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SCP-3049 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3049
Expected annual
$88K
One-time setup
$278K
Annual recurring
$86K
Personnel
0.2
One-time setup and containment hardware (~$268k) are the main capital drivers; recurring annual costs are modest (~$86k/yr) driven by fractional staffing, medical/amnestic treatments, readiness, and legal/cover story maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $278K
Contingency Reserve $100K
[#20] Recommended emergency reserve fund for unforeseen high-cost interventions (minimum recommended).
Facilities $75K
[#1] Build/retrofit a standard secure storage room (reinforced walls, security door, HVAC/temperature control, evidence locker share) — mid-range estimate used.
Cover Story One Time $30K
[#16] One-time creation of cover narrative, fabricated paperwork, replacement ovens, contractor payments for initial cover setup.
Equipment $28K
[#2, #4, #9, #10] Sum of hardware/installation: gas isolation/lockable shutoff (#2), tamper/environmental sensors + camera + alarm integration (#4), secure server/hardware (#9), small instrumentation for activation detection (#10).
Amnestic Stockpile $20K
[#12] Initial stockpile purchase of standard amnestic courses (medium-sized stockpile).
Psych Eval And Amnestic Per Case $10K
[#7] Representative per-treatment/unit cost (working figure) for amnestic/clinical intervention; recurring budget covers expected annual cases.
Background Checks $5K
[#6] Initial background checks for ~5 authorized staff (one-time cost).
Memetic Training Development $5K
[#8] One-time policy/protocol development and initial memetic training materials.
Secure Transport Per Move $5K
[#17] Typical secure transport/relocation per-move cost (armored/specialized courier).
Evidence Removal And Chain Of Custody $600
[#3] Technician time to remove knobs, inventory/photograph, and evidence-grade container/locker share — mid-range estimate.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $86K/yr
Research And Monitoring $29K/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #18] Annual budget for psych/amnestic treatments (assume 1–3 cases/year at working figure), memetic refresher training, secure server maintenance/backups, and archival/research monitoring.
Cover Story And Legal $27K/yr
[#6, #13, #15, #16, #19] Ongoing access administration/background rechecks (#6 recurring portion), Ethics Committee/legal review/admin costs (#13), insurance/internal risk allocation (#15), cover maintenance/legal/PR costs (#16 recurring), and regulatory/compliance permits/inspections (#19).
Staff Wages $11K/yr
[#5] ~0.1–0.2 FTE of security/technical staff allocated (salary burden mid-range) plus inspection labor (monthly inspections).
Emergency Response And On Call $10K/yr
[#11] Annual readiness costs for tabletop drills, on-call rapid-response retainer, emergency amnestic/medical kit resupply and immediate response funds.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#10, #12, #21] Calibration/inspection for small instruments (#10), annual amnestic replacement/expiry costs (#12), and miscellaneous consumables/maintenance (#21).
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#4, #14] Annual maintenance for tamper sensors/alarm/UPS battery replacements (#4) and utilities/HVAC share for controlled storage (#14).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $86K/yr
96.9% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, training, and occasional minor consumable replacement; no accidental exposures or transport events.
no exposures no transport routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $116K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Small accidental exposure or limited operational incident requiring medical/amnestic treatment for a few personnel and modest PR/legal response.
single-person exposure minor memetic awareness localized PR inquiry
🚨 Major Breach $786K/yr
0.1% probability / year +$700K vs baseline
Significant containment/knowledge dissemination event requiring large-scale amnestic treatment, extended therapy, legal settlements, possible relocation and use of contingency reserve.
widespread knowledge dissemination multiple personnel exposures relocation/recontainment
👥 Personnel 0.2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Technician 0.2 [#5] Fractional FTE (0.1–0.2) allocated for periodic inspections, monitoring, and evidence handling; wage burden reflected in staff_wages recurring cost.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derived from analyst-supplied ranges and recommended midpoints; many items (amnestic case counts, contingency needs, PR/legal exposure) are scenario-dependent and imprecise, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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