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SCP-3021 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3021
Expected annual
$5.7M
One-time setup
$4.4M
Annual recurring
$5.6M
Personnel
24
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $4.4M, primarily driven by R&D, countermeasure program seed funding, and insurance/contingency; recurring annual costs are approximately $5.63M driven by staff wages, long-term monitoring/R&D, emergency-response capability, and legal/PR/communications.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.4M
Countermeasure Research Initial $1.5M
[#15] Initial multi-year program seed funding for reversal/mitigation R&D (medicinal chemistry/cognitive trials).
Insurance Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#21] One-time contingency/insurance reserve recommended for large liabilities and crisis-level containment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $950K
[#4, #5] Initial memetic hazard R&D and safe-interface development (software/human-subject validation) and GMP-capable drug compounding lab buildout and QC/stability instrument purchase.
Facilities $390K
[#1, #11] Vault construction/outfitting and clinical exposure chamber outfitting (reinforcement, Faraday, suppression, medical display/monitoring).
Clearance Background Checks Initial $300K
[#10] Initial deep background investigations and psychological vetting for an access pool (~30 people).
Equipment $160K
[#3, #19, #25] Secure air-gapped server hardware and write-once media; initial data-archiving hardware; miscellaneous capital equipment (monitors, secure tablets, PPE, backup power pieces).
Training Development Initial $100K
[#23] Initial SOP and training curriculum development, memetic-awareness course creation, and tabletop/live drill development.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Salaries for medical staff (physician, nurses/EMT), clinical psychologists/psychiatrists, and dedicated security staff (guards) plus supporting pharmacist/engineer/admin.
Emergency Response Capability $1.5M/yr
[#16] Standing rapid-response teams, vehicles, trained operators, and strike-team readiness to remediate exposures or public propagations.
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#4, #14, #15] Continuing memetic development and validation, long-term subject monitoring program costs, and ongoing countermeasure R&D operating budget.
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#17] Ongoing legal counsel, cover-story maintenance, contracts, and litigation defense budget (excludes communications takedown/PR line item).
Subject Recruitment And Compensation $400K/yr
[#13] Participant recruitment logistics, stipends/compensation, acute care/respite funds and ongoing participant support services.
Communications Control $250K/yr
[#18] Media/social monitoring, takedown operations, coordinated messaging and paid misinformation/cover efforts.
Clearance Background Checks Renewals $100K/yr
[#10] Annual/periodic reinvestigations and psychological screening renewals for access pool.
Drug Production And Supply $80K/yr
[#6] Raw materials, QC testing, qualified pharmacist time for routine production and replacement stock; secure transport between lab and vault covered separately where needed.
Facilities Maintenance $70K/yr
[#2, #24] HVAC/climate control, access-control testing, suppression servicing, incremental power/HVAC and facility overhead attributable to program.
Training Refreshers $50K/yr
[#23] Recurrent staff training, drills, and memetic-awareness refresher courses.
Ethics And Compliance $50K/yr
[#22] Internal ethics board operations, compliance audits, and advisory panels.
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#5, #12] Per-batch drug consumables and chamber single-use medical disposables/PPE/calibration consumables.
Data Archiving Maintenance $20K/yr
[#19] Secure archival storage maintenance, redundant backups, and specialized handling protocols for memetic records.
Waste Handling $15K/yr
[#20] Controlled destruction, hazardous waste transport and certification for memetic media and drug byproducts.
It And Server Maintenance $10K/yr
[#3] Maintenance, patching, and periodic hardware refreshes for air-gapped/memetic servers and secure delivery clients.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.6M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine testing, monitoring, and R&D continue.
routine_testing scheduled_R&D no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $5.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized accidental exposure or small-scale adverse reaction requiring field response, additional medical care, and PR/containment activities.
single_subject_adverse_reaction small_leak_or_unapproved_media_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $10.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant public propagation or multiple civilian exposures requiring large-scale remediation, legal action, and extended emergency response.
public_propagation_of_signifiers multi-subject_uncontrolled_exposure
🚨 Political Exposure $8.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Investigative journalism, civil suits, or political probes that force expanded legal/cover operations and long-term increased surveillance of subjects.
media_investigation civil_litigation regulatory_probe
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Medical Officer 1 Physician responsible for daily administration and emergency oversight. [#7]
Registered Nurse / EMT 2 Nursing/EMT coverage during exposure sessions and monitoring. [#7]
Pharmacist 1 Qualified compounding pharmacist for drug production and QC. [#6]
Research Scientist 2 Memetic hazard R&D and safe-interface development staff. [#4]
Clinical Psychologist / Psychiatrist 2 Screening, interpretation of memetic responses, and long-term follow-up. [#8, #14]
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 Dedicated vault/chamber guards for 24/7 access control and escorts (shift coverage). [#9]
Engineer / Maintenance 1 HVAC, suppression, and facility systems maintenance and testing. [#2]
Administrative Staff 2 Scheduling, logistics, subject recruitment administration, and documentation. [#13, #19]
IT Specialist 1 Air-gapped server maintenance, secure delivery client support. [#3]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-items and ranges, allowing a mid-range, program-level estimate; significant uncertainty remains around scale choices (number of subjects, desired emergency-response readiness, and insurance/reserve sizing), hence medium confidence.
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