SCP-3000 — SCP-3000 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3000 Thaumiel ? low confidence

SCP-3000

Expected annual

$286.0M

One-time setup

$1.6B

Annual recurring

$271.5M

Personnel

580

Initial one-time capital to stand up containment is approximately $1.6B driven by vessel procurement/refit, patrol fleet procurement, Site-151 expansion, and contingency reserves; steady-state recurring costs are about $272M/year driven by vessel operations, Site-151 operations, diplomatic/cover payments, staff wages, and R&D/response reserves.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6B

Patrol Vessels Procurement $450.0M

[#4] Procurement of 3–6 medium patrol vessels to enforce 300 km quarantine (mid-range procurement cost chosen).

Submarine Acquisition Refit $400.0M

[#1] Capital purchase or bespoke refit of SCPF Eremita (midpoint of $150M–$800M range chosen as realistic baseline).

Emergency Response Seed $200.0M

[#21] Seed emergency/rapid escalation reserve (mid-point of $50M–$500M recommended as capital buffer).

Site151 Expansion $150.0M

[#10] Site-151 secure containment/quarantine medical wing expansion (mid-range of $50M–$300M).

Contingent Military $100.0M

[#30] Contingency allocation for potential kinetic/military escalation (minimum allocation $100M+).

Periodic Maintenance Reserve $75.0M

[#3] Seed/reserve for intermittent heavy drydock and overhaul costs (repairs every 3–7 years; mid-range reserve).

Scaleup Capacity Seed $50.0M

[#33] One-time reserve to seed rapid expansion of beds/staff if scale-up of affected individuals is required.

Seafloor Array Installation $40.0M

[#7] Seafloor/hydrophone array & cabled observatory nodes installation (mid-range coverage chosen).

Insurance Capital Reserve $30.0M

[#26] Capital reserve for internal insurance/actuarial contingencies (mid-range of $10M–$100M).

Patrol Aviation Procurement $20.0M

[#5] Purchase/availability of shipborne/shore aviation assets (mid-range airframe procurement).

Shore Support Berth $20.0M

[#9] Secure pier/port berth and shore staging facility build/refurbishment (mid-range).

Supply Chain Construction $20.0M

[#25] Construction of clandestine logistics chain: supply vessels, refrigerated stores, secure warehouses (mid-range).

Rov Auvs Procurement $15.0M

[#8] Fleet of deep ROVs/AUVs/tethered vehicles and spares (mid-range fleet procurement).

Sensor Network Deployment $10.0M

[#6] Moored sensor network (buoys, radar/AIS monitoring and spoofing) one-time deployment costs (mid-range).

Replacement Stockpiling $5.0M

[#24] One-time stockpiling of spare critical specialized gear and parts to reduce downtime (mid-range).

Training Simulator Procurement $3.0M

[#32] Specialized simulator hardware/software procurement for Atzak Protocol training (mid-range).

Hardened Data Infra $2.0M

[#17] Hardened, air-gapped server/storage & secure comms hardware initial capital (mid-range).

Legal Pr Setup $2.0M

[#19] One-time setup of front companies, legal infrastructure and PR cover (mid-range).

Biobank Initial $2.0M

[#31] Initial biobank/cryostorage capital for specimen archiving (mid-range).

Amnestic Lab Setup $1.0M

[#14] One-time setup for bespoke amnestic/memetic compound production labs and initial stockpile (mid-range).

Environmental Baseline Survey $1.0M

[#22] Initial environmental baseline surveys prior to long-term operations (mid-range).

Facilities $0

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Equipment $0

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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $271.5M/yr

Patrol Vessels Operations $45.0M/yr

[#4] Recurring operations for patrol vessel rotations (crews, fuel, maintenance; midpoint of $15–$120M/yr).

Site151 Operations $35.0M/yr

[#10] Recurring operations for expanded Site-151 medical/quarantine wing (staff, utilities, maintenance; midpoint $10–$60M/yr).

Security Personnel Salaries $30.0M/yr

[#13] Armed security, boarding teams and guards for Site-151 and maritime operations (midpoint of $16–$70M/yr).

Submarine Operations $25.0M/yr

[#2] Ongoing operations of SCPF Eremita: crew salaries, fuel/power, consumables, maintenance cycle amortization (midpoint ~$10M–$40M chosen).

Diplomatic Cover $20.0M/yr

[#18] Payments/compensation to local authorities, fisheries compensation and covert diplomatic cover (midpoint $5–$50M/yr).

Emergency Response Replenishment $20.0M/yr

[#21] Annual replenishment for rapid response reserve and chartering outside assets if used (annualized replenishment $10–$50M/yr).

R And D $20.0M/yr

[#28] Ongoing scientific R&D toward understanding/neutralization of SCP-3000 (midpoint $5–$50M/yr used).

Specialized Staff Salaries $15.0M/yr

[#12] Salaries and benefits for memetics/neurobiology/psych/containment research staff (midpoint chosen of $5–$30M/yr).

Patrol Aviation Operations $8.0M/yr

[#5] Recurring aviation operational costs (aircrew, maintenance, fuel; chosen modest air element support).

Intel Counterleak $8.0M/yr

[#20] Intelligence, counter-leak and internal security operations (midpoint $2–$20M/yr).

Seafloor Array Maintenance $5.0M/yr

[#7] Annual maintenance, power and data handling for seafloor/hydrophone array (midpoint $1–$10M/yr).

Recruitment Training $5.0M/yr

[#16] Ongoing recruitment, vetting, training and attrition replacement costs (mid-range $1M–$10M/yr).

Data Storage Comm $5.0M/yr

[#17] Annual secure data storage, analysis, encryption and commsat leases (midpoint $1–$10M/yr).

Per Patient Care $3.0M/yr

[#11] Long-term secure psychiatric care for affected individuals. Assumed baseline 10 patients at $150k–$1M/yr; $3M/yr chosen (10-patient baseline).

Amnestics And Pharma $3.0M/yr

[#14] Recurring production, storage and administration costs for pharmaceutical amnestics and memetic dampeners (mid-range).

Atzak Missions Annual $3.0M/yr

[#15] Per-mission Atzak Protocol costs annualized. Assumed ~12 missions/year at ~$250k average per mission (midpoint).

Legal Pr Operations $3.0M/yr

[#19] Ongoing legal, PR and front-company maintenance costs (midpoint $1–$10M/yr).

Supply Chain Operations $3.0M/yr

[#25] Ongoing costs for clandestine supply vessels, refrigerated stores and warehouse operations (midpoint $1–$10M/yr).

Rov Operations $2.0M/yr

[#8] Maintenance, deployments and operations for ROV/AUV fleet (midpoint $0.5–$5M/yr).

Shore Support Operations $2.0M/yr

[#9] Ongoing operations and security for dedicated shore support/port berth (mid-range).

Environmental Monitoring $2.0M/yr

[#22] Ongoing ecological monitoring and remediation protocols (midpoint $0.5–$5M/yr).

Sensor Network Maintenance $1.5M/yr

[#6] Annual maintenance and operations for moored sensor network (midpoint $0.5–$3M/yr).

Waste Management $1.5M/yr

[#23] Safe disposal of medical, hazardous and memetic residue (midpoint $0.5–$4M/yr).

Replacement Stockpiling Annual $1.5M/yr

[#24] Annual replenishment and replacement for stockpiled critical gear (midpoint $0.5–$3M/yr).

Insurance Annual $1.5M/yr

[#26] Annual internal insurance/risk-modeling and actuarial costs (midpoint $0.5–$5M/yr).

Psychological Care $1.5M/yr

[#27] Ongoing psychological care, decompression and family support for staff (midpoint $0.5–$5M/yr).

Periodic Medical Testing $1.0M/yr

[#31] Ongoing biopsies, tissue banking maintenance and sample archiving costs (mid-range $0.2–$3M/yr).

Public Safety Outreach $500K/yr

[#29] Public safety notices, coast guard coordination and staged incidents to validate the zone (mid-range $0.2–$2M/yr).

Simulator Upkeep $500K/yr

[#32] Annual upkeep for training simulators and memetic inoculation research systems (midpoint).

Staff Wages $0/yr

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Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

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Research And Monitoring $0/yr

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Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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Cover Story And Legal $0/yr

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Scaleup Contingency $0/yr

[#33] Contingent recurring costs for catastrophic mass infection are not included in baseline; handled as scenario-driven scale-up.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $271.5M/yr

83.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine operations, regular Atzak missions at baseline frequency, and no major incidents or breaches.

routine_operations scheduled_maintenance regular_research_missions

🚨 Minor Incident $301.5M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline

Limited containment incident requiring emergency response: asset damage, small leak, localized public exposure, or limited diplomatic fallout.

limited_breach equipment_failure localized_public_exposure

🚨 Major Breach $771.5M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline

Major containment failure or loss of a major asset (e.g., loss of Eremita) requiring international-scale response, asset replacement, and large diplomatic/military actions.

loss_of_Eremita widespread_memetic_leak international_military_escalation

👥 Personnel 580 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	300	[#13, #4, #25] Armed security, boarding teams and maritime response personnel for Site-151 and patrols; count derived from $30M/yr security payroll (midpoint) at ~100k fully-burdened.
Research Scientist	100	[#12, #28] Memetics, neurobiology, psychologists, containment engineers and senior researchers; count derived from $15M/yr specialist payroll at ~150k average.
Submarine Crew / SCPF Eremita	60	[#1, #2] Active crew and specialized personnel assigned to Eremita (Atzak protocol crew); consistent with 40–70 crew estimates.
Medical Officer	30	[#10, #11, #31] Clinical and psychiatric staff for Site-151 quarantine/long-term care and forensic sampling.
Engineer / Maintenance	40	[#3, #8, #24] Technicians maintaining vessels, ROVs, sensor networks and memetic equipment.
Administrative Staff	20	[#19, #26] Administrative, legal/PR liaisons, and program management staff supporting operations and cover programs.
Intelligence / Counterintelligence	10	[#20] Internal security, leak prevention, regional intelligence and counter-leak operations.
Research Support / Lab Techs	20	[#14, #17, #31] Lab technicians for amnestic production, data handling, biobank maintenance and sample processing.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates use midpoints of wide ranges provided; major uncertainty remains in frequency of Atzak missions, number of affected individuals, diplomatic/cover obligations, and catastrophic escalation scenarios, all of which can change recurring costs by orders of magnitude.

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