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SCP-3218 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3218
Expected annual
$913K
One-time setup
$790K
Annual recurring
$906K
Personnel
12
One-time startup costs (property purchase, site hardening, testing/tooling, and lab setup) are the largest expense (~$790k); major recurring drivers are on-site security and research staff salaries, producing baseline annual operating costs of about $906k per site.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $790K
Facilities $350K
[#1, #6] Purchase/requisition of property (median $300k) and physical site hardening/structural modifications (median $50k).
Equipment $155K
[#4, #5, #8, #11, #13, #20] Remote surveillance installation (~$20k), UPS/backup capital (~$8k), initial PPE kits (~$2k), specialized in-house tooling (~$100k), termination/field kit (~$15k), and on-site IT hardware (~$10k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $130K
[#10, #11, #20] Lab buildout and instruments / initial outsourced materials testing and data-management setup (combined estimate).
Insurance And Contingency Fund One Time $100K
[#18, #28] Establishment of reserve/contingency fund for unexpected damages, litigation or anomalous escalation (initial capitalization).
Sop Development One Time $20K
[#19] SOP development and initial compliance/audit work.
Conversion Repurposing One Time $20K
[#24] Costs to certify and adapt SCP-3218-B for reuse (shelving, supports, certification).
Legal Initial Setup $15K
[#16] Initial legal/shell-company setup, notary and registration costs for cover companies and property transfers.
Opportunity Cost Capital Tieup One Time $0
[#22] [] One-time capital tie-up treated as recurring opportunity cost; set to 0 here.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $906K/yr
Staff Wages $648K/yr
[#3, #9, #10] 24/7 site security (6 guards incl. benefits ≈ $338k/yr), lead researcher + 2 R&D staff (~$260k/yr), and pro-rated veterinarian/biologist support (~$50k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #20, #23] Ongoing lab overhead and program monitoring budget (lab overhead ~$100k/yr plus materials follow-ups, data-management hosting and program share).
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#15, #16, #17, #27] Ongoing legal retainer/PR and minimal neighborhood compensation contingency; also covers record destruction and witness follow-up costs.
Termination Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#13, #19] Annual training/drills and SOP refresher costs tied to Protocol 3B and handling procedures.
Opportunity Cost Of Immovable Assets Per Year $18K/yr
[#22] Lost rental/sale income and unrealized ROI on a $300k purchased property (median annualized lost rent ~$18k).
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#4, #5, #21] Annual maintenance for surveillance systems (~$2k), generator/fuel/UPS upkeep (~$3k), and utilities/site upkeep (~$5k).
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#12, #14, #25] Readiness and baseline logistics (vehicle/standby costs, small annualized travel readiness for local response and occasional coordination).
Insurance And Reserve Premiums $5K/yr
[#18] Ongoing insurance premiums / reserve replenishment.
Contingency Fund Replenish Per Year $5K/yr
[#28] Annual replenishment target for anomalous escalation contingency fund (if used).
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#8] PPE restocking and small consumables (gloves, disinfectants, biohazard bags, etc.).
Public Relations Bribes Expected $2K/yr
[#17] Annualized payments/compensation to neighbors or local contractors as cover; averaged.
Amnestic And Psych Ops Expected $2K/yr
[#15] Annualized expected cost for amnestic administration and witness management averaged across rare incidents.
Incident Response Expected $1K/yr
[#14] Small annualized allocation for domestic rapid-response mobilization (airfare, per diem averaged over years).
Decontamination And Structural Repair Expected $1K/yr
[#26] Annualized expected spending for decontamination/repairs after forced operations (averaged).
Heavy Lift Transport Expected $500/yr
[#12] Annualized expected cost for occasional heavy-lift/transport permits and rentals (incidents are rare; this is an expected value).
Record Destruction Expected $500/yr
[#27] Annualized expected cost for secure evidence disposal and sanitization.
Biohazard Disposal Per Year $250/yr
[#7] Annualized expected cost for biohazard/necropsy disposal assuming low per-site incident frequency (annualized expectation).
Long Term Lease Compensation $0/yr
[#2] Alternative to purchase; baseline assumes property purchase/requisition so annual lease compensation set to $0.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $906K/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: routine containment, monitoring, and scheduled training/maintenance.
no termination events routine inspections no external inquiries
🚨 Minor Incident $936K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Localized termination or forced removal with small structural damage and routine amnestic administration.
single-site termination local media sighting small structural repair needed
🚨 Major Forced Removal $1.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Forceful removal causing significant property damage, heavy-lift transport and legal/diplomatic costs.
forced entry/removal heavy structural repair outsourced materials testing
🚨 International High Profile Incident $1.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
High-visibility international manifestation requiring diplomacy, significant legal costs, and broad remediation.
international media exposure foreign jurisdiction complications large-scale remediation
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] 24/7 coverage: 2guards per shift × 3 shifts.
Research Scientist 3 [#10] Lead researcher + 2 R&D staff (site allocation/pro-rated).
Veterinarian / Biologist 1 [#9] On-call or pro-rated site veterinarian/biologist oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#5, #6] Support for UPS/generator, site hardening and repairs.
Administrative Staff 1 [#16, #20] Administrative/legal coordination and records management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items have wide real-world ranges (property prices, incident frequency, international legal costs). Staffing-level costs are well-defined but incident probabilities and one-off remediation costs are uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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