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SCP-3047 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-3047
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$2.3M
Annual recurring
$1.6M
Personnel
13
Initial containment and site modifications require substantial one-time capital for hangar modifications, hyperbaric and life-support equipment, and transport of the locomotive (~$2.3M). Ongoing annual costs are dominated by staff wages (research, medical, security), contingency/admin overhead, and facility/life-support operations (~$1.6M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.3M
Facilities $1.2M
[#1, #15] Containment hangar modifications (rail spur, reinforced floor, sealed access, CCTV infrastructure) and one-time generator/transfer switch purchase.
Equipment $530K
[#4, #5, #7, #12, #13, #14] SCUBA kits, compressed-gas fill station (one-time), hyperbaric chamber (one-time), remote inspection robotics (one-time), environmental sensor suite (one-time), CCTV hardware (one-time).
Heavy Transport And Transfer $300K
[#2] Heavy transport, sea freight/heavy-lift crane/flatbed/rail trucking, customs/handling and insurance for moving a >40-ton locomotive to site.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $115K
[#6, #10, #11] Initial confined-space diving training and team onboarding, aquaculture system setup for stenohaline/euryhaline species, initial live-animal procurement/permits/quarantine.
Insurance Contingency Reserve Initial $100K
[#20] Initial contingency/incident response reserve for unplanned incidents, equipment failure, personnel injury, or emergency relocation.
Cover Story Initial $50K
[#19] Initial cover fabrication/placement and emergency contingencies used during seizure and early containment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#6, #8, #9, #18] Salaries + benefits and recurring personnel costs: scientific staff (researchers, technicians, vet, aquaculture tech), on-call medical/diver medic costs, and multi-shift security guards (6 guards). Includes recurring training/medical recertification.
Administrative Overhead $200K/yr
[#24] Site-level overhead (procurement, facilities management, HR, accounting) estimated as ~15% of recurring direct costs.
Research And Monitoring $96K/yr
[#12, #13, #21, #23] Remote inspection/robot maintenance, continuous environmental monitoring calibration and outsourced sample analyses, recordkeeping/data analysis/software licenses, plus a baseline special-research contingency for expanded experiments.
Supplies And Consumables $70K/yr
[#10, #11, #16, #17] Aquaculture feed and salt, replacement stock and quarantine consumables, permits/renewals/compliance, scuba consumables (replacement cylinders, O-rings), necropsy/disposal/forensics costs.
Facilities Maintenance $68K/yr
[#3, #5, #7, #14, #22] Locomotive and local rail maintenance, compressor maintenance/certification, hyperbaric chamber maintenance/inspections, CCTV/storage/maintenance, annual structural/engineering inspections and certifications.
Power And Fuel $30K/yr
[#15] Electricity for life-support (tanks, compressors, HVAC, lighting, CCTV) and fuel contracts for backup generator.
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#19] Ongoing media monitoring, legal liaison, and cover-story maintenance costs.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr
73.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, scheduled maintenance, and no major incidents.
routine_maintenance regular_research_activity no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized incident such as an equipment failure, small animal mortality cluster, or minor medical event requiring emergency response and repairs.
equipment_failure small_mortality_event medical_response
🚨 Major Breach $2.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Serious containment/medical incident (multiple personnel injured or major animal die-off) requiring large-scale emergency response, legal/PR actions, significant equipment replacement or relocation.
multi-casualty_medical_event large_scale_equipment_failure emergency_relocation
🚨 Research Scaleup $1.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Planned expansion of research (breeding programs, long-term ecological experiments, additional staffing/equipment) increasing operational tempo and costs.
breeding_program expanded_human_entries additional_instruments
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 Senior researchers conducting anomaly studies; salaries included in staff_wages.
Research Technician 2 Technical support for experiments and equipment; salaries included in staff_wages.
Veterinarian / Animal Welfare Officer 1 Veterinary oversight for imported and on-site specimens; salary included in staff_wages.
Aquaculture Technician / Keeper 1 Full-time aquaculture technician for tank maintenance and husbandry; salary included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer / Diver Medic 1 On-call medical/diver medic for confined-space and decompression incidents; costs included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 Multi-shift security coverage for 24/7 rotation; wages and benefits included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item estimates for each major capital and operating cost and specific staffing levels; mapping to categories is straightforward and most costs are standard (transport, HVAC, life-support, wages), so estimates are well-constrained.
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