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SCP-2956 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2956
Expected annual
$38.6M
One-time setup
$394.6M
Annual recurring
$34.2M
Personnel
101
One-time capital costs are dominated by contingency reserves, vessel acquisition/retrofits, and long-term endowment (≈ $395M one-time). Recurring annual costs (≈ $34.16M/yr) are driven by vessel operations, long-range monitoring/ROV operations, staffing, and cover/legal/diplomatic budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $394.6M
Omega Operation Reserve $250.0M
[#19] Reserved contingency for full-scale Omega neutralization naval operation (one-time reserve if spent).
Equipment $64.1M
[#1, #4, #5, #6, #7, #12] Two containment vessel retrofits/newbuild-equivalents, initial ASW ordnance stockpile, initial GPS-acoustic beacon inventory, hydrophone/array deployments, ROV/AUV purchases, and initial sleep-control hardware/software system (combined estimate).
Long Term Endowment $50.0M
[#27] Upfront endowment to fund indefinite/very long-horizon monitoring and institutional continuity.
Arctic Station Activation $15.0M
[#17] Temporary/cheaper activation cost for Lockton-12 (Little Diomede) in contingency.
Insurance Reserve $5.0M
[#23] One-time reserve pool for catastrophic liability / casualty settlements.
Public Disaster Reserve $5.0M
[#26] One-time contingency fund for public disaster response, evacuations and compensation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#8] Deep-sea research lab and hull preservation facility capital setup.
Legal Settlements Reserve $2.0M
[#16] One-time contingency reserve for larger transactional diplomacy/settlements.
Mtf Initial Training And Gear $1.2M
[#3] Initial specialized MTF boarding/diving training and gear (one-time).
Facilities $250K
[#9] SHC cell upgrades / Site-77 containment cell retrofit (mid-range estimate).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $34.2M/yr
Logistics And Transport $13.0M/yr
[#2, #18] Vessel operational costs (fuel, non-salary maintenance, transits) for two blue-water ships and limited recurring Arctic resupply readiness for Lockton-12.
Staff Wages $9.4M/yr
[#3, #8, #10, #13, #7] Salaries for MTF detachments, ship crews, research staff, ROV pilots/technicians, medical and analytic staff required for 24/7 operations.
Research And Monitoring $4.2M/yr
[#7, #13, #14, #20, #21, #24, #25] ROV/AUV expedition operations and standing surveys, continuous monitoring and data archival, satellite tasking retainer, environmental monitoring & mitigation, intelligence research support, training exercises, and containment R&D.
Supplies And Consumables $4.0M/yr
[#4, #5, #12, #28] Ordnance replenishment, replacement GPS-acoustic beacons, content licensing/upkeep for sleep program, and miscellaneous consumables/spare parts.
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#15, #16, #22, #23] Annual budgets for covert cover operations, legal counsel/diplomacy retainers, covert payments/permit interdiction, and insurance premiums.
Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr
[#6, #9] O&M for hydrophone arrays/buoys and incremental SHC facility maintenance and redundancy power upkeep.
Medical Care $500K/yr
[#11] Routine medical/neurological/psychological care for SCP-2956-2, emergency readiness and diagnostics contingency budget.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $34.2M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with two containment vessels active, continuous monitoring, SHC maintenance and routine ROV/research operations; no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_surveys no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $38.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Localized surfacing or engagement requiring ordnance use, emergency recovery expedition(s), and moderate legal/compensation costs.
unexpected_surfacing ordnance_use civilian_encounter
🚨 Major Breach $234.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Failure of SCP-2956-2 or loss of effective control leading to authorization of a large-scale neutralization / naval operation (Omega-level expenditure).
expiration_of_SCP-2956-2 unauthorized_launch_or_hostile_action activation_of_omega_reserve
👥 Personnel 101 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#3] Maritime interdiction/boarding team personnel assigned to MTF Gamma-6 / Iota-8 rotations.
Ship Crew / Vessel Crew 40 [#1, #2] Crews required for two blue-water containment vessels (bridge, engineering, deck, ASW specialists).
Research Scientist 6 [#8, #25] Lab and containment R&D staff for hull analysis, metallurgy, biology and containment R&D.
ROV Pilot / Technician 6 [#7] Pilots and technicians to operate deep-rated ROV/AUVs and maintain vehicle inventories.
Medical Officer / Nurses / Psych Tech 6 [#10, #11] Onsite medical and psychological staff to support SCP-2956-2 and emergency response.
Administrative Staff / Analysts 8 [#13, #22] Monitoring analysts, data archivists, and administrative staff supporting telemetry, satellite tasking and cover programs.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#2, #28] Engineers for ship integration, winches, generators, and long-term maintenance logistics.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#16, #22] Program lead/executive oversight and diplomatic liaison responsibilities.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide extensive line-item ranges and operational detail, permitting a mid-confidence estimate; large uncertainties remain around frequency of major incidents, expendable ordnance consumption, and Arctic activation/omega decisions, so precision is limited.
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