SCP-2947 — SCP-2947 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2947 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-2947

Expected annual

$285K

One-time setup

$1.7M

Annual recurring

$280K

Personnel

1.5

One-time capital costs are dominated by an optional purpose-built vertical test chamber and containment/HVAC modifications (~$1.7M total one-time). Ongoing annual costs are modest (~$280.5k/yr) and are driven primarily by staffed research wages, administrative overhead, security/on-call coverage, and data/storage/maintenance.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7M

Facilities $1.3M

[#3, #4, #14] Costs for modifying/using an existing high-impact test chamber, constructing a dedicated 20 m vertical test chamber (major capital), and one-time HVAC/ventilation upgrades.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $142K

[#6, #7] High-speed imaging/motion-capture systems and environmental/spectral instrumentation purchased and installed as part of lab setup.

Contingency Reserve $112K

[#18] One-time contingency reserve held for catastrophic containment repairs or emergency contractors (mid-range reserve).

Equipment $60K

[#1, #2, #5, #8, #17] Secure padded containment housings ($500 each assumed x program units), rugged transport cases, remote activation/anti-accident rigs, initial PPE purchase, and robotics/retrieval tools (mixed-level equipment).

Legal Setup $30K

[#19] Initial legal/OPSEC/cover-story development, NDAs, trademark research and setup costs.

Inventory System $12K

[#12] One-time asset-tagging, RFID/barcode readers and secure database integration for instance tracking.

Training And Sops Initial $10K

[#11] Initial development and delivery of training, SOPs, and instructor time for spin/ejection/evacuation procedures.

Proliferation Control Fund $0

[#24] Contingent retrieval/recall operations only if proliferation occurs; base one-time program allocation set to $0 and handled via incident scenarios.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $280K/yr

Staff Wages $115K/yr

[#9] Loaded salaries for dedicated personnel: 0.5 FTE Researcher (~$60k eq.), 0.5 FTE Technician (~$30k eq.), 0.5 FTE Security/Ops (~$25k eq.).

Administrative Overhead $55K/yr

[#23] Pro-rated site administrative overhead, facility allocation, and indirect costs (25–50% loaded on top of direct personnel/instrumentation).

On Call Security $35K/yr

[#10] Part-time/on-call guard overtime and escort staffing for transfers, testing days and asset custody.

Research And Monitoring $18K/yr

[#6, #16] Data processing, analysis and archival costs for high-speed footage and sensor logs (secure, redundant storage and analyst time).

Compliance And Insurance $14K/yr

[#20] Ongoing compliance audits, insurance loading and oversight costs.

Contingency Replenish $11K/yr

[#18] Planned annual replenishment to maintain contingency reserve (approx. 10% of initial reserve per year).

Cover Story And Legal $6K/yr

[#19] Ongoing legal retainer / OPSEC support and small PR/cover retainer (mid-range).

Psychological Support $6K/yr

[#21] Medical monitoring and psychological counseling/post-exposure screening for involved personnel.

Energy Costs $4K/yr

[#15] Electricity for chamber, instruments, lighting, compute and occasional test runs.

Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr

[#14] Ongoing HVAC/ventilation maintenance and minor chamber upkeep energy/maintenance costs.

Small Parts And Maintenance Spares $3K/yr

[#22] Spare motors, bearings, fasteners, replacement foam, camera consumables and small-parts inventory.

Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr

[#13] Consumable test materials, spare spinners, adhesives, mounting hardware and per-test expendables.

Long Term Storage $3K/yr

[#25] Climate-controlled long-term storage / archival facility costs per year (space allocation and maintenance).

Inventory Maintenance $2K/yr

[#12] Annual maintenance/licensing and auditing for RFID/barcode/inventory system.

Training And Sops Refreshers $2K/yr

[#11] Periodic refresher training, drill delivery and SOP updates.

Ppe Replacement $1K/yr

[#8] PPE replacement and small safety equipment refreshers.

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

[]

Proliferation Control Replenish $0/yr

[#24] No standing recurring allocation for proliferation-control unless incident occurs; funded via incident response scenario.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $280K/yr

93.8% probability / year

Normal uneventful year with routine testing, maintenance, and no uncontrolled Aoki Events or public proliferation.

routine testing no containment incidents standard personnel turnover

🚨 Minor Incident $306K/yr

5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline

Localized accidental Aoki Event inside containment causing equipment damage and minor repairs/replacements.

accidental on-site Aoki Event minor chamber/instrument damage small emergency repair/replacement

🚨 Major Breach $530K/yr

1.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline

Significant uncontrolled Aoki Event with structural damage, major equipment loss, and extended recovery operations.

large uncontrolled Aoki Event structural repairs extensive equipment replacement

🚨 Proliferation Retrieval Operation $780K/yr

0.2% probability / year +$500K vs baseline

Discovery of converted SCP-2947 instances in public requiring covert/large-scale retrievals or buy-back operations.

widespread public conversion mass retrieval/buy-back large covert operations and PR/legal actions

👥 Personnel 1.5 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	0.5	0.5 FTE loaded salary included in staff_wages [#9].
Technician	0.5	0.5 FTE technician for operations and instrumentation [#9].
Security Officer / MTF Agent	0.5	0.5 FTE security/operations coordinator; on-call guards covered separately as overtime [#9, #10].

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most categories, but key uncertainties remain (quantity of instances, choice to build a dedicated vertical chamber, size of contingency/reserve and frequency of incidents). Mid-range assumptions were used.

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