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SCP-2955 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2955
Expected annual
$23.3M
One-time setup
$82.1M
Annual recurring
$20.9M
Personnel
130
One-time construction and large contingency reserves dominate upfront costs (~$82.1M). Annual baseline operating costs (~$20.86M/year) are driven by on-site staffing, cover/black-ops budgets, monitoring, and capital replacement; per-transmigration events can add ~$10–40M each.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $82.1M
Large Risk Reserve $50.0M
[#30] Large unpredictable risk reserve (scale-up for mass migration / international incident). Minimum set-aside.
Facilities $20.0M
[#1] Construction of Area-846: 8km^2 covert/military-style installation (perimeter, façades, roads, barracks, power plant, comms, minimal hardened shelters).
Equipment $5.1M
[#8, #10, #14, #16, #17] Weapons/armor/vehicles procurement, initial remote-surveillance hardware, drone hardware & detection radar, initial power-generation hardware, secure communications hardware (initial costs). Recurring maintenance for some of these items accounted in facilities_maintenance or research_and_monitoring.
Insurance Reserve $5.0M
[#29] Insurance / legal contingency reserve (quiet settlements, litigation fund) set aside as a one-time reserve.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.7M
[#12, #13, #18, #19, #26] Geophysical monitoring hardware initial installation, portable GPR units (field units), initial servers & software for data processing, initial research startup budget, and initial sample-handling emergency kit.
Medical Setup $300K
[#25] Onsite medical clinic setup and quarantine-capable facility initial setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $20.9M/yr
Staff Wages $10.8M/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #22, #25] On-site MTF personnel wages (24 × $125k), scientific staff (12 × $120k), support staff (12 × $60k), local contract guards (60 × $20k), embedded cover-story agents salaries (20 × $200k), and medical personnel/contracts (annual portion).
Cover Story And Legal $4.2M/yr
[#15, #22, #23] Media/manipulation slush funds and legal/liaison budgets (item 22 media slush), legal/airspace liaison budgets, and black operations / covert payments / legal indemnities annual contingency.
Contingency Fund $2.0M/yr
[#20] Annual contingency / emergency response fund (evacuation, surge staffing, medevac, contractors).
Capital Replacement Fund $1.5M/yr
[#28] Annual long-term capital replacement & depreciation reserve (vehicles, sensors, generators, servers amortized).
Facilities Maintenance $1.1M/yr
[#9, #10, #12, #14, #16] Vehicle fleet maintenance & fuel, surveillance suite maintenance, geophysical sensor maintenance/calibration, drone fleet maintenance/ops, and generator/energy system maintenance/fuel.
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#11, #12, #17, #18, #19] Satellite imagery subscription / tasking (commercial), ongoing geophysical monitoring maintenance, secure-communications O&M (bandwidth, keys), data-processing operations, and ongoing research budget.
Training And Sops $200K/yr
[#24] Training, doctrine development, SOPs, and simulation exercises.
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#26] Consumables and maintenance for emergency sample-handling kit and minor onsite consumables.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#2, #21] Per-event international rebuild and logistics costs are event-driven and therefore set to $0 in baseline; per-event amounts recorded in custom recurring entries and scenarios.
Rebuild Per Transmigration Event $0/yr
[#2] Per-transmigration rebuild of Area-846 (site prep, temporary housing, fences, signage, utilities). Typical per-event estimate used for scenarios: ~$12,000,000 (conservative). Set to $0 in baseline.
Land Acquisition Per Event $0/yr
[#3] Covert land acquisition / leasing / local legal cover per event. Typical per-event estimate used for scenarios: ~$2,000,000. Set to $0 in baseline.
International Logistics Per Event $0/yr
[#21] Airlift/shipping/charter logistics per event when SCP resurfaces abroad. Per-event typical range $500k–2,000,000; set to $0 in baseline and applied in scenarios.
Environmental Mitigation Per Event $0/yr
[#27] Environmental mitigation / fake permits / archaeological compliance per event. Typical per-event estimate ~$250,000; set to $0 in baseline.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $20.9M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with no transmigration events; annual recurring operational costs only.
no_transmigration steady_operations routine_monitoring
🚨 Transmigration Event $37.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$16.5M vs baseline
A transmigration event requiring recovery: rebuild Area-846 at new location with associated land/covert costs and logistics.
transmigration_detected rebuild_site international_logistics
🚨 Major International Incident $59.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$39.0M vs baseline
Transmigration into a hostile or highly-developed jurisdiction causing much higher per-event costs and diplomatic escalation.
transmigration_in_hostile_state high-cost_land_acquisition diplomatic_scale-up
👥 Personnel 130 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#4] MTF Zeta-9 operational field team on-site full-time (24 operators).
Research Scientist 12 [#5] Remote analysts, geophysicists, archaeologists, monitoring technicians (remote/rotational).
Support Staff 12 [#6] Maintenance, cooks, med techs, drivers, admin required to run Area-846.
Local Contract Guards 60 [#7] Local hires acting as 'Argentine military' for cover story; contractor status reflected in wages.
Cover Story Agents / Embedded Staff 20 [#22] Embedded agents maintaining cover-story and liaising with local governments/media.
Medical Officer 2 [#25] Onsite medical personnel; medevac and contracts included in recurring medical budget.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates follow detailed analyst notes; staffing, equipment, and recurring baselines are well-specified, but per-event costs (land access, rebuilds, host-nation variability) and transmigration frequency are highly uncertain, so medium confidence.
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