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SCP-2906 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2906
Expected annual
$14.9M
One-time setup
$23.5M
Annual recurring
$14.3M
Personnel
22
One-time setup and contingency reserves are large (≈$23.5M) driven by facility retrofits and a multi-million-dollar emergency reserve; recurring annual costs are substantial (≈$14.3M/yr), driven by specialized staff, field deployments, monitoring/DLP, R&D, and cover/legal operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $23.5M
Emergency Reserve $12.5M
[#20] Emergency rapid-response contingency reserve recommended for Keter-level risk (midpoint of $5–20M).
Large Cover Operation Fund $5.5M
[#13] Contingency one-time fund for crisis-level cover-ups / buyouts (midpoint of $1–10M).
Facilities $4.3M
[#1, #2] Retrofit of a secure containment/processing wing and construction of high-security vaults/climate-controlled storage (midpoint of $2–6M and $200–500k ranges).
Equipment $850K
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #16] Initial DLP deployment ($200–500k), mail/document scanning/printer setup ($100–300k), secure printing hardware ($50–150k), industrial incinerator ($150–400k), initial special PPE/consumables ($20–80k) (midpoints used).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#25] Initial pilot research/R&D setup for countermeasures (small pilot $100–300k midpoint).
Legal Retainer $125K
[#24] One-time legal retainer / crisis legal setup (midpoint of $50–200k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $14.3M/yr
Research And Monitoring $5.3M/yr
[#6, #10, #14, #18, #19, #23, #25, #27] DLP licensing/support ($120–300k/yr), forensic/OSINT budgets ($500k–3M/yr), media/communications monitoring ($50–300k/yr), device forensic imaging ($100–600k/yr), long-term outsourced monitoring ($300–1.2M/yr), energy/IT hardware refresh and power ($20–100k + $50–200k/yr), recurring R&D ($500k–3M/yr), and containment audits ($50–250k/yr) (midpoint sums).
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#12, #13, #24] Ongoing legal/cover-up budget and front-company maintenance ($200k–1.5M/yr), personnel replacement / identity fabrication payments ($300k–2.4M/yr), and insurance/liaison costs ($100–500k/yr) (midpoints aggregated).
Logistics And Transport $2.4M/yr
[#4, #7, #17] Field/MTF operational deployments and operating costs ($1–3M/yr), mail/courier interception personnel and leases ($150–400k/yr), and armored courier fleet leases/operation (~$50–200k/yr) (midpoints).
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#3, #5, #6] Salaries for cognitohazard research specialists (6–10 at $110–160k plus 25–40% benefits), permanent security guards (8–16 at $45–70k), and 1–2 DLP/endpoint analysts (est. midpoints included).
Medical And Amnestics $500K/yr
[#11] Stockpile and administration of Class-A/B amnestics, medical staff, beds and psychiatric follow-up; steady caseload estimate ($200–800k/yr midpoint).
External Contractors $450K/yr
[#21] Fees for private investigators, PR firms, cybersecurity firms and other retainers (midpoint of $100–800k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $270K/yr
[#1, #2, #5] Ongoing maintenance and minor upgrades for containment retrofit ($100–200k/yr), vault utilities/maintenance ($30–60k/yr), and security-system licensing ($50–100k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $238K/yr
[#8, #9, #16, #26] Secure printing consumables ($20–80k/yr), incinerator disposal/operation ($30–100k/yr), recurring PPE/consumables ($20–60k/yr), and document-replacement throughput ($15k–150k/yr midpoint).
Psychological Support $150K/yr
[#22] Counseling, burnout mitigation programs and replacement hiring support (midpoint of $50–250k/yr).
Training And Simulation $125K/yr
[#15] Regular training, simulations and MTF exercises (midpoint of $50–200k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $14.3M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Routine year with no major breaches; regular containment, monitoring, research, and cover activities only.
no_major_outbreaks routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $14.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized outbreak or single-site breach requiring targeted MTF deployment, heightened replacement/destruction operations, and limited PR/legal response.
localized_outbreak single_site_breach targeted_media_leak
🚨 Major Breach $24.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Multi-site simultaneous spread or significant public exposure requiring emergency reserve use, large-scale replacements, widescale cover operations, and prolonged investigations.
multi_site_outbreak public_exposure identification_of_poI_1115
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Cognitohazard Specialist 8 [#3] Small specialized research team (6–10 specialists) responsible for detection and assessment.
Security Officer / Guard 12 [#5] Permanent onsite guards and monitoring staff (8–16 guards).
Digital Analyst / DLP Analyst 2 [#6] 1–2 FTE analysts for DLP, endpoint monitoring and audit trails.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many ranges and clear categories, enabling midpoint estimates; however large uncertainties remain (incident frequency, scale if vector reaches government systems, and one-time contingency sizing), so confidence is medium.
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