SCP-2934 — SCP-2934 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2934 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-2934

Expected annual

$2.9M

One-time setup

$6.7M

Annual recurring

$2.9M

Personnel

One-time capital costs are dominated by construction of a 0.25 m steel-lined vault and heavy containment/transport hardware (~$6.7M). Recurring costs (~$2.64M/yr) are driven by security and scientific/medical staffing, HVAC/power, and ongoing research/contingency budgets.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.7M

Facilities $2.2M

[#1] Construction of sealed containment vault with 25 cm steel lining, foundations, pressure doors and heavy lifting/site prep.

Insurance Reserve $1.2M

[#25] Initial insurance/liability reserve to cover catastrophic incidents, legal settlements, or site replacement.

Equipment $852K

[#2, #4, #5, #6, #7, #16, #18, #27] Steel chest; HVAC installation; backup generator/UPS; RF testing equipment; hardened surveillance; mobile CT purchase; spare parts inventory; initial secure data/logging hardware.

Cover Crisis Reserve $625K

[#21] One-time crisis reserve for major cover/legal/PR response in a discovery event.

Evacuation Contingency Reserve $550K

[#20] One-time contingency reserve for a possible enforced temporary evacuation of the 0.7 km radius.

Decommissioning And Disposal Reserve $550K

[#30] One-time funding reserved for approved decommissioning/disposal and any environmental remediation.

Incident Response Kit $300K

[#23] One-time purchase of portable shielding, armored transport, rapid-memetic lockdown tools and specialized recovery kit.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $186K

[#3, #12, #15, #17] Initial stock of modified body bags; polysomnography equipment; electronics-forensics bench/setup; surgical tooling and sterile sets.

Transportation And Crane Rental $125K

[#19] Heavy-lift crane and transport for initial installation and for future moves (rigging, security escort, permits).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.9M/yr

Staff Wages $1.4M/yr

[#8, #9, #10, #11] Salaries+benefits for 24/7 security staff (~8 guards), containment technicians (3), research team (2–4 FTEs aggregated), and a dedicated on-call Medical Officer.

Research And Monitoring $446K/yr

[#6, #13, #14, #15, #16, #24, #11] RF revalidation contracts; D-class/subject recruitment and compensation; forensic autopsy/histology; recurring electronics-forensics personnel/consumables; imaging operations/outsourced scans; long-term preservation R&D; non-wage medical/psychiatric program costs.

Cover Story And Legal $348K/yr

[#21, #29] Front company/NDAs/legal retainers, local coordination, PR/misinformation budgets, and independent ethical oversight/IRB-equivalent audit fees.

Logistics And Transport $125K/yr

[#19, #20] Annual transport/move reserve for occasional relocations and standing perimeter/exclusion planning capability for 0.7 km radius contingencies.

Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr

[#28] Utilities, janitorial, biohazard disposal, disposable PPE, general facility consumables and overhead.

Imaging Operations $100K/yr

[#16] Annual budget for periodic outsourced/mobile CT scans and imaging follow-ups.

Perimeter Contingency Planning $100K/yr

[#20] Annual standing costs to maintain evacuation/exclusion capability and contingency exercises for the 0.7 km radius.

Facilities Maintenance $62K/yr

[#4, #5, #26] HVAC energy and maintenance; backup generator fuel/maintenance; routine corrosion protection and structural upkeep.

Incident Response Standby $50K/yr

[#23] Standby costs and readiness maintenance for the rapid response/recovery team.

Insurance Replenishment $50K/yr

[#25] Annual replenishment/top-up of the liability reserve.

Training And Drills $48K/yr

[#22] Regular staff training, tabletop exercises, and psychological resilience programs.

Electronics Forensics Annual $40K/yr

[#15] Yearly personnel time and consumables for embedded-systems reverse-engineering and safe probing.

Transport And Move Reserve $25K/yr

[#19] Annual reserve for any unplanned secure moves or equipment transport needs.

Surveillance Maintenance $12K/yr

[#7] Maintenance, storage and secure archival costs for hardened cameras, sensors and telemetry.

Spares Replacement $12K/yr

[#18] Replacement parts for HVAC, generators, sensors and spare body bags/chest components.

Data Operations $12K/yr

[#27] Secure archival rotations, air-gapped storage operations and off-site vaulting costs.

Psg Consumables $10K/yr

[#12] Disposable sensors and consumables for polysomnography.

Surgical Consumables $10K/yr

[#17] Disposable surgical kits, sharps disposal and PPE for manipulations.

Modified Body Bag Replacement $600/yr

[#3] Annual replacement stock of modified foil-lined body bags and sacrificial outer bags.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.9M/yr

93.5% probability / year

Normal year with routine operations and no major incidents.

no incidents routine research and maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$-115000 vs baseline

Small containment-related incident requiring repairs, overtime, limited medical/psych support and minor temporary evacuations.

localized containment breach equipment failure limited evacuation

🚨 Major Evacuations $3.3M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$435K vs baseline

Unshielded exposure or transport incident forcing an enforced evacuation of the 0.7 km radius and significant legal/PR/cleanup response.

unshielded transport/testing failed containment seal public disclosure

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.6M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$3.7M vs baseline

Wide-scale containment failure with major liabilities, site replacement, long-term remediation and expensive legal settlements.

major structural failure mass exposure protracted legal/crisis response

👥 Personnel 15 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	8	24/7 perimeter and access control coverage; matches security wage estimate [#8].
Research Scientist	3	Neuropsychologist, electronics/embedded systems engineer, forensic pathologist (part-time aggregated to FTE); included in research staff wages [#10].
Containment Technician	3	Containment operators/technicians for routine checks and handling operations; matches containment tech wage estimate [#9].
Medical Officer	1	On-call psychiatrist/medical lead; salary portion included in staff_wages and recurring medical budget [#11].

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates, but many items (evacuation costs, legal/crisis spend, contingency reserves) are inherently uncertain; medium confidence in aggregated totals.

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