SCP-2892 — SCP-2892 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2892 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-2892

Expected annual

$83.8M

One-time setup

$118.0M

Annual recurring

$81.6M

Personnel

277

One-time setup and reserve acquisition costs are roughly $118,000,000, while annual recurring operations are approximately $81,592,500; primary drivers are continuous ship and aviation operations, personnel rotations, and contingency/reserve funding.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $118.0M

Equipment $71.0M

[#5, #8, #11, #12, #24] Frigate acquisition/modification ($10M), airframe acquisition/modification ($25M), initial weapons stockpile ($5M), rapid-response small craft purchase ($1M), replacement/attrition reserve vessel ($30M).

Facilities $25.0M

[#1] Site construction and disguise as Indonesian naval facility (~$25M planning figure).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $11.0M

[#15, #16, #17] R&D/amnestic production setup ($3M), initial optical/satellite sensor & comms installation ($4M), ROV/AUV and underwater sensor purchase ($4M).

Decommissioning $8.0M

[#29] Decommissioning and disposal/end-of-program (~$8M planning).

Legal Incident Reserve $2.0M

[#25] One-time incident reserve for covert legal/settlement actions (~$2M).

Initial Logistics Stockpile $1.0M

[#23] Initial logistics/spares/consumables stockpile (~$1M one-time).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $81.6M/yr

Maritime Air Operations $20.0M/yr

[#7] Continuous maritime air support non-wage operating costs (airframe maintenance, spares, flight hours) — planning split of ~$25M/yr; non-wage portion estimated ~$20M/yr.

Staff Wages $15.8M/yr

[#4, #7, #13, #22, #26] Aggregate personnel wages: frigate crew portion, maritime aircrew portion, MTF Gamma-6 rotations, local hires/contractors, watchfloor analysts (planning split of operating figures allocated to wages).

Contingency $10.6M/yr

[#28] Contingency buffer (~15% of recurring costs per analyst guidance) to cover unforeseen anomalous expenses and accelerated attrition.

Frigate Operations $9.0M/yr

[#4] Frigate operating non-wage costs (fuel/maintenance, ordnance training rounds, berthing fees) — planning split of ~$15M/yr operating; non-wage portion estimated ~$9M/yr.

Supplies And Consumables $6.3M/yr

[#10, #11, #12] Fuel and consumables for aviation and surface assets (~$5M/yr planning), munitions replenishment (~$1M/yr), small-craft maintenance/fuel (~$300k/yr).

Research And Monitoring $4.8M/yr

[#16, #17, #18] Imagery tasking & comms bandwidth (~$1M/yr), ROV/AUV maintenance & expendables (~$750k/yr), scientific research program (~$3M/yr).

Frigate Maintenance $4.0M/yr

[#6] Drydock maintenance & spare parts pool averaged (~$4M/yr planning).

Facilities Maintenance $3.8M/yr

[#2, #19] Site lease/port fees, utilities and ongoing base upkeep (~$750k/yr) plus storm-damage contingency/repairs (~$3M/yr planning).

Diplomatic Payments $2.0M/yr

[#3] Indonesian government agreement/covert payments and liaison program (~$2M/yr planning).

Logistics And Transport $1.5M/yr

[#23] Ongoing logistics, supply chain, spares replenishment and transport (~$1.5M/yr).

Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr

[#21, #25] Cover-story operations/AIS spoofing and deception cell (~$500k/yr) plus recurring legal/insurance/covert-liability team costs (~$750k/yr).

Air To Air Refueling $1.0M/yr

[#9] Tanker retainer (~$1M/yr planning); per-hour usage costs are additional contingency when used.

Salvage And Liability $1.0M/yr

[#20] Salvage, search-and-rescue and civilian liability baseline (~$1M/yr planning).

Medical And Evacuations $300K/yr

[#14] Boarding & interdiction medical, evacuation and temporary holding baseline (~$300k/yr planning).

Amnestic Production $200K/yr

[#15] Annual production/usage of Class B/C amnestics (~$200k/yr planning).

Environmental Compliance $150K/yr

[#27] Routine environmental monitoring & compliance (~$150k/yr planning).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $81.6M/yr

78.0% probability / year

Normal year with continuous operations, routine maintenance, research and cover-story activities; no major incidents.

no_major_incidents routine_maintenance standard_cover_operations

🚨 Minor Incident $83.6M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline

Localized storm damage, minor ship/airframe repair, medical evacuations and limited salvage/replacement consumables.

limited_storm_damage small_ship_attrition medical_evacuations

🚨 Major Breach $116.6M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$35.0M vs baseline

Dutchman event or hostile engagement resulting in loss/attrition of primary frigate or multiple aircraft and large salvage/legal costs.

frigate_loss multiple_asset_attrition large_salvage_operation

🚨 Political Exposure $91.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline

Loss of diplomatic cover or public exposure requiring extensive covert payments, legal settlements, relocation costs and increased security.

cover_compromised diplomatic_fallout major_legal_claims

👥 Personnel 277 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	30	[#13] MTF Gamma-6 rotational personnel for boarding, interdiction and rapid response (headcount supports continuous readiness and rotations).
Watchfloor Analyst / Duty Officer	12	[#26] 24/7 watchfloor staffing, duty officers and shift coverage.
Local Support Staff / Contractors	25	[#22] Local hires for base services, translators, plain-clothes security and contractors supporting the cover facility.
Naval Crew (frigate)	150	[#4, #6] Crew complement to support continuous frigate availability (planning wage portion allocated to staff_wages).
Aircrew / Flight Crew	60	[#7] Maritime patrol aircraft aircrew and flight support personnel (planning wage portion allocated to staff_wages).

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed planning figures for major line items (ships, aircraft, sensors, personnel) enabling a reasonable estimate; uncertainty remains due to anomalous behavior unpredictability and political/covert risk which can dramatically change recurring costs.

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