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SCP-3173 Keter ✓ high confidence
SCP-3173
Expected annual
$37.3M
One-time setup
$62.3M
Annual recurring
$36.6M
Personnel
141
One-time capital of approximately $62.3M dominated by vessels, base construction, and hardened sensor/comms; annual recurring operations about $36.6M driven by salaries, diplomatic/cover payments, fuel/power, and contingency replenishment.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $62.3M
Equipment $37.0M
[#5, #6, #8, #9, #12, #14, #16, #18, #22, #23, #24, #25] Capital hardware and installed systems: diesel generators & infrastructure $3,000,000 (#5); perimeter cameras & comms backbone $4,000,000 (#6); patrol craft & supply vessel + spares $14,500,000 (#8); helicopter(s) $8,000,000 (#9); secure IT/hardened servers $500,000 (#12); lethal wildlife control drones/weapons fleet $1,000,000 (#14); initial weapons/body armor $650,000 (#16); environmental sensors $1,000,000 (#18); waste/incineration setup $1,000,000 (#22); UAV fleet $2,500,000 (#23); navigation aids $100,000 (#24); initial spare-parts/inventory $750,000 (#25).
Facilities $15.0M
[#4, #17] Base construction of shoreline facility including barracks/mess/medical/comms/pier/helipad ~$15,000,000 (item #4) plus welding/reinforcement of gate and minor structural work ~$25,000 (item #17).
Diplomatic Legal Setup $5.0M
[#11] One-time legal/diplomatic setup and agreements with UN/Russian partners, initial contracts to suppress satellite/airspace imagery and related legal work.
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#20] One-time containment contingency fund / reserve set-aside.
Amnestic Stockpile $250K
[#13] Initial stockpile & setup for Class-C/B/A amnestics and administration infrastructure.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
Analyst Summary $0
[#27] Analyst summary item (no additional cost; references aggregate estimate).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $36.6M/yr
Staff Wages $12.1M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #7, #10] Salaries and benefits: 65armed perimeter guards (~$4,875,000/yr, #1), support staff ~35 (~$3,150,000/yr, #2), 10 research staff + 3 psychologists (~$1,950,000/yr, #3), CCTV monitoring staff & ops (~$1,300,000/yr, #7), boat/boat-operations staffing ~$800,000/yr (#10).
Cover Story And Legal $11.0M/yr
[#11, #26] Ongoing diplomatic/covert payments, legal retainers, satellite/airspace suppression and indemnities: recurring political/covert payments & legal retention ~$10,000,000/yr (#11) plus insurance/indemnity/legal contingency ~$1,000,000/yr (#26).
Logistics And Transport $4.3M/yr
[#8, #9, #23, #24] Transport and vehicle recurring costs: patrol vessels & supply ship maintenance + fuel ~$2,000,000/yr (#8); helicopter fuel & maintenance ~$1,750,000/yr (midpoint used, #9); UAV maintenance/turnover ~$500,000/yr (#23); navigation/hazard program recurring administration ~$50,000/yr (#24).
Facilities Maintenance $3.7M/yr
[#5, #6, #17, #22] Facility-level recurring costs: diesel fuel and generator maintenance ~$3,000,000/yr (#5); perimeter camera/comms maintenance & bandwidth ~$300,000/yr (#6); wall inspection & coastal erosion/repair ~$200,000/yr (#17); waste management operations ~$200,000/yr (#22).
Containment Contingency Fund $2.0M/yr
[#20] Annual replenishment option for contingency/emergency response reserve.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#18, #19] Scientific monitoring and research: sensor monitoring/calibration ~$250,000/yr (#18); funded remote research programs and sample analysis ~$1,000,000/yr (#19).
Supplies And Consumables $1.0M/yr
[#21, #25] Consumables and inventory replenishment: food/water/medical/PPE ~$500,000/yr (#21); spare parts/consumables warehouse replenishment ~$500,000/yr (#25).
Ammunition And Training $500K/yr
[#16] Recurring ammunition consumption, training, replacements and non-lethal deterrent supplies.
It And Cyber Security $300K/yr
[#12] SOC, classified data storage maintenance, encrypted backups and cyber defenses recurring costs.
Amnestic Replenishment $200K/yr
[#13] Recurring amnestic usage, replenishment, administration and medical waste handling.
Lethal Wildlife Control $200K/yr
[#14] Recurring personnel, ammunition, incineration and operations to intercept/killing birds and carcass disposal.
Fauna Exclusion $100K/yr
[#15] Recurring shoreline/animal exclusion, traps, sanitation and patrols to prevent fauna from reaching barrier.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $36.6M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful operational year with routine maintenance, staffing, diplomatic payments, and scheduled research.
no major incidents routine resupply and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $41.6M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized incident requiring medevac, extra amnestics, short-term surge in helicopter/vessel sorties, emergency repairs and diplomatic damage control.
small containment breach or attempted breach medical evacuations / extra amnestic use limited infrastructure damage
🚨 Major Breach $61.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Major containment breach or politically-visible exposure requiring large-scale response, replacement of major assets, international payouts, and accelerated repairs.
large-scale breach or loss of assets international exposure requiring settlements and major rebuilding
👥 Personnel 141 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 65 [#1] 65 armed perimeter guards permanently assigned (explicit count in notes).
Support Staff (operations, medics, cooks, engineers, supervisors) 35 [#2] Support staffing estimated ~30–40; 35 used to match analyst wage estimate.
Research Scientist 10 [#3] 10 researchers explicitly listed.
Psychologist 3 [#3] 3 psychologists explicitly listed for screenings and follow-up.
CCTV Operators / Monitoring Staff 18 [#7] 18 operators (6 per shift) plus supervisors for 24/7 camera monitoring.
Maritime Crew / Boat Crew 10 [#10] Boat/patrol crew headcount estimated to align with the $800,000/yr boat-operations staffing line (approx. 10 crew at ~80k/yr each).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item estimates for nearly every cost category (salaries, capital, and recurring). Some items use midpoints for ranges (e.g., helicopter maintenance) and operational volatility (diplomatic payments, contingency) introduce uncertainty, but overall level of detail supports a high confidence rating.
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