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SCP-3192 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3192
Expected annual
$6.1M
One-time setup
$163.8M
Annual recurring
$5.4M
Personnel
30
One-time capital expenditure is dominated by construction of a 50 m, blast-rated underground bunker; annual operating costs are driven by security staffing, technical monitoring, energy, and legal/cover operations. Expect one-time capital on the order of hundreds of millions and recurring costs in the low single-digit millions per year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $163.8M
Facilities $150.0M
[#1] Excavation and structural construction of a 50m, 250-ton-TNT-grade hardened underground bunker (site preparation, geotech, 3–6m shell, foundations, blast-rated chambers).
Equipment $5.7M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #7, #14, #15, #17] Precision artifact vault/cell, armored blast doors, lift purchase & installation, CCTV hardware and servers, guard equipment, HVAC main units, backup power plant hardware, and IT hardware.
Decommissioning Reserve $5.0M
[#28] Reserved funds for long-term decommissioning or site remediation when facility is closed.
Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#24] Liquid contingency reserve / emergency response fund held for rapid containment response or stand-by contracts.
Transport And Recovery $500K
[#13] Secure transport, custom crate, shock-isolation rigging, convoy/airlift and short-term recovery task force costs.
Clearance Processing Initial $160K
[#10] Initial intensive background investigations and polygraph costs for high-clearance personnel (initial round).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#21] Initial equipment for constrained, non-invasive research and simulation (instruments, lab setup for safe tests).
Legal Setup $100K
[#12] Diplomatic/legal setup fees, permits and initial counsel for international/site-specific arrangements.
Misc Country Specific One Time $100K
[#30] Country- and site-specific one-time compliance, permitting, environmental mitigation and local compensation costs.
Conservation And Restoration $60K
[#18] Initial museum-grade conservation and any restoration/restabilization work on the artifact.
Spares Inventory $60K
[#23] Initial stock of spare parts, filters, backup cameras, batteries, seals and consumable spares.
Cover Story Development $50K
[#11] One-time development of cover story, training materials, legal vetting and initial roll-out.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.4M/yr
Staff Wages $3.3M/yr
[#6, #8, #9, #25] Ongoing payroll for continuous security guards (shift coverage), on-site technical monitoring staff (CCTV/IT/operators), high-clearance senior personnel, and site maintenance/support staff.
Administrative Overhead $400K/yr
[#29] Program management, procurement, accounting, audit compliance and non-payroll administrative costs.
Facilities Maintenance $275K/yr
[#4, #14, #22] Annual maintenance contracts: lift maintenance and service, HVAC maintenance and redundancy servicing, periodic structural/geotechnical recertification.
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#21] Limited, constrained research/test budget for safe experiments, simulations, and contracted analysis.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing upkeep of cover story, disinformation programs, legal retainers and liaison costs.
Energy Costs $200K/yr
[#16] Electricity for HVAC, lift, servers and continuous site load.
Medical And Psychological Support $200K/yr
[#19] Counseling, medical surveillance, crisis intervention and on-call psychological services for exposed personnel.
Insurance And Indemnity $150K/yr
[#27] Insurance, indemnity, legal reserves for public cover payments and FOIA/litigation-related secrecy costs.
It Cybersecurity $120K/yr
[#17] Support, licenses, audits, intrusion detection, air-gapped backup maintenance and cybersecurity contracts.
Power Generation Maintenance $75K/yr
[#15] Fuel rotation, backup generator maintenance and turbine/diesel upkeep.
Conservation And Preservation $75K/yr
[#18] Ongoing conservator inspections, environmental monitoring equipment maintenance and minor artifact repairs.
Ethics And Irb $50K/yr
[#20] Ethics oversight, audits, prohibited-exposure policy administration and record-keeping.
Misc Country Specific Recurring $50K/yr
[#30] Ongoing country/site-specific compliance, local workforce management and recurring permitting fees.
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#23] Consumables: filters, PPE, hydraulic fluids, lubricant, museum-grade consumables and small replacement parts used year-round.
Training And Drills $40K/yr
[#26] Regular tabletop and live drills for containment breach, lift failure, medical scenarios and emergency response.
Cctv Storage And Maintenance $30K/yr
[#5] Offsite backup storage, recording server maintenance and software licenses for tamper-evident logs and retention.
Security Training And Ammo $30K/yr
[#7] Annual ranges, qualifications, non-lethal training and consumables for guard equipment.
Vetting Annual $24K/yr
[#10] Recurring background rechecks, travel monitoring and periodic polygraphs for cleared staff.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#13] Recurring minor logistics for personnel/equipment movements and occasional secure shipments.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.4M/yr
77.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major containment incidents; routine maintenance, staffing, and monitoring costs only.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $5.7M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized containment breach or unauthorized viewing requiring investigation, overtime, limited equipment replacement and legal response.
unauthorized_viewing minor_containment_breach equipment_damage
🚨 Major Breach $25.4M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Large-scale breach or armed assault requiring emergency response, significant repairs/rebuild, replacement of damaged systems and major legal/liaison costs.
armed_assault mass_exposure facility_breach
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#6] Continuous 24/7 guard coverage with shift rotation and overlap.
CCTV Operator / IT Support 8 [#5, #8, #17] On-site continuous monitoring, recording oversight and IT/alarms support.
Research Scientist (Level 4 / high-clearance) 8 [#9] Senior personnel with Level 4 clearance who manage restricted information and oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#14, #15, #25] Facilities engineers and maintenance staff for HVAC, lift, generators and routine upkeep.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and ranges are well-defined for operating costs; the primary uncertainty is the one-time capital for a bespoke 50m, 250-ton-TNT-grade bunker (very wide market variance). Historical breach frequency informs scenario probabilities but future governance choices (use of existing military bunkers, diplomatic constraints) could materially change costs.
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