SCP-3124 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3124
Expected annual
$21K
One-time setup
$34K
Annual recurring
$17K
Personnel
0.10325
One-time setup is modest (tens of thousands) driven by locker retrofit, transport case and optional instrumentation; annual recurring costs are low-to-moderate (~$17k/yr) dominated by fractional staff wages, minimal research/testing and an incident contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $34K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20K
[#18] Optional specialized instrumentation / materials analysis (SEM/TEM/mass spec outsourcing and related one-off fees).
Equipment $7K
[#2, #3] Surveillance hardware (camera + sensors + installation) and secure transport container (custom hard case with tie-downs, seals, padding).
Facilities $4K
[#1] Locker retrofit (tamper-resistant lock, RFID logging, tamper plates, physical ID; hardware + installation).
Training Initial $2K
[#11] Initial training for handlers, security, admin and creation of SOPs (one-time).
Human Subjects Compliance Initial $2K
[#19] IRB-equivalent setup, informed consent templates and initial compliance review setup (one-time).
Cover Story Paperwork $500
[#12] One-time physical cover paperwork, labels and supporting documentation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17K/yr
Staff Wages $5K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #8, #10] Fractional guard coverage (note #5), custodial/handler hours for checks and access processing (#6), technician inspection time (#7), partial researcher wages allocated to monitoring (#8), and minimal medical on-call/oversight (#10).
Contingency Reserve $5K/yr
[#15] Annual reserved fund for incident response / rapid containment and initial cover-up actions.
Research And Monitoring $2K/yr
[#8] Non-wage recurring research costs (motion-tracking rentals, data storage/analysis) after splitting researcher wage component into staff_wages.
Cover Story And Legal $1K/yr
[#12, #17] Secure records hosting and basic admin for cover story maintenance (#12) plus a small annual legal/PR reserve for escalation (#17).
Test Sessions $1K/yr
[#9] Facility booking, PPE, participant compensation and consumables for occasional test sessions (assumes ~10 low-rate sessions/yr scaled to lower bound).
Logistics And Transport $500/yr
[#4] Average per-year budget for rare moves (vehicle rental/fuel, staff overtime/escort, admin/permits; assumes infrequent moves).
Surveillance Maintenance $500/yr
[#2] Integration/maintenance fee for camera/sensor connection to site security (~$500/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $300/yr
[#14] Tamper seals, gloves, batteries, evidence bags, cleaning supplies, stationery.
Insurance And Space Charge $300/yr
[#16] Internal chargeback/opportunity cost for storage space and small insurance/replacement fund.
Energy And Utilities $200/yr
[#13] Power for camera, sensors and small environmental logger.
Human Subjects Admin $200/yr
[#19] Ongoing admin for human-subject compliance, consent updates and minimal recruitment administration.
Training And Documentation Refresh $200/yr
[#11] Annual refresher training and SOP updates.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $17K/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, occasional tests, fractional staffing and contingency reserve maintained.
no incidents only scheduled tests and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $29K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$12K vs baseline
Unauthorized access attempt, small containment recovery or local anomalous misuse requiring rapid response and modest PR/legal action.
unauthorized access / alarm response local containment recovery
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $75K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$58K vs baseline
Formal research program initiated or scaled up (outsourced instrumentation and substantially larger recurring research budget).
decision to open formal research project outsourced materials analysis / dedicated personnel
🚨 Major Breach $67K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Significant public exposure or breach requiring extensive recovery, legal/PR, travel and potential reimbursements.
public exposure large-scale containment recovery and cover-up
👥 Personnel 0.10325 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.0625 [#5] Fractional guard coverage (~0.0625 FTE approximating the allocated $2,500/yr security wage).
Research Scientist 0.025 [#8] Fractional research time allocated to monitoring and occasional tests (portion of research wages included in staff_wages).
Technician / Maintenance 0.004 [#7] Technician time for periodic inspections (2 inspections/yr) included in staff_wages.
Custodial / Handler 0.003 [#6] Short annual inventory/check and access processing hours included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 0.00625 [#10] On-call/minimal medical oversight for tests (portion of $500/yr included in staff_wages).
Administrative Staff 0.0025 [#11, #12, #19] Minimal admin time for SOPs, cover paperwork and human-subjects admin (included in staff_wages and recurring admin line items).
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment and operational needs are well described and allow reasonable budget estimates for routine items; optional research and incident costs have wide uncertainty, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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