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SCP-2905 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2905
Expected annual
$2.9M
One-time setup
$11.8M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
15
Initial capital outlay is large (~$11.8M) to establish offshore vessel, modular BSL-capable facility, instrumentation, and contingency reserves; recurring operations run into the low-to-mid millions per year (~$2.77M/yr), driven primarily by staff wages, vessel/logistics, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.8M
Antitoxin Development Program $3.0M
[#13] Program cost for developing/producing polyvalent antitoxin stockpile (one-time program scale-up estimate).
Containment Scaleup Reserve $3.0M
[#25] Reserve for rapid scale-up if SCP-2905-1 becomes active (higher BSL, specialized neutralization tech).
Containment Contingency Reserve $1.5M
[#14] Reserve for equipment/operations to neutralize or eradicate colonies (controlled burns, herbicide delivery, heavy machinery, remediation).
Equipment $1.4M
[#1, #4, #5, #8, #10, #11, #15, #17, #18, #22] Vessel purchase + outfitting; initial generators/solar/water systems; perimeter sensors/cameras/fencing; clinic equipment; initial PPE stock; decontamination rigs/autoclave; on-site incinerator purchase; initial remote surveillance hardware; drone fleet purchase; initial secure comms/servers.
Facilities $1.4M
[#3] Prefabricated on-site modular containment facility (living quarters + BSL-capable lab, seismic/typhoon hardening) estimate.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $875K
[#12, #13] Analytical instrumentation (benchtop NGS, LC-MS/MS, GC-MS, microscopes, -80C freezers) and initial toxicology profiling for antitoxin research.
Insurance Emergency Reserve $500K
[#24] Emergency reserve for accidental disclosure/casualties as noted (one-time reserve).
Cover Story Setup $90K
[#19] Initial legal/cover story setup, permits, and local liaison establishment costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Armed security staffing and rotations; scientific staffing (researchers, technicians); medical staffing and on-site clinic wages.
Logistics And Transport $555K/yr
[#2, #9, #21, #23] Vessel operations (crew, fuel, docking, maintenance), emergency airlift/evacuation contract, personnel rotation housing & travel, chain-of-custody/cold-chain sample transport.
Supplies And Consumables $252K/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #18, #26] PPE replacement and consumables; decontamination consumables; reagents/maintenance for analytical instruments; drone maintenance/replacement parts; miscellaneous consumables and small equipment.
Facilities Maintenance $248K/yr
[#4, #5, #15, #17, #22] Ongoing power/fuel/maintenance; perimeter monitoring/replacement; incinerator operation; hosting/analysis for long-term surveillance; secure comms/server maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#12, #13, #16, #17] Ongoing reagents/maintenance for toxin/genetic research; antitoxin storage/renewal; environmental monitoring and vector control; long-term sensor/satellite data analysis.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#19, #24, #27] Annual legal/cover retainer, insurance/legal counsel fees, PR/misinformation management retainer.
Training And Drills $40K/yr
[#20] Regular training, drills, protocol development and intersite exercises.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with regular rotations, monitoring, and no major incidents.
steady_state_monitoring routine_sampling no_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $2.9M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or small-scale civilian approach requiring emergency response, limited remediation, and PR costs.
unauthorized_civilian_approach localized_spread minor_envenomation
🚨 Major Breach $4.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach requiring large suppression response, overtime, temporary relocation, and environmental remediation.
containment_breach widespread_colony_spread multiple_casualties
🚨 Eradication Activation $6.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Full eradication campaign triggered (boats/helicopters/heavy machinery, herbicide delivery, environmental remediation, long-term monitoring).
uncontrolled_spread ecological_threat policy_decision_to_eradicate
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $6.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Decision to rapidly scale antitoxin/antivenom development and production after identification of novel toxins, requiring large one-off R&D and production spending.
novel_toxin_discovery clinical_need_for_antitoxin regulatory_scale-up
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#6] 24/7 armed security rotations; 6-10 guards assumed (using 8).
Research Scientist 4 [#7, #12, #13] Senior scientists for toxin/genetic research and antitoxin work (subset of research staffing).
Laboratory Technician / Field Technician 2 [#7, #12, #18] Lab technicians and field techs for sampling, instrument operation, and drone ops.
Medical Officer 1 [#8] On-site medic for stabilization, decontamination, and quarantine.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing a reasoned estimate, but the object’s anomalous biological variability, activity escalation risk, and optional large-scale one-off programs (antitoxin/eradication) introduce significant uncertainty.
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