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SCP-3172 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3172
Expected annual
$2.5M
One-time setup
$2.8M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
11
One-time startup costs are approximately $2.78M driven primarily by land acquisition, contingency reserves, and initial lab/equipment buildout. Annual recurring costs are approximately $2.36M driven by security payroll, satellite-imagery suppression and monitoring, and ongoing research/medical operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.8M
Land Acquisition $1.0M
[#1] Purchase or long-term lease/downpayment for 1–2 acre parcel and secure buffer zone (location-dependent).
Incident Contingency Fund $500K
[#27] Initial incident contingency and emergency remediation fund reserve (cash set-aside).
Equipment $290K
[#4, #8, #9, #11, #13, #25] Perimeter gates & access control, patrol vehicle(s) capital, CCTV/hardware setup, drone equipment, and backup generator capital.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#20, #21] Botanical/genomic lab setup, greenhouse and initial scientific instrumentation.
Incident Contingency 16 $250K
[#16] Up-front contingency/reserve recommended for legal/FOIA exposure and immediate remedies (per #16 recommendation).
Property Legal And Obfuscation $200K
[#2] Closing costs, covert acquisition, NDAs, retitling through shell companies and legal fees related to acquisition.
Facilities $190K
[#3, #18] Concrete perimeter wall construction and secure interview/observation room buildout.
Cover Story Initial Setup $50K
[#15] Initial PR/cover-story setup costs (signage, community outreach startup, initial local liaison work).
Environmental Permitting $50K
[#24] Permitting, impact mitigation and environmental consultant fees (one-time, location dependent).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#6, #17, #19] On-site security payroll (6 guards + supervisor), full-time interviewers/researchers (3 FTE), and on-call medical staffing.
Satellite Imagery Suppression $300K/yr
[#14] Ongoing costs to alter/suppress commercial satellite imagery, vendor contracts and monitoring of new imagery providers.
Armed Response Readiness $225K/yr
[#7] On-call tactical/rapid response readiness: training, stipends, travel, and equipment amortization.
Cover Story And Legal $175K/yr
[#15, #16] PR/cover-story maintenance, local relations and recurring legal/FOIA handling budgets.
Research And Monitoring $140K/yr
[#20, #22, #23] Lab operations and consumables (sequencing, reagents), long-term data archiving, transcription and publication suppression.
Supplies And Consumables $65K/yr
[#19, #30] Amnestic drug inventory/administration consumables and general consumables/site upkeep supplies.
Cctv And Cyber Ops $60K/yr
[#12] Video retention, off-site encrypted backups, video analyst time, SOC monitoring and cybersecurity patching.
Insurance And Worker Safety $60K/yr
[#26] Property insurance, workers' compensation, vaccinations, safety training and related premiums.
Contingency Replenishment $50K/yr
[#27] Annual replenishment budget to restore contingency fund after incidents or to maintain reserve levels.
Community Hush Payments $50K/yr
[#28] Annual local payments, witness management and small buyouts to minimize whistleblowing risk.
Facilities Maintenance $34K/yr
[#5, #25] Wall and perimeter upkeep, utilities and on-site power fuel/maintenance (annual).
Drone Ops $30K/yr
[#13] Drone pilot staffing, maintenance and insurance (annual operations).
Training And Drills $30K/yr
[#29] Regular training for security, interviewers, medics, and rapid-response simulations.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#10] Vehicle fuel, insurance, and maintenance operating costs for patrol/response vehicles.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations and no major incidents.
no breach routine research and monitoring regular PR/legal activity
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Limited breach attempt or notable public sighting requiring overtime, limited amnestic use, and PR response.
trespasser breach small-scale amnestic administration localized media attention
🚨 Major Breach $3.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or violent incident requiring emergency remediation, large amnestic administration, and legal/cleanup actions.
successful breach or mass exposure large-scale amnestic deployment substantial emergency remediation
🚨 Political Exposure $3.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
High-profile exposure or legal/political escalation requiring major payouts, relocation planning, and intense multi-year legal defense.
press investigation or FOIA victory local government involvement major litigation or forced disclosure
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#6] Six regular guards plus one supervisor to provide continuous coverage and rotations.
Research Scientist / Interviewer 3 [#17] Three specialized interviewers/researchers conducting long-term interviews and analysis.
Medical Officer 1 [#19] On-call physician/medic for amnestic administration and medical oversight.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and reasonable ranges; however many costs (land, imagery suppression, contingency needs) are highly location- and incident-dependent, producing moderate uncertainty.
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