SCP-2893 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2893
Expected annual
$171.5M
One-time setup
$2.0B
Annual recurring
$164.5M
Personnel
465
One-time capital/setup costs are dominated by land control and construction of a secure containment complex and infrastructure (total one-time ~ $2.02B). Recurring annual operating costs (staff, maintenance, suppression, legal/cover) are on the order of $164.5M/year, driven mainly by security payroll, cover/legal payments, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.0B
Facilities $1.7B
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #16, #21] Land purchase/large-scale site works and construction: includes land-acquisition footprint estimate (purchase option), containment complex (cells, admin/research/medical wings), perimeter fencing/hardening, watchtower structures, initial community infrastructure payments, and future decommissioning/remediation set-aside. Figures aggregated from items #1, #2, #3, #5, #16 and #21.
Equipment $169.5M
[#4, #6, #7, #14, #17, #18, #19] Capital equipment: perimeter ISR (radar, EO/IR, seismic arrays), on-site generators/microgrid, purchase of helicopters/armored vehicles, hardened data-center hardware, wildfire response vehicles, initial armaments stockpile, and transport fleet (armored/refrigerated/fuel trucks).
Contingency Emergency Fund One Time $150.0M
[#20] One-time emergency fund/reserve for extreme escalation, reparations, large-scale interventions or decommissioning as recommended in item #20.
Land Cover Initial Setup $10.0M
[#1] One-time legal/shell/company setup and initial compensation for establishing/operationalizing a cover agreement (alternative to outright land purchase) per item #1.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.0M
[#10] Research/lab buildout and initial instruments: initial lab fit-out, secure archival hardware, and first-round experimental instrumentation referenced in research note #10.
Legal Cover Initial Setup $3.5M
[#15] Initial legal/PR setup, shell-company formation and legal retainers for information suppression and cover-story work referenced in item #15.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $164.5M/yr
Staff Wages $52.0M/yr
[#8, #10, #11] Payroll for on-site personnel: security guard force (primary driver), research staff, and psychology/medical/custodial staff. Figures aggregated to reflect the analyst ranges in items #8, #10 and #11.
Contingency Reserve Recurring $25.0M/yr
[#20] Yearly contingency reserve (operational set-aside) to cover 25–50% of unexpected operating surges as suggested in item #20.
Cover Story And Legal $23.0M/yr
[#1, #15, #16] Ongoing legal defense, takedown/suppression operations, payments to local officials, community funds to sustain cover stories and negotiated access per items #1, #15 and #16.
Facilities Maintenance $12.0M/yr
[#3, #5, #6, #13] Ongoing maintenance for buildings, fence lines, towers, HVAC, generators and other high-use infrastructure per items #3, #5, #6 and #13 (approx. 3–10% of capital annually).
Air Interception Contract $12.0M/yr
[#7] Recurring cost option for contracting national air-interception/air-policing and associated stand-by fees (alternative or supplement to owned aviation operations) as per item #7.
Mtf Training And Rotation $12.0M/yr
[#9] Specialist MTF entry/rotation, EOD and containment team training, simulations and surge readiness costs from item #9.
Research And Monitoring $10.5M/yr
[#4, #10, #14] Ongoing sensor/network operations, experiment funding, data archival, and cyber/security operations for continuous monitoring and research per items #4, #10 and #14.
Supplies And Consumables $9.0M/yr
[#11, #12, #18] Food, medical consumables, sanitation, non-lethal containment supplies and ammunition replenishment as described in items #11, #12 and #18.
Logistics And Transport $7.5M/yr
[#19, #6] Fleet operations, fuel trucks, secure supply chain movements, and fuel/maintenance logistics for generators and vehicles per items #19 and #6.
Wildfire Response Contracts $1.5M/yr
[#17] Ongoing contracts and readiness for wildfire/environmental response (airbucket hours, contract crews) per item #17.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $164.5M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operation, no major breaches or escalations.
steady_containment routine_maintenance standard_research_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $174.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized breach, small-scale escape or internal riot requiring overtime, medical care, temporary surge staffing and equipment replacement.
small_internal_riot localized_fire limited_escape
🚨 Major Breach $264.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring large-scale recapture, public mitigation, legal actions and infrastructure repair.
mass_escape major_infrastructure_damage international_incident
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $664.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic escalation requiring national/international military action, mass evacuations, nuclear/kinetic options or full-site decommissioning.
widespread_anomalous_spread loss_of_site_control political_exposure_requiring_force
👥 Personnel 465 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 400 [#8] Primary on-site security force estimated from note #8 (200–700 range). Assumed 400 FTEs at approx. $100k fully-burdened each to match security payroll portion of staff_wages.
Research Scientist 40 [#10] Research and anomalistics staff estimated from note #10; assumed ~40 scientists/specialists contributing to the research payroll portion.
Psychology / Medical / Custodial 25 [#11] Medical, psychologists and custodial staff from note #11; assumed ~25 personnel to cover 24/7 clinical and routine care.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst ranges are wide for major drivers (land acquisition, choice of owning vs contracting air assets, staffing level). Many items are estimative due to land-value variability, policy choices (purchase vs legal cover), and unpredictable anomalous behavior; hence medium confidence.
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