SCP-3129 — SCP-3129 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3129 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-3129

Expected annual

$25.0M

One-time setup

$325.1M

Annual recurring

$21.0M

Personnel

Estimated initial capital/setup costs approximately $325,112,500 one-time, with baseline annual operating costs of ~$21,037,500. Major cost drivers are personnel (MTF teams and 24/7 monitoring), vehicle/RF hardware and ingest infrastructure, and a large national water-dosing contingency/reserve.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $325.1M

National Water Dosing Contingency Reserve $275.0M

[#28] Aggregate national contingency reserve for multiple large municipal events / national-level worst-case (midpoint of analyst aggregate range).

Major City Water Dosing Per Event $27.5M

[#28] Per major-city large-scale water-dosing event (higher-tier major-city estimate).

Equipment $10.1M

[#1, #6, #7, #8, #10, #20, #26] Nationwide broadcast ingest platform hardware and antennas (#1); mobile broadcast-intervention vehicles (#6); RF/IF override kits (#7); covert insertion / physical entry equipment (#8); initial tactical security kit (#10); secure digital archive hardware (#20); OPSEC/communications equipment (#26).

Municipal Water Dosing Per Event $5.6M

[#15] Per-event capital/ops cost estimate for a large-city municipal covert water-dosing operation (mid-range estimate).

Facilities $5.0M

[#11] Secure memetics lab and evidence vault buildout (hardened viewing rooms, Faraday cages, secure storage).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $550K

[#2] Initial memetic-detection software development & ML model build (initial dev and model training infrastructure).

Amnestic Stockpile Initial $550K

[#13] Initial procurement/stockpile of Class B amnestic doses (50k-dose stockpile midpoint).

Training Program Initial $500K

[#5] Specialized training program initial build and first-year certification (memetic safety, covert broadcast ops, drills).

Legal Framework Setup $300K

[#17] Initial setup of covert legal frameworks, contracts, and cover-story creation.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.0M/yr

Staff Wages $8.1M/yr

[#3, #4, #12] Monitoring analysts (6–12 FTEs) and supervisors (#3), MTF Tau-3 core staffing (40–60 personnel regional teams) (#4), research/clinical specialists (5–15) (#12); all salary+benefits.

Logistics And Transport $3.7M/yr

[#6, #9, #25] Vehicle maintenance and fuel for intervention vans (#6), per-deployment travel/lodging/overtime aggregated (#9), energy & utilities for RF ops and data centers (#25).

Cover Story And Legal $2.9M/yr

[#16, #17, #24] Station cooperation / emergency ad buys and payments to pull airtime (#16), ongoing legal/political/covert-ops oversight and counsel (#17), insurance/contingency funds for legal fallout and infrastructure damage (#24).

Emergency Reserve Fund $1.8M/yr

[#22] Reserve and rapid-procurement fund maintained for surge capacity and emergency contractor hires.

Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr

[#1, #2, #19] Ongoing ingest/cloud/server costs and feed licensing (#1), ML retraining and data labeling/ML ops (#2), public-health/epidemiology investigations (#19).

Facilities Maintenance $550K/yr

[#11] Operations, climate control, security and maintenance for secure memetics lab and evidence vault.

Water Dosing Readiness $500K/yr

[#15] Readiness/maintenance costs for municipal water-dosing capability (pump-in hardware readiness, chemist oversight, planning).

Mass Treatment Ops $475K/yr

[#14] Targeted clinic-based mass-treatment operations per medium-sized city (per-event cost; annualized assuming occasional events).

Social Media And Internet Removal $375K/yr

[#18] Contracts with platforms, takedown teams and content moderation to remove infected clips.

Training And Exercises $275K/yr

[#5] Recurring refresher trainings, memetic-safety drills, live exercises and legal briefings.

Archive Redaction And Legal Destruction $275K/yr

[#23] Costs for legal destruction, forensic deletion and compensation associated with destroying or sequestering public copies (per-event budget, annualized).

Social Media Emergency Escalation Fund $200K/yr

[#18] Emergency escalation funds for high-impact online outbreaks (per-event escalation budget, annualized).

Amnestic Replenishment $175K/yr

[#13] Replenishment, storage, and disposal costs for Class B amnestic stockpile.

Psychological Support Programs $175K/yr

[#21] Counseling and reintegration programs for treated civilians and monitoring after amnestic administration.

Rf Spare Parts And Calibration $125K/yr

[#7] Spare parts, calibration and maintenance for RF/IF override hardware and regional kits.

Tactical Security Replacement $100K/yr

[#10] Replacements, non-lethal crowd-control supplies, training and medic kit replenishment.

Communications Maintenance $62K/yr

[#26] Recurring costs for satphones, encrypted radios, crypto key management and secure comms maintenance.

Covert Insertion Replenishment $25K/yr

[#8] Replenishment of covert insertion and physical-entry equipment and consumables.

Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.0M/yr

64.5% probability / year

Typical year with routine monitoring, regional interventions, and occasional localized treatment operations; no major city water-dosing events or national incidents.

routine_monitoring localized_interventions no_mass_water_dosing

🚨 Minor Incident $25.0M/yr

30.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline

Above-average incident year with multiple localized outbreaks requiring extra deployments, additional clinic-based treatments, and elevated takedown/escalation spending.

increased_deployments localized_stage_2_clusters elevated_social_media_spread

🚨 Major City Water Dosing Event $48.5M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$27.5M vs baseline

A major-city Stage 2/3 outbreak requires covert large-scale amnestic water-dosing for a single major municipality.

major_city_stage_3_outbreak municipal_water_dosing_required

🚨 Catastrophic National Outbreak $296.0M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$275.0M vs baseline

Multiple major municipalities simultaneously require mass amnestic deployment, triggering use of national contingency reserves and extensive legal/cover operations.

widespread_multi-city_outbreaks national_scale_water_dosing_and_coverup

👥 Personnel 69 total

Role	Count	Notes
Monitoring Analyst	9	[#3] 24/7 monitoring analysts and supervisors (6–12 FTEs; midpoint used).
Security Officer / MTF Agent (MTF Tau-3)	50	[#4] Regional MTF Tau-3 teams (5 regional teams; 40–60 personnel total; midpoint used).
Research Scientist / Clinical Staff	10	[#12] Cognitive scientists, psychiatrists, medics for treatment and monitoring (5–15 specialists; midpoint used).

📋 Confidence Notes

Mid-range numeric estimates are used (midpoints) for many ranges; frequencies of events (deployments, municipal water-dosing usage) are highly uncertain. Analyst baseline summary was used to guide sizing [#27]; large contingency items (#28) are long-tail and raise one-time totals substantially.

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