SCP-2990 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2990
Expected annual
$10.9M
One-time setup
$27.7M
Annual recurring
$10.5M
Personnel
12
Initial one-time setup is substantial (~$27.7M) driven by space-tracking capability and contingency reserves; ongoing annual costs are approximately $10.49M/yr, dominated by monitoring staffing, satellite/ground monitoring & research, and deployment/response operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $27.7M
Space Tracking Program $10.0M
[#20] One-time smallsat/hosted payload program and associated program-level development to enable persistent space-based tracking.
Emergency Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#21] Recommended one-time contingency reserve for escalations, mass exposures, litigation and ad-hoc purchases.
Facilities $2.4M
[#4] One-time construction/installation of ~40 remote sensor/site installations (hardened towers, hangars, site work).
Equipment $1.5M
[#1, #17] Monitoring & command center hardware, secure comms, servers and specialized research hardware (laser-ranging, LiDAR baseline).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#10, #11] Secure pharmaceutical/amnestic production setup (cleanrooms, QA/QC, BSL-2+ systems) and R&D startup for amnestic line.
Aerosol Dispersal Kit $1.2M
[#13] Initial aircraft/large sprayer/modification kit for urban aerosol Class-S deployment capability.
Mobile Perimeter Beta C Kit $750K
[#7] One-time cost per Beta-C deployable kit (expanded vehicle complement, UAVs, generators, mobile medical/decon systems).
Mobile Perimeter Beta Kit $250K
[#6] One-time cost per Beta-A deployable kit (vehicles, comms, portable power, field lab consumables).
Site45 Storage Modification $75K
[#15] One-time modification/upgrade of Site-45 storage locker for SCP-2990-A (if required).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.5M/yr
Research And Monitoring $2.4M/yr
[#3, #16, #20] Satellite imagery subscriptions & tasking (~$1M/yr), research & testing budget (non-invasive sensing, staff & consumables ~$850k/yr), ground ops for space-tracking (~$500k/yr).
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#2] Monitoring center staffing (3 shifts, ~10–12 personnel: analysts, duty officers, sysadmins, logisticians); salaries, benefits, shift premiums, training.
Administrative Overhead $1.1M/yr
[#25] Back-office HR, accounting, secure archival, inventory control and procurement processing (estimated ~12% of operational run-rate).
Mtf Deployment Operations $1.1M/yr
[#8] Recurring per-deployment operational costs (estimated annual mix: multiple Beta-A and occasional Beta-C deployments; includes activation pay, travel, consumables).
Facilities Maintenance $775K/yr
[#4, #5, #15, #23] Remote site maintenance/replacements ($400k/yr), Site-45 allocation/security ($100k/yr), energy & fuel for remote sites and field operations ($275k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $650K/yr
[#19] Airlift/helicopter/charter insertion baseline budget for repositioning kits and remote insertions.
Supplies And Consumables $625K/yr
[#12] Recurring amnestic production, storage and distribution (baseline manufacturing/stock replenishment).
Cover Story And Legal $625K/yr
[#18] Legal, public cover-up, media monitoring, PR, payouts and settlements to prevent panic (baseline).
Insurance And Risk Allowances $500K/yr
[#22] Hazard pay, insurance and personnel risk allowances for exposed MTF/site staff.
Training Exercises $475K/yr
[#9] Annual MTF training, exercises and drills (ranges, instructors, simulated exercises).
Aerosol Dispersal Operations $200K/yr
[#13] Recurring per-operation costs for aerosol dispersal capability (baseline occasional small operations assumed).
Medical And Antidote Distribution $200K/yr
[#14] Baseline recurring budget for temporary clinics, vaccinators, transport refrigeration and antidote distribution.
Decontamination And Environmental Mitigation $100K/yr
[#24] Baseline budget for environmental testing and remediation after aerosol events or long-term camps.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.5M/yr
64.5% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing monitoring, occasional small deployments, routine research and maintenance; no major urban incidents.
routine_surveillance scheduled_maintenance occasional_field_deployments
🚨 Minor Incident $10.8M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Small-scale event (single Beta-A deployment and limited aerosol/medical response) requiring modest incremental operational spending.
single_instance_moves_near_town short_beta-a_deployment limited_aerosol_dispersion
🚨 Major Incident $14.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Mid-sized urban event requiring Beta-C deployment, large aerosol application, mass antidote distribution, legal/coverup costs and use of contingency funds.
instance_enters_mid-sized_city mass_amnestic_administered extended_MTF_stationing
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $25.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Multiple simultaneous urban penetrations or large-scale exposures requiring major emergency spending, contingency drawdown, widespread medical response and extended operations.
multiple_city_exposures mass_casualty_scale_response major_litigation_and_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Analyst 4 [#2] Monitoring analysts handling telemetry, imagery and alerts across shifts.
Duty Officer / Watch Officer 2 [#2] Shift duty officers coordinating responses and incident escalation.
Sysadmin 2 [#2] Maintain secure comms, SIEM, servers and classified network segments.
Logistician 2 [#2] Coordinate kit pre-staging, transport and field resupply for deployments.
Watch Supervisor 2 [#2] Supervisory staff across shifts included in monitoring center staffing pool.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are medium confidence: containment posture and recurring requirements are well-described, but many line items use wide ranges (satellite costs, contingency sizing, frequency of deployments). Several scenario probabilities and frequencies are analyst judgments due to limited historical incident data.
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