SCP-2965 — SCP-2965 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2965 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-2965

Expected annual

$14.5M

One-time setup

$21.2M

Annual recurring

$13.6M

Personnel

Estimated one-time capital and contingency expenses are approximately $20.175M, while recurring annual operating costs are about $13.595M; main cost drivers are permanent staffing, transit-operator compensation, R&D/monitoring, and contingency/reserve funds.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $21.2M

Specialized Containment Facility $8.5M

[#10] One-time build-out of an off-site hardened containment pen and short-haul transport preparation if a capture is achieved.

Contingency Reserve $6.5M

[#20] One-time reserve fund for catastrophic public-incident response, mass hospitalization, reconstruction, inquiries and reparations.

Facilities $1.7M

[#3, #4, #15] Control-room fitout (#3), reinforced egress engineering (#4), and permitting/civil-works/project management fees (#15) for working inside the transit system.

Demobilization Transfer $1.2M

[#30] One-time demobilization/transfer costs if site-management is relocated or the program is shut down (site remediation, removing infrastructure).

Equipment $1.1M

[#6, #8, #11, #22] Surveillance hardware and install (#6), mobile rapid-response vehicles (#8), specialized capture equipment procurement (#11), and communications hardware (#22).

Medical Contingency Fund $1.0M

[#13] One-time contingency fund specifically earmarked for major medical events, long-term care, indemnities referenced in the medical response note.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $625K

[#7, #9, #12] Initial data/storage processing and analyst tooling (#7), R&D initial setup and lab instruments (#9), and one-time specialized imaging/sample-prep fees (#12).

Legal And Pr Setup $250K

[#14] Initial legal/PR/liaison setup costs for cover strategy, government liaison and contract initiation.

Temporary Crowd Control Infrastructure $100K

[#5] One-time procurement of retractable barriers, rapid-deploy fences/gates, PA/stanchions designed for rapid installation/removal.

Simulation Setup $50K

[#18] One-time simulation/specialist contractor setup for regular drills and training scenarios.

Psych Ops Setup $50K

[#19] One-time production/setup costs for passenger-facing information, staged staff/actors, and cover-story materials.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.6M/yr

Staff Wages $6.0M/yr

[#1] Permanent MTF staffing for 24/7 coverage (~40–60 personnel); includes wages, benefits, overtime and recruitment.

Research And Monitoring $2.3M/yr

[#7, #9, #29] Ongoing data-analyst staffing and storage (#7), operational R&D budget for restraint development/testing (#9), and long-term behavioral monitoring/analysis (#29).

Transit Operator Compensation $1.8M/yr

[#2] Annual payments/reimbursements to the local transit operator for management takeover, lost revenue, certified staff compensation and contractual labor replacement.

Facilities Maintenance $810K/yr

[#6, #10, #16, #22] Ongoing maintenance for surveillance/storage systems and racks (#6), containment-facility upkeep if built (#10), platform/station repairs per-manifestation (#16), and communications/licenses maintenance (#22).

Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr

[#14] Ongoing legal counsel, PR, government liaison, settlements and travel/diplomacy costs to manage cover story and contractual relationships.

Medical Response And Triage Fund $500K/yr

[#13] Annual operational reserve for on-site medical teams, immediate triage, hospital bills and short-term care obligations.

Public Liability Payouts $400K/yr

[#28] Annual expected goodwill payments and compensation to affected commuters/businesses to avoid leaks and legal complaints.

Supplies And Consumables $365K/yr

[#11, #24, #27] Consumables and replacement parts: capture consumables and replacement gear (#11), general consumables used in interventions (#24), and PPE/equipment replacement cycle (#27).

Insurance And Indemnity $250K/yr

[#21] Annual premiums, indemnity payments and contractual risk-transfer costs to the transit operator/vendors.

Specialist Contractor Retainers $175K/yr

[#25] Retainers for on-call structural engineers, animal behaviorists, materials scientists and HAZMAT teams.

Logistics And Transport $130K/yr

[#8, #26] Moving equipment, overnight freight, vehicle fuel/maintenance and temporary track closure logistics (#8, #26).

Psychological Operations $115K/yr

[#19] Ongoing passenger-facing messaging, content production and covert information management to minimize panic.

Veterinary Biological Services $100K/yr

[#12] Recurring veterinary/biological analysis, imaging, histology, outsourcing specialized lab work and bio-waste handling.

Training And Drills $100K/yr

[#18] Recurring cost for crowd-control personnel training, simulation contractor fees and regular drills.

Redaction And Evidence Management $50K/yr

[#23] Personnel/software/licenses for video redaction, secure archival and legal-hold for forensic evidence.

Cleaning And Biohazard Disposal $50K/yr

[#17] Regular blood/body cleanup, decontamination and regulated biohazard disposal services.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.6M/yr

63.0% probability / year

Normal operating year with no major containment failures; routine manifestations handled by MTF with no large incidents or major capital projects.

regular_manifestations no_major_incident ongoing_R&D_and_maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $15.1M/yr

30.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

A moderately severe incident (trampling/partial breach) requiring elevated medical response, cleanup, legal payouts and limited emergency repairs.

injuries requiring hospitalization localized infrastructure damage increased legal/compensation payouts

🚨 Major Breach $19.6M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$6.0M vs baseline

Containment failure or high-casualty public incident requiring mass medical response, large-scale reconstruction and protracted legal/public inquiry.

mass-casualty event public exposure major infrastructure damage

🚨 Capture And Containment Buildout $22.1M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$8.5M vs baseline

Successful capture leads to decision to build an off-site hardened containment facility in the same year, incurring large one-time capital expenditure.

successful_restraint_attempt strategic_decision_to_construct_off-site_pen

👥 Personnel 48 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	28	[#1] Front-line containment, crowd control, armed response and station management (multi-shift staffing).
Research Scientist	4	[#1] Scientists leading R&D into restraints, conducting tests and experiments.
Medical Officer	4	[#1] On-site medics for triage and emergency care during manifestations.
Engineer / Maintenance	6	[#1] Structural, vehicle and systems maintenance for station modifications and equipment.
Administrative Staff	3	[#1] Scheduling, contractor coordination, logistics and liaison work.
Site Director / Executive Staff	1	[#1] Program leadership and liaison with higher Foundation/agency command.
Analyst / Data Reviewer	2	[#7, #29] Video/data analysts reviewing surveillance footage and maintaining behavioral logs.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are built from analyst line-item ranges and a defined operating model, but many items (frequency/severity of incidents, success of R&D, local contractual terms) remain uncertain, resulting in moderate confidence.

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