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SCP-2909 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2909
Expected annual
$211K
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$205K
Personnel
2
Upfront acquisition and structural work dominate one-time costs (~$1.13M total); annual operations are modest with key drivers being security staffing, legal/front-company maintenance, and monitoring (baseline ~ $205k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Facilities $808K
[#1, #6] Purchase of two residential lots and minor structural/secure-perimeter modifications (reinforced hatch, boarding, tamperproofing).
Contingency Reserve Initial $150K
[#24] Reserve fund for escalations/containment failure (one-time reserve).
Legal Contingency Pool $100K
[#18] Contingency fund reserved for legal incidents, settlements, or rapid local payouts (one-time seed).
Equipment $46K
[#7, #8, #9, #12, #16, #22] Surveillance cameras and mounts, local NVR, UPS/generator hardware, vehicle capital purchase, initial evidence-handling supplies, IT/anti-tamper hardware setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $25K
[#19] Initial research kit for observational research (high-speed cameras, sensors, spectrometers) — research currently suspended but equipment historically incurred.
Front Company Setup $3K
[#2] One-time setup costs for shell LLC formation, initial filings and accounting setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $205K/yr
Staff Wages $50K/yr
[#11] On-call response personnel (minimal model: ~2 part-time/covert agents).
Research And Monitoring $44K/yr
[#8, #10, #19, #20, #21, #23, #22] Cloud/offsite storage (~$2.4k/yr), SOC/remote monitoring allocation/internal monitoring (~$12k/yr), occasional specialist consultation (~$2k/yr), records management and classification (~$6k/yr), training and procedural development (~$4k/yr), baseline incident/forensic capability (~$15k/yr), IT security maintenance (~$3k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $34K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #15, #9] Mortgage interest/capital financing (~$16k/yr assumed), property taxes (~$8k/yr total), property and liability insurance (~$7k/yr), routine property maintenance (~$3k/yr), generator fuel/maintenance (~$500/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $34K/yr
[#2, #13, #18] Ongoing front-company maintenance/bookkeeping (~$6k/yr), cover-story expenses/uniforms/props (~$3.5k/yr), legal retainer (~$15k/yr) and recurring contingency/top-up (~$10k/yr).
Administrative Overhead $27K/yr
[#25] HQ integration and directorate oversight (~15% of direct site operational costs; midpoint of 10–25% range).
Logistics And Transport $8K/yr
[#12] Vehicle operating costs (maintenance, insurance, fuel) for response/cover vehicle(s) (~$7.5k/yr for one vehicle).
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#14, #16, #26] Utilities (electricity & internet ~$1.8k/yr), evidence resupply (~$500/yr), miscellaneous consumables and petty cash (~$1.5k/yr).
Medical And Emergency Services $4K/yr
[#17] EMT/medical retainer (~$3k/yr) and medical supplies (~$600/yr).
Incident Investigations $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $205K/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, maintenance, and minimal on-call responses.
no incidents routine operations
🚨 Minor Incident $220K/yr
12.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Single-year minor trespass/tampering incident requiring medical attention, forensic work, and legal handling.
trespasser injury local complaint evidence tampering
🚨 Major Breach $405K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Significant exposure or civil/legal escalation requiring large settlements, extended forensic/investigative work, emergency containment measures or relocation.
public leak/exposure major civil suit containment escalation requiring relocation
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#11] Minimal on-call response team (two part-time/covert agents) reflected in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Medium confidence: recurring operational items (monitoring, utilities, basic staffing) are well-specified, but significant uncertainty remains in property acquisition costs (wide regional range), financing choice (mortgage versus outright purchase), and incident frequency/severity.
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