials creation.

Hotline Setup Initial $10K

[#12] One-time telecom/IVR setup for the automated hotline (estimated midpoint of $5k–$20k).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.2M/yr

Staff Wages $890K/yr

[#4, #5] MTF B-2 monitoring/retrieval team compensation (~8 operators @ $70k + 30% benefits -> $730k) plus security guards/armed-transport staffing and associated labor components (~4 guards + benefits included in the $160k figure).

Research And Monitoring $600K/yr

[#18, #19] Data analysis/meta-analysis team funding (~$400k) and field entomology/social research programs (~$200k) for ongoing epidemiological and field studies.

Amnestic Production $500K/yr

[#14] B-Class amnestic production and administration for civilians (~$500k/yr selected within $250k–$1M guidance).

Cover Story And Legal $380K/yr

[#15, #16, #20] Ongoing PR/cover maintenance (~$30k/yr), front-company maintenance (~$200k/yr), and legal retainer/risk mitigation (selected conservative retainer $150k/yr).

D Class Program $375K/yr

[#8] D-class recruitment/processing/housing/medical/legal overhead for ~10 D-class per year (midpoint chosen between $250k–$500k).

Logistics And Transport $200K/yr

[#17] Retrieval logistics: field team travel, fuel, covert ops expenses and accommodation (~$200k/yr).

Medical And Trauma $200K/yr

[#7] On-call trauma specialist retainers, medevac, emergency care contingency budget for severe casualties (~$200k/yr chosen as baseline contingency).

Environmental Remediation Reserve $200K/yr

[#24] Annual reserve for remediation after severe contamination events (soil/surface remediation and monitoring).

Waste Neutralization Rnd $200K/yr

[#29] Dedicated R&D to develop safe neutralization/neutralising techniques for unknown/fictitious compounds and biological effluents (~$200k/yr project funding).

Supplies And Consumables $105K/yr

[#6, #10] Annual PPE replacement/restock (~$30k) and laboratory consumables/service contracts (~$75k).

Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr

[#3] Pro-rated site overhead for Low-Value wing: security systems, building amortization, site utilities and insurance allocated to SCP-2858 containment.

Waste Disposal $100K/yr

[#11] Professional hazardous chemical/biological waste disposal and special handling for persistent pollutants (budgeted ~$100k/yr).

Monetary Rewards $100K/yr

[#13] Cash rewards for returns/turn-ins (baseline budgeted at $100 per return with ~1,000 returns -> $100k/yr).

Incident Investigation And Forensics $100K/yr

[#21] Annual contingency for autopsy/forensics and hazardous-sample-safe investigations (~$100k/yr chosen).

Information Security $75K/yr

[#25] Monitoring social media/forums, automated scraping, takedowns and staffing for OPSEC (~$75k/yr).

Training And Drills $40K/yr

[#22] Recurring staff training, HAZMAT drills and SOP refreshers (~$40k/yr).

Hotline Operations $30K/yr

[#12] Annual telecom/IVR hosting, monitoring and partial staffing for the 24/7 hotline (~$30k/yr lower-bound estimate).

Inventory And It Operations $20K/yr

[#28] Hosting/maintenance/backups and secure IT operations for the tracking database (~$20k/yr).

Communications Security Maintenance $15K/yr

[#27] Recurring licensing and maintenance for encrypted comms and secure devices (~$15k/yr).

Stored Specimen Maintenance $10K/yr

[#23] Consumables and monitoring for retained research specimens in climate-controlled cabinets (~$10k/yr).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.2M/yr

90.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with no major containment breaches or scaling events; all recurring costs only.

steady appearance rate no severe contamination events cover story functioning

🚨 Minor Incident $4.7M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$440K vs baseline

One or a few localized severe incidents requiring emergency medical response, forensic investigation and site remediation.

severe application event (e.g., instance similar to #27) small-scale contamination or multiple hospitalizations public-facing incident requiring legal/forensic response

🚨 Sudden Spike $6.8M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline

Significant increase in appearance rate overwhelming baseline capacity, requiring rapid scale-up of lockers, lab capacity, staffing, payouts and large remediation operations.

sharp rise in instance frequency geographically concentrated outbreaks media attention forcing increased payouts and rapid procurement

👥 Personnel 12 total

Role	Count	Notes
MTF Agent / Operator	8	[#4] Rotating monitoring and retrieval team (B-2) operators; compensation included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / Guard	4	[#5] Armed/insured guards for seizures and transport; compensation included in staff_wages (note includes vehicle-related costs in the bracketed estimate).

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and reasonable midpoints for many entries, but appearance rate uncertainty, remediation scale variance and wide ranges for several line items reduce precision; chosen estimates use conservative mid-/lower-bound selections where ranges were wide.

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