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SCP-3128 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3128
Expected annual
$16.0M
One-time setup
$110.2M
Annual recurring
$15.6M
Personnel
9
One-time setup and containment hardware are modest, but large economic contingency reserves dominate costs. Total one-time capital outlay is dominated by strategic escrow and intervention seed funds; recurring costs are driven by emergency-fund replenishment, staffing, legal/coordination, and ongoing economic research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $110.2M
Strategic Escrow Large Scale Intervention $100.0M
[#29] Strategic one-time escrow to provide credible capacity to respond to national-scale market disturbances (recommended contingency planning budget).
Emergency Market Intervention Fund One Time $10.0M
[#19] Seed for a restricted contingency pool to enable initial covert market interventions and creation of operational instruments (minimum operational reserve selected).
Equipment $171K
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #24] Initial access-control/biometrics/SIEM hardware, UPS/backup generator, tamper-detection/remote lock-down hardware, high-res CCTV initial purchase and forensic storage hardware, and initial cybersecurity hardware/appliances.
Shell Corporation Setup $30K
[#20] One-time formation/setup costs for plausible shell entities used for covert transactions and interventions.
Facilities $25K
[#1] Museum-grade tamper-evident locker/vault installation including environmental control and local CCTV integration.
Chain Of Custody Setup $12K
[#8] One-time development of SOPs, training materials, specialized movement cases and tamper-seal kits.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8K
[#2] Initial professional conservation assessment and stabilization of the 1937 paper/wood game-set (initial conservation/stabilization costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.6M/yr
Emergency Fund Replenishment $10.0M/yr
[#19] Annual replenishment contribution to the restricted contingency pool to maintain operational capacity for market interventions (policy-chosen replenishment level).
Research And Monitoring $1.3M/yr
[#17, #18, #26, #23] Specialist economic research team and simulations, market-data subscriptions and compute, forensic accounting engagements per incident, and costs associated with running modelling/monitoring programs and some exercise-related analysis.
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#11, #21, #22, #12] Retained legal counsel for multi-jurisdiction coordination, public-relations/cover operations, coordination efforts with regulators/central banks, and baseline liaison coordination costs.
Staff Wages $850K/yr
[#3, #10] Salaries and benefits for dedicated on-site security (6 guards + supervisor) and senior research oversight (1-2 senior staff) required for Level-4 access control and approvals.
Central Bank Coordination $500K/yr
[#22] Covert outreach/liaison efforts, intermediaries, and influence campaigns to coordinate with regulators or central banks when needed.
Insurance Reserve $500K/yr
[#25] Annual contributions to self-insurance/reserve for loss, liability, and covert operational losses.
Public Relations $200K/yr
[#21] Ongoing media operations, paid placements, and occasional per-incident PR spend.
Per Operation Armored Transport And Mtf $150K/yr
[#9, #13] Budgeted annual expected spend on occasional armored transport and MTF deployments (per-move/operation costs vary widely; this is an annualized expected amount).
Poi Surveillance And Investigation $150K/yr
[#14] Ongoing covert surveillance, informant payments, and investigative travel for PoI-3128-1.
Forensic Accounting Retainer $150K/yr
[#26] Annual retainer and rapid-response funding for forensic accounting and market-tracing services; per-incident amounts may be higher.
Covert Liaison Reimbursements Retainer $125K/yr
[#12] Annual retainer to coordinate with law enforcement and reimburse overtime or provide incentives; per-operation reimbursements handled separately in per-operation estimates.
Incident Response Exercises $100K/yr
[#23] Quarterly tabletop and multi-disciplinary drills to rehearse containment and market-mitigation responses.
Personnel Turnover And Revetting $100K/yr
[#28] Recruitment, replacement, and re-vetting costs driven by elevated turnover due to secrecy/stress.
Audits And Compliance $75K/yr
[#27] Internal/external containment reviews and compliance audits following incidents or on a schedule.
Background Checks And Monitoring $60K/yr
[#15] Continuous vetting program costs (polygraphs, financial monitoring) for personnel with potential access.
Cybersecurity Maintenance $60K/yr
[#24] Ongoing SOC monitoring, vulnerability scanning, encrypted backups and maintenance of air-gapped systems.
Insider Risk Program $50K/yr
[#16] Ongoing training, psychological screening, counselling, and monitoring to mitigate insider risk.
Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr
[#2, #4, #5, #7] Ongoing maintenance of environmental controls, access-control system monitoring/storage, UPS/generator maintenance and fuel, and CCTV/storage upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#8, #9, #13] Baseline logistics budget for secure local movements, maintenance of secure transport kits, and limited planned relocations.
Shell Corporation Maintenance $25K/yr
[#20] Annual upkeep, compliance, and registered-agent fees for cover entities.
Psychological Care $25K/yr
[#30] Ongoing mental-health services and debriefing for involved personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#2, #8] Archival supplies, pest-control consumables, tamper seals and movement kit consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.6M/yr
86.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine containment, monitoring, and planned replenishment of contingency funds.
no incidents routine monitoring scheduled exercises
🚨 Minor Incident $16.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Limited PoI activity or small recovery operation requiring an MTF deployment, localized legal work, and supplemental forensics/PR.
local PoI detection single MTF deployment targeted legal/forensic response
🚨 Major Operation $17.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Complex international extraction/extradition or multi-jurisdictional intervention requiring extended MTF deployments, safehouses, and elevated legal/liaison costs.
international PoI capture large-scale covert operation significant legal action
🚨 Catastrophic Economic Event $90.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline
An event in which SCP-3128 gameplay causes systemic real-estate or market collapse requiring large-scale covert interventions and drawing heavily on strategic escrow.
widespread market contagion systemic real-estate shock need for national-scale intervention
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] Two armed guards per shift, 24/7 coverage (6 total) included in security payroll estimates.
Security Supervisor 1 [#3] On-site security supervisor included in staffing estimates.
Research Scientist 2 [#10] Senior researcher(s) with Level-4 clearance required for access authorization and oversight.
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment hardware, staffing, and many operational line items are well-scoped (medium confidence). Major uncertainty remains around policy choices for contingency fund sizing and the unpredictable scale of economic interventions, which causes substantial variance in one-time and annual costs.
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