SCP-2931 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2931
Expected annual
$979K
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$945K
Personnel
12
Estimated one-time setup costs total $1,225,000 driven by construction of hermetic containment and equipment; recurring annual costs are ~ $945,000/year driven primarily by security, research/medical staffing, and site overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Facilities $850K
[#1, #2, #18, #24] Two hermetically sealed chambers and a Class-3 humanoid cell, contingency holding capacity (4–6 emergency cells), and a decommissioning/disposal reserve; structural/construction work and site modifications.
Equipment $195K
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8] Dedicated HVAC setup, medical life-support/sedation gear, security hardware/access control, surveillance/audio systems, occupancy/physiological sensors, and initial secure server hardware/configuration.
Coverup Reserve $100K
[#21] One-time cover-up/legal/PR/amnestic reserve for managing discovery, local authorities, and suppression.
Initial Recovery Operations $50K
[#20] Initial recovery/logistics/covert operation budget for potential future recoveries from public sites.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20K
[#9] Initial forensic and research testing (genetics, radiocarbon, pathology) and associated outside-lab analyses.
Sop Development $10K
[#17] Initial SOP development for preventing sleeping, sedation procedures and breach responses.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $945K/yr
Staff Wages $684K/yr
[#10, #12, #13] Ongoing wages and benefits: on-site security (8 guards), research personnel (PI/techs), and medical care staffing (nurse/physician consults) included in annual staffing costs.
Administration And Overhead $200K/yr
[#22] Pro-rated site administration, insurance, compliance, audits and facility overhead (20–30% of recurring operations).
Incident Response Reserve $20K/yr
[#19] Annual contingency reserve for rapid-response sedations, temporary staffing, transport cages and emergency consumables.
Utilities Power $15K/yr
[#14] Incremental electricity for HVAC, life-support, cameras and monitoring equipment.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#11, #16] Sedatives/pharmaceuticals, IV/nutrition consumables, PPE, disposables and biohazard/waste handling/disposal services.
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#3, #5, #15] HVAC/containment maintenance, scheduled HEPA/activated-carbon filter replacement, mechanical servicing, leak tests and door seal maintenance; security hardware maintenance referenced here.
Training And Drills $5K/yr
[#17] Annual drills, staff refresher courses, SOP sign-off and small-scale exercises.
Psychological Support $5K/yr
[#23] Staff counseling, welfare services and health monitoring for repeated exposure to distressing phenomena.
It Storage And Backups $1K/yr
[#8] Off-site backup retention and yearly encrypted storage/backup costs for surveillance and research data.
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $945K/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with no accidental sleep events and routine operations only.
no accidental sleep events routine monitoring and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $975K/yr
12.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Single accidental sleep event producing one or a few additional instances requiring emergency sedation, short-term medical care and temporary containment.
accidental access/sleep in bed single manifestation event temporary additional medical/containment supplies
🚨 Major Incident $1.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Multiple accidental sleep events or sustained failures producing many coexistent instances requiring mass sedation, expanded holding, sustained medical care and increased staffing.
repeated SOP failures mass manifestation extended emergency containment
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#12] 24/7 on-site security presence (8 guards to cover shifts + relief).
Research Scientist 1 [#13] Principal investigator (part-time) responsible for oversight of testing and protocols.
Research Technician 2 [#13] Research technicians for assays, observation and lab support.
Medical Officer 1 [#10] Medical/nursing support for comatose humanoid (0.2 FTE equivalent captured in recurring medical/staffing costs).
📋 Confidence Notes
Cost line items for construction, equipment and recurring staffing are well-defined; however probabilities for manifestation incidents and long-tail costs from multiple persistent instances are highly uncertain, producing moderate confidence overall.
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