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SCP-2925 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2925
Expected annual
$14.0M
One-time setup
$160.8M
Annual recurring
$13.9M
Personnel
51
Upfront capital to build a dedicated, highly secure containment site and specialized equipment is large (tens of millions), while ongoing annual operating costs are driven by staffed security, covert/legal/intel operations, and specialist monitoring. A large one-time contingency reserve for catastrophic remediation dwarfs other line items and is the dominant single capital expense.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $160.8M
Emergency Contingency Reserve $137.5M
[#18, #26] Large reserve fund for emergency remediation, plausible-denial operations and region-scale cleanup; mid-range of the recommended contingency (captures the analyst's recommended tens/hundreds of millions). Note #26 describes effectively unbounded liability which is why a large reserve is held.
Facilities $16.5M
[#1] Dedicated isolated facility construction (site acquisition, reinforced underground structure, secure perimeter, airlocks, restricted admin wing). Mid-range estimate of $16.5M used.
Equipment $4.6M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #11, #12] Inner containment chamber, vibration/isolation subsystem, remote manipulators, passive sensor suite, environmental control (capex portion), vacuum pumps (capex), redundant power (capex), security hardware (capex), and cybersecurity infrastructure (capex). Sum of mid-range capex estimates.
Transportable Casket $650K
[#22] Transportable emergency containment casket (per container + certification) for secure relocation capability.
Initial Spares Stock $600K
[#19] Capital spare parts, consumables and long-term maintenance initial stock.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $400K
[#14] Research instrumentation and non-invasive diagnostics (capital purchase and initial calibration).
Initial Training Exercises $300K
[#17] Initial full-scale exercises / drills and emergency preparedness setup.
Public Relations Setup $125K
[#25] Initial setup for front-company / PR cover operations.
Data Storage Initial $100K
[#21] Secure data storage & long term archival initial setup (off-site redundancy, hardware/software).
Catastrophic Unbounded Liability $0
[#26] Liability/catastrophic-scenario note: uninsurable/unbounded exposure described; documented here as a qualitative risk rather than a specific budgeted item.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.9M/yr
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#9, #10, #13, #12] Security staffing (guards rotation pool mid-range), mobile rapid-response/QRF payroll, scientific staffing (monitoring team), and cybersecurity operations staffing. Sum of mid-range payroll estimates.
Cover Story And Legal $3.8M/yr
[#15, #25] Legal, diplomatic, covert operations budget and ongoing public-relations / front-company maintenance (recurring).
Intelligence Ops $2.5M/yr
[#16] Intelligence and counter-espionage operations: monitoring hostile actors, HUMINT, liaison and operational budgets.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#13, #14, #21, #24] Ongoing monitoring, long-term R&D/containment improvement fund, and secure archival/data storage recurring costs. Note scientific staffing payroll is included under staff_wages; this line covers program-level R&D and storage.
Facilities Maintenance $330K/yr
[#6, #20] Ongoing maintenance for environmental control systems (power & maintenance baseline) and routine facility operations (utilities, groundskeeping, property/insurance proxies).
Supplies And Consumables $310K/yr
[#7, #14, #19, #23] Vacuum pump service & consumables, instrumentation maintenance/calibration, annual spare parts replenishment, and psychological/medical surveillance for staff.
Security Systems Support $275K/yr
[#11] Support, monitoring and maintenance contract for CCTV, intrusion detection, perimeter sensors and anti-drone systems.
Training And Drills $250K/yr
[#17] Annual training, drills, emergency preparedness, trauma teams and tabletop exercises.
Power And Generator Fuel $150K/yr
[#8] Fuel & maintenance for redundant generators, battery replacements and UPS upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.9M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, maintenance, staffing, covert operations and R&D continue as budgeted.
no breach normal maintenance routine covert/legal activity
🚨 Minor Incident $14.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized incident (sensor-triggered event, minor accidental damage, small-scale intrusion) requiring emergency response, temporary repairs and limited remediation.
small accidental fracture or handling incident limited hostile attempt localized system failure
🚨 Major Breach $23.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or hostile recovery leading to substantial damage, enforced relocation or extensive remediation but not global catastrophe.
partial shattering / large release coordinated hostile attack breaching primary chamber large-scale on-site emergency remediation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $63.9M/yr
0.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Full catastrophic release of stored energy with widespread destruction and political exposure requiring massive remediation and strategic response.
complete rupture with large stored energy release major weaponization or strategic attack failure leading to region-scale damage
👥 Personnel 51 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#9] Rotating pool of armed guards to provide 24/7 coverage (midpoint of 24–36 estimated).
Security Officer / MTF Agent (QRF) 10 [#10] Mobile rapid-response / armored QRF team (midpoint of 8–12).
Research Scientist 8 [#13] Scientific monitoring team (midpoint of 6–10 specialists) whose salaries are included in staff_wages.
Cybersecurity Analyst / SOC Staff 3 [#12] Cybersecurity operations and SOC staffing included in staff_wages estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Article and analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many key parameters are uncertain (unknown energy capacity, jurisdictional cost variance, and unpredictable hostile actions). Mid-range estimates used; large contingency increases uncertainty.
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