SCP-2999 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-2999
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$2.4M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
14
First-year (one-time setup + one year operations) estimated at roughly $2.4M one-time and $1.87M recurring per year; main cost drivers are construction of secure holding cells, research/lab setup, contingency reserves, and ongoing security/IT personnel costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $650K
[#9, #19] Forensic analysis/remediation and specialized lab/instrumentation: teardown/analysis of infected drones/security systems (#9 ~$150k) and research program setup (vintage hardware, FPGA/DEV boards, secure lab space) (#19 ~$500k).
Legal And Coverup Contingency Fund $500K
[#16] One-time contingency fund for settlements/containment publicity / Hayward Protocol implementation contingency.
Decommissioning Contingency $500K
[#27] Contingency reserved for worst-case decommissioning/escalation (site quarantine, large-scale replacement, PR/legal).
Facilities $350K
[#1] Construction/modification of SHC 312 & SHC 369: reinforced lockable cells, airlocks, tamper sensors, acoustic isolation, climate/humidity control and physical separation.
Equipment $270K
[#2, #3, #4, #13, #14, #15, #20, #25] Initial purchase of dedicated air-gapped workstation (#2 $5k), audio containment/monitoring setup (#3 $30k), multi-modal sensors & analog backups (#4 $75k), UPS (#13 $10k), interlock/transfer hardware (#14 $70k), WORM archival hardware (#15 $20k), data-diode/appliances (#20 $50k), and records-redaction/printing equipment (#25 $10k).
Incident Response Fund Initial $100K
[#23] Initial rapid-response / emergency repair reserve.
Clearance Processing Initial $20K
[#18] Initial background checks/psych evals/security clearance processing for ~10 core staff ($2k/person initial).
Device Disposal Contract Setup $10K
[#8] One-time SOP/contract setup for environmental-compliant e-waste disposal and chain-of-custody procedures.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #11, #12] Ongoing salaries/benefits for on-site security (8 FTE @ $60k = $480k) (#5), containment specialists/technical staff (2 FTE @ ~$120k = $240k) (#6), digital forensics/IT support (2 FTE @ ~$120k = $240k) (#7), feeding/supervision support (~1 FTE ~$55k) (#11), and conservator/consultant (~1 FTE-equivalent contracted ~$17.5k) (#12).
Research And Monitoring $358K/yr
[#3, #15, #19, #21, #26] Recurring research budget and monitoring: audio analysis/licenses ($3k) (#3), archival storage maintenance ($7.5k) (#15), recurring research program budget (~$300k) (#19), red-team/containment simulations (~$50k) (#21), and environmental/biohazard monitoring (~$5.5k) (#26).
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#16] Ongoing legal team costs for liability, FOIA/agency coordination, and cover-story management.
Incident Response Replenish $100K/yr
[#23] Annual replenishment allotment for the rapid-response/emergency repair fund.
Psychological Services $70K/yr
[#17] Psychological screening, trauma counseling, on-call counseling and long-term follow-up for exposed personnel.
Red Team Exercises $50K/yr
[#21] Periodic containment-breach simulations and independent audits.
Logistics And Transport $28K/yr
[#22] Secure transportation, armored/locked vehicle operations, couriers, and emergency relocations.
Forensic Software Licenses $20K/yr
[#7] Software licenses and secure imaging hardware maintenance for digital forensics.
Cybersecurity And Maintenance $20K/yr
[#20] Maintenance/licenses for data-diodes, SIEM/monitoring, BIOS/firmware management tools and port control.
Supplies And Consumables $18K/yr
[#8, #24, #25] Consumables and disposals: quarantine/destruction per-device disposals (~10 devices at $200–$500 each → ~$3,500) (#8), consumables/PPE/small parts (~$10k) (#24), and records redaction labor/supplies (~$5k) (#25).
Horticulture And Yarrow $10K/yr
[#10] Secure cultivation/contracted supply of Achillea millefolium (~82 kg/yr) including grow-space, lighting, testing, and secure handling.
Multimodal Storage Maintenance $8K/yr
[#4] Storage, NVR upkeep, analog tape handling and maintenance for redundant sensor systems.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#13] Incremental electricity/HVAC electrical load and small facilities maintenance; includes HVAC/climate stabilization electricity estimate.
Environmental Monitoring $6K/yr
[#26] Routine biological/chemical monitoring for degradation, mold, off-gassing, and safety testing.
Clearance Revalidation $5K/yr
[#18] Annual revalidation / periodic retraining and clearance rechecks for core 2999 staff.
Records Redaction $5K/yr
[#25] Ongoing labor/time for redaction, secure printing, and controlled dissemination.
Audio Maintenance $3K/yr
[#3] Maintenance, licensing, and support for audio capture/analysis systems.
Workstation Replacement $1K/yr
[#2] Amortized replacement of the dedicated air-gapped workstation every 5 years (initial $5k → ~$1k/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with scheduled maintenance, staffing, and research activities only.
no breaches routine research scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$-16000 vs baseline
Localized contamination/unauthorized-device incident requiring emergency device destruction, short-term overtime staffing, and limited forensic analysis.
unauthorized device discovered limited contamination short-term overtime hiring
🚨 Major Breach $2.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$934K vs baseline
Significant compromise (A spreads to critical systems or public exposure) requiring site quarantine, large-scale hardware replacement, extended legal/PR action, and major remediation.
A infects site infrastructure public exposure / FOIA cascade multiple-system compromise
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#5] 24/7 coverage with 3-shift overlap; estimated 8 FTE at ~$60k each.
Containment Officer / Technical Staff 2 [#6] Dedicated containment specialists to manage interactions and supervise feeds (~2 FTE).
Digital Forensics / IT Support 2 [#7] Two specialists to manage infected devices, air-gapped systems, and forensic imaging.
Support Staff / Technician (feeding & logistics) 1 [#11, #22] Feeding supervision (~0.5–1 FTE) and logistics support for horticulture and transport.
Conservator / Preservation Specialist 1 [#12] Part-time/contract conservator responsible for SCP-2999-B maintenance and documentation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of ranges from analyst notes and standard amortization; many line items have wide ranges or depend on site-specific infrastructure, so totals are approximate.
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