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SCP-3201 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-3201
Expected annual
$14.7M
One-time setup
$12.9M
Annual recurring
$14.2M
Personnel
45
Estimated initial capital and setup costs are approximately $12.9M, with recurring annual costs around $14.22M; main drivers are staff wages, ongoing contingency/reserve funding, cover-story/suppression operations, and logistics/air operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.9M
Facilities $5.8M
[#1, #15, #16] Logashkino site construction (remote base infrastructure) [$4,000,000 midpoint], secure vaults/curation facility buildout [$1,150,000 midpoint], biosecurity greenhouse & containment lab buildout [$700,000 midpoint].
Equipment $4.8M
[#4, #13, #30] Aerial amnestic delivery platform capital (aircraft + mods) [$2,250,000 midpoint], monitoring network deployment (sensors/arrays) [$2,000,000 midpoint], containment/test apparatus kit purchase [$550,000 midpoint].
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#6, #9, #27] Amnestic agent R&D and regulatory lab setup [$600,000 midpoint], Collingua translation program capital (secure lab/software/tools) [$550,000 midpoint], computing/modelling archival setup [$375,000 midpoint].
Cover Records Creation $350K
[#21] One-time creation of falsified archival imagery, property records, shell companies and purchase of removals/editing ($200k–500k).
Negotiator Training Initial $200K
[#11] Negotiator training & WK-11/5340 clearance program initial development cost (one-time program setup $200k).
Fabrication Tooling $150K
[#18] Specialized fabrication/procurement initial tooling/samples ($50k–250k) – midpoint used for one-time tooling/setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $14.2M/yr
Staff Wages $5.5M/yr
[#2, #3, #10, #25] Salaries and benefits: 20permanent on-site personnel salary portion (approx. $1.6M), permanent site security and MTF rotations ($1.15M midpoint), Collingua translation team salaries/ops ($800k midpoint), core SCP-3201 research team salaries/overhead ($2.0M midpoint).
Cover Story And Legal $2.9M/yr
[#20, #22, #23, #28, #12] Embedded media & meteorological presence (~$1.3M), ongoing satellite imagery/provider influence (~$550k), diplomatic/covert liaison & local permissions (~$500k), legal/PR/plausible science publications (~$450k), clearance maintenance & per-trainee recurring assessments (~$112.5k).
Emergency Contingency Fund $2.0M/yr
[#26] Emergency contingency & high-risk operations fund reserved for unpredictable anomalous incidents (recommended baseline ~$2M/year).
Supplies And Consumables $1.1M/yr
[#7, #17, #18, #30, #19] Amnestic production & consumables (~$200k), bio lab consumables/waste/vet care (~$150k consumable portion), specialized procurement/replacements (~$200k/year procurement), containment/test consumables (~$75k), archival object quarantine & testing consumables (~$225k).
Logistics And Transport $850K/yr
[#5, #29] Aerial amnestic delivery operations & readiness (pilots, maintenance, fuel, readiness) (~$600k midpoint) and routine/emergency transportation & logistics (~$250k midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $728K/yr
[#2, #15, #27] Recurring site utilities/heat/transport portion of Logashkino operations (~$500k), vaults & curation facility maintenance (~$115k), computing/hosting maintenance (~$112,500).
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#14] Monitoring operations & data analysis staff/ops for sensor net, 24/7 watch and data analysis (~$300k–500k; midpoint used).
Personnel Amnesticisation $400K/yr
[#24] Personnel amnesticisation for non-WK visitors/departures: mid-estimate used ~$400k/year (plans for ~100–300 events/year; mid chosen per analyst note).
Per Incident Amnestic Response $230K/yr
[#8] Per-incident amnestic response cost estimated $8k–$15k; annualized here using an operational assumption of ~20 incidents/year × $11,500 per incident = $230,000 (planning/expected incidents assumption).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $14.2M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with standard operations, expected incident tempo and routine maintenance; no major breaches or political exposures.
routine appearances scheduled maintenance standard barter negotiations
🚨 Minor Incident $14.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$545K vs baseline
Year with elevated instance activity causing more frequent aerial amnestic responses and localized remediation/repairs.
increased appearances near civilians multiple small containment responses
🚨 Major Breach $23.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$9.0M vs baseline
Major containment/security breach or large anomalous incident requiring emergency evacuation, large amnestic campaign, asset replacement and international covert expenditures.
large-scale breach site compromise mass exposure requiring wide amnestics
🚨 Political Exposure $19.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Diplomatic or public exposure requiring sustained covert payments, legal defence, enhanced suppression and expanded cover operations.
foreign government discovery major media leak satellite imagery/public records exposure
👥 Personnel 45 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 On-site security and rotational MTF presence; ties to item #3 and part of permanent site staffing (#2).
Site Maintenance & Support 6 Facility maintenance, logistics, helipad/airstrip operations included in Logashkino on-site personnel (#2).
Administrative Staff 4 Site admin, records, local liaison functions (portion of #2).
Research Scientist 12 Core SCP-3201 research team (topology, physics, linguistics, anthropology) per item #25.
Collingua / Linguist Specialist 5 Collingua translation team members (item #10; 4–6 specialists used; midpoint 5).
Pilot / Flight Crew 4 Aerial amnestic delivery crew and maintenance staff (item #5 recurring operations).
Medical Officer / Veterinarian 2 Medical/veterinary staff for bio lab and preserved animal care (item #17).
Engineer / Monitoring Technician 4 Sensor net operators, HPC/archival maintenance, and technical support (items #13 and #27 operations).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are order-of-magnitude estimates with wide ranges and depend heavily on operational tempo (incident frequency) and policy choices (contingency/reserve level). Core infrastructure and recurring salary estimates are better defined; incident-driven and geopolitical suppression costs are higher-uncertainty.
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