SCP-3046 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3046
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$5.8M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
13
One-time capital and contingency costs are dominated by potential relocation and technetium procurement contingencies (~$5.85M total one-time). Main recurring drivers are security and research staffing, with ongoing operations and legal/PR/amnestic reserves totaling roughly $1.13M per year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.8M
High Severity Relocation $3.0M
[#21] Contingency capital for relocation to remote/no-human-access compound or indefinite sequestration ($1M–$5M range; midpoint $3,000,000 used here).
Technetium Procurement Contingency $1.0M
[#7] Contingency fund to attempt regulated/rare-material (technetium) procurement or legal pathways; set aside per analyst recommendation ($1,000,000; actual costs may be much higher or infeasible).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $765K
[#9, #10] Research instrumentation and lab buildout (high-res cameras, spectrometers, lasers, diamond-grade tooling) $750,000; controlled/isolated phone lab and burner SIMs setup $15,000.
Equipment $328K
[#4, #2, #14, #17, #5] Remote handling systems (robotic arm/teleoperated grippers) $225,000; secure storage room fitout/lockers/signage $17,500; hardened CCTV & storage $40,000; RF-isolated transport containers $35,000; initial PPE stock $10,000.
Facilities $250K
[#1] Construction of a secure RF-shielded containment vault (Faraday cage, airlock, HVAC, dehumidifier, access control and phone lockers). Estimate reflects midpoint of $150k–$350k range for site work and shielding.
Property Damage Contingency $250K
[#16] One-time reserve for structural repairs/cleanup if uncontrolled growth/breach occurs; recommended contingency $250,000.
Security Audit One Time $225K
[#11] One-time internal security audit & remediation (protocol changes, vetting, initial amnestic operations potential) estimated midpoint $150k–$300k.
Sop Development $25K
[#18] SOP development, tabletop exercises and initial rollout one-time cost $25,000.
Cash Reserve $6K
[#6] Small ready cash/goods reserve for immediate exchange (~$2k–$10k); midpoint budgeted at $6,000.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $810K/yr
[#3, #8, #9] 24/7 security staffing including benefits (~6 guards + 1 supervisor = ~$460,000 base + 25% benefits included), research personnel salaries (~$300,000/yr for 2–4 researchers and 1 PI), plus emergency response on-call salaries (~$50,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $108K/yr
[#13, #19, #12] Legal liaison/cover-story and liaison payments (midpoint ~$47,500/yr), public relations/media suppression reserve ~$50,000/yr, baseline amnestic/personnel memory-management budget ~$10,000/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $107K/yr
[#5, #6, #9, #10] PPE replacement/consumables ~$3,250/yr; research consumables/experiments ~$100,000/yr; small cash reserve replenishment ~$1,000/yr; SIMs/telephony services ~$3,000/yr.
Research And Monitoring $70K/yr
[#11, #14, #20] Enhanced monitoring and IT/OPSEC ongoing costs ~$50,000/yr; CCTV/data handling maintenance ~$15,000/yr; archival storage and logging ~$5,000/yr.
Medical And Emergency Care $20K/yr
[#15] Medical care, emergency extraction and triage contingency budgeted ~$20,000/yr for posture against moderate incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $8K/yr
[#1] Annual maintenance, HVAC/dehumidifier operation and utilities for RF-shielded vault estimated ~$8,000/yr.
Training And Compliance $6K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training, drills and compliance auditing estimated ~$6,000/yr.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#17] Inspections and transport container maintenance/inspections estimated ~$5,000/yr.
High Severity Relocation Operating Cost $0/yr
[#21] Recurring operating costs for a relocated/indefinitely quarantined site would be ~$500,000/yr, but this is conditional; set at $0 in baseline recurring budget and captured as scenario expense if triggered.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
94.8% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with no major incidents; routine operations, monitoring, and reserves only.
no accidental contact no public exposure regular maintenance and training
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$70K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring PR/amnestic response, small repairs, or modest medical/amnestic costs (no large structural damage).
small public sighting single-person contact event limited property/vehicle loss
🚨 Major Incident $1.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant containment event with property damage, larger legal/compensation costs, extended emergency response and investigative audits.
growth event in non-designed area multiple civilian exposures substantial property damage
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $4.6M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Worst-case year requiring relocation to a remote compound or indefinite sequestering, incurring capital relocation costs plus elevated operating expenses.
repeated containment failures unmanageable public hazard decision to relocate/sequester
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] Six guards covering three 8-hour shifts (two per shift). Salaries included in staff_wages.
Security Supervisor 1 [#3] On-site supervisor overseeing guard teams; salary included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 3 [#9] Laboratory researchers (2–4 typical; budgeted personnel cost covers these roles).
Principal Investigator 1 [#9] PI overseeing research program; personnel cost included in research personnel budget.
Emergency Response Team (on-call) 2 [#8] On-call rapid-response personnel; costs modeled in staff_wages/on-call budget.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item recurring costs (wages, facility maintenance, research consumables) are well-specified, but large contingency items (technetium procurement, relocation capital, severity/frequency of public incidents) are highly uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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