SCP-2908 — SCP-2908 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2908 Safe ? low confidence

SCP-2908

Expected annual

$2.6M

One-time setup

$8.1M

Annual recurring

$2.5M

Personnel

First-year (one-time) setup approximately $8.11M driven primarily by contingency reserve, ballistic containment construction, and initial research; ongoing annual costs are roughly $2.55M driven by security staffing, contingency replenishment, monitoring, and specialized readiness.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.1M

Contingency Reserve $5.0M

[#20] Initial contingency and catastrophic-response reserve to fund large-scale emergency actions, world-class specialists, and worst-case containment/cover-up.

Permanent Neutralization Capability $1.0M

[#21] Optional permanent neutralization/destruction capability (conditional/O5-only): remote incineration, specialized demil facilities, transport/staging and diplomatic costs (mid-range estimate).

Facilities $950K

[#1, #2] Secure storage container upgrade and purpose-built ballistic containment chamber (vault, reinforced concrete/steel, blast/ballistic lining; site construction).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $900K

[#14, #25] Theoretical/simulation study and seed fund for low-probability/unexpected-physics research (research instruments, modelling, whitepapers, initial partnerships).

Equipment $260K

[#3, #4, #10, #18] Anti-tamper hardware, multi-angle/high-speed camera systems, remote handling/robotic manipulators, and one-time IT/hardened logging hardware.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.5M/yr

Staff Wages $580K/yr

[#5, #6] Dedicated on-site security guards (6–10 FTE) and site-level security/monitoring personnel (1–2 FTE); payroll, benefits, overtime.

Contingency Replenishment $500K/yr

[#20] Annual replenishment contribution to the catastrophic-response reserve.

Research And Monitoring $300K/yr

[#13, #14] Continuous metrology and external lab partnerships, plus recurrent theoretical/model updates and calibration services.

Mtf Readiness $275K/yr

[#9] Emergency MTF/internal rapid-response readiness: training, on-call pay, specialized equipment, and PPE.

Cover Story And Legal $262K/yr

[#15, #17] Communication/OPSEC costs and legal/interagency/diplomatic liaison; cover story maintenance and covert liaison budgets.

Insurance Indemnity $125K/yr

[#23] Internal insurance pool and liability management budget for personnel/property damage, settlements, or hush payments.

Research Seed Fund $100K/yr

[#25] Recurring contribution to a flexible fund for unexpected-physics research and emerging containment technology (annual top-up).

Administrative Overhead $85K/yr

[#7] Access control processing, secure recordkeeping, background checks, O5-level approval workflows, and administrative enforcement of two-person rules.

Incident Investigation Retainer $75K/yr

[#22] Forensic ballistics, anomalous trajectory analysis, and rapid event-reconstruction retainer.

External Audit $60K/yr

[#24] Periodic external audits and red-team exercises to test containment and enforcement of the testing ban.

Policy Training Compliance $50K/yr

[#8] Initial and recurrent training, compliance audits, exercises, and materials for personnel with access.

Memetic Amnestic Reserve $50K/yr

[#16] Annual reserve for amnestic incidents and cognitive-security medical staffing; baseline reserve maintenance.

Ballistic Chamber Maintenance $25K/yr

[#2] Maintenance and upkeep for the ballistic containment chamber (liners, drains, service ports, periodic structural inspections).

It Maintenance $25K/yr

[#18] Routine cyber-security maintenance, SIEM operations, secure backups, and air-gapped archive upkeep.

Ammunition Control Program $20K/yr

[#11] Inventory control, secure storage, audits, and administrative enforcement of ammunition/magazine prohibition.

Surveillance Maintenance $6K/yr

[#4] Storage, redundancy, and maintenance for HD/high-speed/IR camera systems and automated event-detection systems.

Ammunition Demilitarization $5K/yr

[#12] Recurring/as-needed costs for secure destruction of captured rounds (per-round or bulk demil costs; baseline annual estimate for occasional demil operations).

Power And Environment $3K/yr

[#19] Electricity and environmental control (cameras, sensors, climate control) operating costs.

Anti Tamper Maintenance $3K/yr

[#3] Annual maintenance, calibration, and support contracts for anti-tamper sensors and intrusion detection hardware.

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

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Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.5M/yr

96.7% probability / year

Normal, uneventful year with no fires or public exposures — routine operations, monitoring, and maintenance only.

no firing events no breaches routine audits and training

🚨 Minor Incident $2.7M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline

Small unauthorized firing or localized containment event requiring MTF response, forensic work, and limited amnestic/PR actions.

single or few unauthorized shots local forensic investigation limited amnestic administration

🚨 Major Breach $8.0M/yr

0.1% probability / year +$5.5M vs baseline

Significant firing event or containment breach that triggers large-scale emergency response, contingency spending, and possible partial use of catastrophic reserve for neutralization and global mitigation.

multiple firings causing measurable drift widespread contamination or multi-site exposure urgent international liaison and neutralization

🚨 Political Exposure $3.5M/yr

0.2% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Discovery or credible leak to external actors requiring heavy PR, legal, diplomatic, and covert payments to prevent public panic or scientific escalation.

external publication or leak interagency/diplomatic escalation legal actions or high-profile inquiries

👥 Personnel 10 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	8	[#5] Dedicated on-site guards providing 24/7 coverage, two-person rule, and shift redundancy (headcount derived from the staff_wages budget).
Security Operations / Monitoring Personnel	2	[#6] Site-level security ops staff to monitor alarms/cameras, coordinate with site control, and run audits (headcount derived from the staff_wages budget).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are mid-range judgments from wide ranges in analyst notes; many costs are conditional, contingent on opaque diplomatic/legal actions, and the anomaly's physics introduces deep uncertainty, so confidence is low.

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