SCP-3048 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3048
Expected annual
$741K
One-time setup
$256K
Annual recurring
$734K
Personnel
7.35
One-time startup capital of approximately $256,000 for containment retrofit, room systems and specialist equipment, with recurring annual costs of about $734,200 driven primarily by security and medical staffing, ongoing research/diagnostics, food/procurement, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $256K
Equipment $111K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #14] One-time equipment purchases and installations: redundant clean-agent fire suppression installation (item #2), explosion-proof/medical refrigerator (item #3), CCTV/environmental monitoring hardware (item #4), basic non-combustible feeding utensils and optional remote feeding arm (item #5), IV pumps (item #6), initial PPE kit (item #14). Remote feeding arm is optional but included as capital here.
Facilities $75K
[#1] Containment cell retrofit: fireproofing, non-combustible and non-sparking surfaces, fixture removal and certification (site contractor).
Breach Contingency Reserve $50K
[#25] One-time contingency reserve fund for containment breach/escalation readiness (initial capital reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15K
[#10] Baseline laboratory testing and diagnostics (initial imaging, bloodwork, specialized assays) required at intake and to establish control state.
Initial Sop And Training $5K
[#19] Initial SOP creation and initial staff training sessions/drills (one-time development and rollout).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $734K/yr
Staff Wages $490K/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Ongoing salaries + benefits: security guard detail (~6 FTEs), on-site medical staffing (RN allocation + physician oversight), and research staff allocations.
Research And Monitoring $78K/yr
[#10, #24] Ongoing laboratory testing/diagnostics (periodic panels, specialized assays) and dedicated specialized research program budget.
Supplies And Consumables $41K/yr
[#6, #11, #13, #14] Recurring consumables: IV disposables and sterile supplies (item #6), regular meal procurement and supplements (item #11), entertainment/reading material rotation (item #13), PPE replacement and first-aid consumables (item #14).
Incident Repair Reserve $30K/yr
[#17] Annual reserve for repair/replacement of fixtures, sensors, refrigeration and cameras after incidents.
Secure Procurement And Rare Items $25K/yr
[#12] Budget for secure procurement, importation or premium sourcing for rare or geographically-specific food items and procurement cloaking.
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#22, #27] Cover-story maintenance, records management, legal contingency and small leak/quieting budgets.
Emergency And Breach Readiness $10K/yr
[#15, #25] Annual readiness costs for medical emergency/burn-care preparedness, drills and ongoing rapid-response readiness.
Administrative Overhead $10K/yr
[#21] Site utilities, janitorial allocation and shared-site overhead attributable to this case.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $6K/yr
[#16] Hazardous/combustion residue disposal and sanitation contracts.
Audits And Inspections $6K/yr
[#26] Annual internal audits, safety inspections and compliance reviews.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#20] Secure transport, chain-of-custody and cold-chain costs for perishables/special items.
Psychological Care $5K/yr
[#23] Counseling and behavioral management services for the subject.
Data Storage $4K/yr
[#18] Secure encrypted data storage, backups and classification-maintenance for logs and health records.
Training And Sop Refresh $2K/yr
[#19] Annual refresher training and SOP updates.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#2, #3] Annual inspection/maintenance for fire suppression system and energy/maintenance for explosion-proof refrigerator.
Monitoring And Recording Storage $1K/yr
[#4] Recurring monitoring service and storage costs specific to CCTV/environmental logging.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $734K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine operations, no major incidents.
routine maintenance scheduled research and feeding standard staffing rotations
🚨 Minor Incident $759K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small spontaneous-combustion event or localized damage requiring sensor-triggered suppression and modest equipment replacement/cleanup.
localized combustion event small equipment replacement hazardous waste removal and cleaning
🚨 Major Breach $884K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Significant containment incident causing cell repairs, major equipment replacement, potential staff injury and external medical transfers.
large-scale combustion damaging cell staff burn injuries requiring evacuation extensive equipment replacement
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $834K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Decision to expand research program significantly (external collaborations, additional assays, isotope/tracer studies).
approved expanded research project external lab contracts additional specialized assays
👥 Personnel 7.35 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#8] 24/7 guard detail: conservative 2 guards/shift × 3 shifts with relief (~6 FTE).
Registered Nurse 0.5 [#7] 0.5 FTE nurse allocation for IV placement/maintenance and health checks.
Medical Officer 0.1 [#7] Physician oversight allocation (~0.05–0.1 FTE) for case supervision.
Research Scientist 0.25 [#9] Senior researcher allocation (Dr. Daley) ~0.25 FTE.
Lab Technician 0.5 [#9] 0.5 FTE lab techs for sample processing and experimental work.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges provided; many line items have wide ranges (procurement variability, optional robotics, research scope) so midpoint estimates were used. Personnel and routine costs are better-defined than variable procurement and incident probabilities.
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