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SCP-2950 Safe ? low confidence
SCP-2950
Expected annual
$3.6M
One-time setup
$16.6M
Annual recurring
$3.4M
Personnel
2.2
One-time establishment costs are moderate (~$16.6M) dominated by optional large-scale R&D and termination programs; baseline recurring costs are modest-to-moderate (~$3.42M/yr) driven by intelligence/covert operations, internet-monitoring, and legal/cover-story budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $16.6M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $13.5M
[#13] One-time R&D program to develop anti-cognitohazard countermeasures and related lab buildout and testing infrastructure (#13, midpoint ~$13,500,000).
Termination Program $2.8M
[#27] One-time contingency budget for a specialized neutralization/termination program if chosen (safe disposal, memetic suppression, legal deniability) (#27, midpoint ~$2,750,000).
Facilities $205K
[#2, #14] Includes locker installation/integration labor (#2, ~$5,000) and construction/procurement of a memetic-safe vault/room (Faraday cage, anti-memetic filters, airlock) (#14, ~$200,000).
Amnestic Stockpile $60K
[#11] Initial local stock of standard amnestics, procurement and related storage/equipment (#11 initial stock ~$60,000).
Sop Development $52K
[#23] Development of internal SOPs, liability review and initial compliance/audit procedures (#23, ~$52,500).
Records Systems $50K
[#24] One-time upgrades and compartmentalization features to secure records systems and clearance management (#24, ~$50,000).
Equipment $31K
[#1, #5, #8] Safe-class locker purchase (#1, $10,000), surveillance/tamper/logging install hardware (#5, $3,500), and restraint/non-lethal extraction kit & secure storage (#8, $17,500).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.4M/yr
Covert Operations $1.1M/yr
[#17] HUMINT, covert retrievals, exfiltration, occasional raids and related black-site logistics (~$1,150,000/yr midpoint).
Internet Monitoring $575K/yr
[#16] Continuous monitoring and takedown operations for online discussion/uploads (~$575,000/yr; range $150k–$1M).
Intelligence Liaison $500K/yr
[#18] Ongoing HUMINT/OSINT, foreign liaison and archive investigations (~$500,000/yr).
Dedicated Security Rota $300K/yr
[#7] Alternate option: cost of a dedicated 24/7 security rota (3 shifts × 2 guards incl. benefits/overtime) (~$300,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $275K/yr
[#22] Legal, PR, cover-story, and front-company budgets for domestic/international handling (~$275,000/yr).
Opportunity Cost Suspended Research $150K/yr
[#28] Estimated administrative/strategic opportunity cost from suspended testing and staff reallocation (~$150,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#20] Minimal ongoing watch/research effort and bibliographic monitoring (~$100,000/yr baseline).
Staff Wages $65K/yr
[#6] Baseline marginal allocation of site security salaries/benefits (partial FTEs equivalent to ~1–2 guards) ~$65,000/yr.
Extraction Training $62K/yr
[#9] Recurring training, simulated drills, PPE and readiness maintenance for extraction/MTF teams (~$62,500/yr).
Document Sanitization $62K/yr
[#15] Staffing and specialized hardware/software to safely view, redact, and sanitize memetic documents (~$62,500/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $48K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #14, #24] Ongoing pro-rata facility overhead (#3, $14,000/yr), environmental control sensors & energy/calibration (#4, $1,000/yr), surveillance/logging storage & maintenance (#5, $1,000/yr), memetic vault maintenance (#14, $20,000/yr), and records maintenance (#24, $12,500/yr).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#19] Annual secure transport budget for periodic movements and chain-of-custody procedures (~$30,000/yr; per-move costs $5k–$20k noted).
Amnestic Replenishment $30K/yr
[#11] Annual replenishment and administration for amnestic stockpile (~$30,000/yr).
Anti Cognitohazard Maintenance $28K/yr
[#12] Ongoing secure storage and occasional revaccination / limited-dose maintenance if product exists (~$27,500/yr).
Psychological Services $18K/yr
[#21] Counseling and medical support for affected personnel (~$17,500/yr).
Sop Refresher $12K/yr
[#23] Recurring refresher training and compliance audits (~$12,500/yr).
Records Maintenance $12K/yr
[#24] Annual maintenance and software support for compartmentalized records (~$12,500/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $11K/yr
[#8, #25] Consumable sedatives/replacements and consumables for extraction (#8, $10,000/yr) plus routine gloves/decon/signage/etc. (#25, $600/yr).
Mtf Deployment Per Event $0/yr
[#10] Per-deployment contingency cost if an MTF is mobilized for resistant individuals: $20,000–75,000 per deployment. Not budgeted into baseline (per-event cost noted).
Large Scale Amnestic Campaign $0/yr
[#26] Contingency per-crisis cost for mass amnestic campaigns / public remediation: $50M–$500M+ per crisis; left out of baseline recurring (per-crisis contingency).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.4M/yr
89.9% probability / year
Normal year with containment in a Safe locker, baseline security allocation, minimal watch-research and ongoing covert/intel & monitoring budgets; no major incidents.
no breach no public exposure routine operations
🚨 Minor Incident $3.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$238K vs baseline
Localized resistance incident requiring an MTF deployment, extra amnestic use, short-term covert retrievals and increased training/medical response.
resistant sitter requiring force localized leak or discovery single MTF deployment
🚨 Catastrophic Public Exposure $103.4M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Widespread leak of memetic 'book' or SCP-2950 vector causing mass public awareness requiring large-scale amnestic campaigns, international covert operations, and R&D/termination actions.
public leak of memetic materials viral dissemination of infohazard failure of early covert containment
👥 Personnel 2.2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1.5 [#6] Partial allocation of site security (equivalent to ~1–2 guards) included in baseline staff wages.
Research Scientist 0.2 [#20] Minimal watch/research FTE for bibliographic tracing and on-call analysis.
Administrative Staff 0.3 [#2, #24] Partial admin support for access approvals and records compartmentalization.
Medical Officer 0.1 [#11, #12] On-call medical support for amnestic administration and limited inoculation maintenance.
Engineer / Maintenance 0.1 [#4, #5] Fractional engineer support for environmental sensors, surveillance maintenance, and vault upkeep.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs for physical containment are well-bounded, but the presence of memetic/infohazard vectors and conditional R&D/operational responses (items #12–#27) introduce large uncertainty and wide ranges; catastrophic scenarios are highly uncertain and drive major variance.
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