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SCP-3217 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3217
Expected annual
$195.2M
One-time setup
$444.2M
Annual recurring
$191.2M
Personnel
590
Estimated one-time capital and setup costs are about $444.2M driven by nationwide mail-screening hub build-out, Site-17 retrofits, and large contingency/cover-up reserves; annual recurring costs are about $191.2M/yr dominated by long-term coma care, field response teams, and legal/cover-up operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $444.2M
Facilities $207.5M
[#1, #10] Regional screening hubs build-out (30–75 hubs at $1M–$3M each) and Site-17 Humanoid Containment Wing retrofit (additional bays/life-support/shielding).
Contingency Fund Reserve $110.0M
[#20] Reserve for mass activation/cascade events (surge capture teams, emergency beds, mobile containment).
Coverup Initial Reserve $55.0M
[#16] Initial cleanup/legal/PR reserve to manage early exposure, settlements, and high-visibility incidents.
Equipment $31.8M
[#6, #7, #9] Includes per-hub incinerator/shredding installations, regional secure courier fleet setup (armored vans), and initial capture/containment equipment procurement.
Compliance Initial $17.5M
[#5] Initial legal/negotiation/cover payments and setup costs to secure cooperation or compel routing through approved hubs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.5M
[#14] Initial lab and containment-safe testing chambers, specialized instrumentation, and research lab buildout.
Nonprofit Roster Acquisition $6.0M
[#4] One-time acquisition and integration costs for authoritative nonprofit rosters and data licensing.
Software Development $4.4M
[#2] Custom OCR/name-matching/ML development, testing, and initial deployment (development + first-year rollout treated as one-time).
Personnel Vetting Initial $3.5M
[#17] Initial per-employee vetting costs (~$6k per employee * 590 staff estimated).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $191.2M/yr
Staff Wages $89.7M/yr
[#5, #7, #8, #11, #14, #15, #16, #17] Salary portions of recurring programs: field capture teams, long-term care staff, intelligence/liaison staff, compliance office, R&D staff, fleet drivers, and personnel security program (allocated wage portions of these items).
Supplies And Consumables $38.5M/yr
[#9, #11, #13] Medical consumables and pharmaceuticals, equipment maintenance/replacement, and per-patient consumables (non-wage portion).
Cover Story And Legal $29.2M/yr
[#5, #16] Ongoing compliance office, contract/audit costs, legal/PR/compensation budgets to manage public exposure and settlements (non-wage portion).
Logistics And Transport $15.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #12] Fleet operations (non-wage portion), field capture non-wage ops (vehicles/training/consumables), and acute-capture/transport reserve spending.
Facilities Maintenance $12.6M/yr
[#6, #18, #19] Hub and incinerator operating costs, energy & utilities surcharge, and environmental/compliance-related facility maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $6.1M/yr
[#3, #4, #14, #15] Ongoing software/cloud/ML hosting and retraining, roster updates/legal data licensing, and recurring non-personnel R&D expenses.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $191.2M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major breaches or mass activations.
routine_operations no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $201.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized activation or notable public incident requiring extra capture ops, legal responses, and short-term surge care.
localized_activation publicized_arrest_or_injury
🚨 Major Breach $341.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Widespread cascade or high-profile breach requiring contingency fund drawdown, mass captures, expanded medical surge, and heavy legal/PR costs.
mass_activation political_exposure large_scale_containment_failure
👥 Personnel 590 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 170 [(#8), (#1)] Field capture teams (regional response) and Site-17 guarding; headcount estimate derived from 10–30 teams plus site guards.
Medical Officer / Nursing Staff 300 [#11] Medical staff required for 262 long-term coma patients (ICU-level monitoring, nursing, infection control, physiotherapy).
Intelligence Analyst / Liaison 30 [#15] Monitoring of media, social feeds, and liaison with public safety; matches analyst estimate of 10–50 analysts.
Engineer / Maintenance 20 [#6, #18, #19] Facilities and incinerator maintenance, energy systems, and environmental compliance support.
Research Scientist 10 [#14] R&D staff for activation mechanism research and countermeasure development.
Administrative Staff 30 [#5, #16] Compliance, contracts, legal support, and cover-up administrative roles.
Logistics / Drivers 20 [#7] Regional secure courier and transport drivers for evidence and patient transfers.
Site Director / Executive Staff 10 [#10] Site leadership and executive oversight for Site-17 and national program coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs drawn from analyst midpoints of wide ranges; core line items are well-identified but many parameters (activation rate, hub count, per-instance bespoke containment) are uncertain, producing moderate confidence.
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