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SCP-2867 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2867
Expected annual
$4.2M
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$4.1M
Personnel
37
One-time capital costs of approximately $1.63M for containment, vehicles, suits, and research setup; recurring annual costs driven mainly by staffed readiness and security (~$4.12M/yr), with large per-incident outbreak costs (tens of thousands to millions) modeled separately.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Facilities $800K
[#2, #17] Containment room upgrades (~$300,000) and amnestic production/storage facility setup (~$500,000).
Equipment $525K
[#1, #3, #4, #16, #24] Airtight stainless-steel canister + certified locker (~$60,000), UPS integration (~$5,000), 6 Level-A reusable HAZMAT suit systems (~$60,000), 2 armored/sample-transfer vehicles (~$300,000), secure data/memetic-safe IT setup one-time (~$100,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#10, #11] Lab instrumentation and observation suite (~$150,000) and diagnostic assay development/validation one-time (~$150,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.1M/yr
Staff Wages $2.9M/yr
[#6, #8, #9, #19] MTF-Rho-87 standing staffing ~20 FTEs fully-burdened (~$1.9M/yr), Site-76 dedicated security guards (12 @ ~$45k each ≈ $540k/yr), specialist research team (3 FTEs ≈ $360k/yr), public health liaison funding included (~$120k/yr) — combined into staff wage line.
Contingency Overhead $600K/yr
[#25] Contingency/insurance overhead estimated at ~20% of annual operating costs (analyst baseline ~ $3M → reserve ~$600,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#11, #15, #20] Production of test kits/assays (~$50,000/yr), ongoing surveillance and supply-chain monitoring in the Pacific Northwest (~$200,000/yr), wastewater/epidemiological environmental testing (~$50,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $152K/yr
[#5, #18, #22, #26] HAZMAT consumables, filter replacements and service (~$12,000/yr), baseline amnestic stockpile procurement (~$100,000/yr), staff medical screening and emergency treatment (~$30,000/yr), periodic destructive testing/sample replacement (~$10,000/yr).
Training And Drills $50K/yr
[#23] Regular training, drills, memetic-resistance education and MTF rehearsals (~$50,000/yr).
Psychological Aftercare $50K/yr
[#27] Psychological aftercare & liability fund for staff exposed to memetics (~$50,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#16] Maintenance, insurance and upkeep for mobile response vehicles (~$30,000/yr).
Disposal Retainer $10K/yr
[#12] Contracted medical/biowaste incineration retainer (~$10,000/yr). Per-kg disposal fees (~$3/kg) are charged per-incident and modeled in scenarios.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#3] Continuous power/electricity for refrigeration and room systems estimated at ~$3,000/yr (UPS one-time already accounted).
Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
[] Baseline cover-story/legal costs are handled per-incident and are modeled in scenario-specific costs (see legal_and_coverup_per_incident).
Per Incident Response $0/yr
[#7] Per-deployment MTF incident costs (travel, expendables, ordnance, contractors) are highly variable (~$25,000–$100,000 per incident); charged per incident and modeled in scenarios.
Farm Operation Per Event $0/yr
[#13] Farm eradication/containment operation costs are per-event (~$200,000–$1,000,000 per farm) and modeled in incident scenarios.
Legal And Coverup Per Incident $0/yr
[#14] Legal/cover-up, buyouts and PR costs (~$500,000–$2,000,000 per major public incident) are per-event and modeled in scenarios.
Emergency Disposal Reserve Per Event $0/yr
[#21] Emergency mass-disposal contingency (~$250,000 per large event) reserved for per-event activation; modeled in scenarios.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.1M/yr
81.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations, staffing, monitoring, and reserves but no major outbreak or large-scale field operations.
no_outbreaks routine_surveillance standard_training_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $4.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Single small out-of-containment event (household or single retail location) requiring a limited MTF deployment, targeted disposal, and small local amnestic/medical response.
single_household_exposure single_store_or_small_farm_contamination
🚨 Major Outbreak $6.0M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$1.9M vs baseline
Larger multi-site contamination or identified producing farm requiring farm eradication, mass disposal, large MTF mobilization, amnestic administration and major legal/cover operations.
industrial_farm_contamination widespread_retail_distribution public_exposure_and_media_scrutiny
👥 Personnel 37 total
Role Count Notes
MTF-Rho-87 (Operators/Medics/HAZMAT Techs) 20 [#6] Dedicated rapid-response tactical team on rotation; 20 FTEs as budgeted.
Security Officer / Site-76 Guards 12 [#8] 24/7 armed perimeter and access control rotation (12 guards to cover shifts).
Research Scientist (memeticist/microbiologist/behavioral analyst) 3 [#9] Specialist research team of 3 FTEs for containment research.
Public Health Liaison / Administrative Staff 2 [#19] Small covert liaison team and administrative support budgeted in recurring costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line-item estimates are provided by the analyst, but outbreak frequency and scale are highly uncertain (per-event costs vary from small to multi-million-dollar). Staffing and capital estimates are better constrained, while per-incident modelling carries uncertainty.
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