SCP-322 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-322
Expected annual
$40K
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$12K
Personnel
0.1
Estimated one-time setup and contingency reserves are substantial (~$1.22M) driven by potential land purchase, retrofit, controlled-test prep and demolition/contingency funds; baseline recurring costs are minimal (~$11.5k/yr) driven by cataloging, monitoring maintenance and protocol refreshers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Emergency Demolition Contingency Fund $500K
[#19] Contingency fund for demolition/large-scale removal or cordon operations; selected conservative midpoint within $100k–$5M+ range to allow meaningful intervention capability.
Facilities $235K
[#1, #12, #13, #14, #15, #20] Locker fabrication/installation ($5k), conservative midpoint land purchase/parcel ($50k), utilities/hookup or generator install ($50k), retrofit/conversion portion ($100k), structural inspection/minor reinforcement ($10k), environmental remediation baseline allowance ($20k). Most facility items are scale-dependent; larger purchases escalate substantially.
Contingency Reserve $200K
[#26] General contingency reserve for unknown anomalous behaviors, emergent containment or unplanned research needs (recommended reserve $100k–$1M; a conservative allocation chosen).
Controlled Test Preparation $150K
[#6] Remote test-site preparation (range rental/permits, excavation prep, fencing, clearances, safety officers for ~7 days). Midpoint of $50k–$250k range used as representative per full controlled test.
Anthropological Evaluation Initial $30K
[#16] Initial anthropological/psychological evaluations, interviews, translator/legal review and temporary secure housing costs for emergent staff/servants (midpoint of $10k–$100k).
Policy And Training Development $30K
[#4] One-time SOP drafting, legal review, initial staff training and drills (midpoint of $10k–$50k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $25K
[#5, #17] Initial chemical/isotopic/biological assays and sample handling ($15k) plus initial medical/biohazard screening & PPE ($10k). Larger BSL construction if required is treated as conditional/contingent (covered under contingency reserve).
Equipment $23K
[#2, #9, #18] One-time monitoring/tamper sensors and alarm integration ($2k), automated watering/irrigation hardware option ($1.25k), remote-surveillance/drone/sensor hardware one-time purchases ($20k).
Legal And Cover Initial $20K
[#21] Initial cover-story creation, permit handling, local payments and legal fees (mid-range of $5k–$200k).
Disposal Or Decommissioning $5K
[#25] Controlled destruction or specialized disposal of kit/seeds (selected conservative midpoint of $1k–$20k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12K/yr
Staff Wages $6K/yr
[#3] Quarterly audits and custodial administration handled as ~0.1 FTE catalog specialist; salary burden estimated ~$6k/yr.
Training And Protocol Refreshers $3K/yr
[#4] Annual refresher trainings, drills, and SOP updates ($2k–$5k/yr range).
Supplies And Consumables $1K/yr
[#24] Minimal routine consumables for storage and occasional consumables replacement (cleaning, PPE, basic supplies).
Cover Story And Legal $1K/yr
[#21] Minimal ongoing cover maintenance/legal retainer assumed for storage-only posture (~$1k/yr).
Insurance Taxes And Fees $1K/yr
[#22] Baseline allocation for property taxes/insurance/fees if shell entities are used; location-dependent ($1k–$50k/yr range).
Facilities Maintenance $500/yr
[#2, #13] Routine monitoring/alarm testing and minor maintenance for monitored storage environment (~$200–$1k/yr). Larger utility maintenance/utility bills for an operational site (note #13 recurring $5k–$50k/yr) are not included in baseline.
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[]
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#7, #8, #10] Per-deployment transport, excavation and short-term security are zero in baseline (no deployments). Costs are modeled in scenarios when deployments occur.
Anthropological Evaluation Longterm $0/yr
[#16] Recurring costs for long-term housing/containment of emergent servants (estimated $20k–$200k/yr if required). Baseline assumes none.
Biohazard Lab Operations $0/yr
[#17] Recurring BSL laboratory operations ($20k–$200k/yr) only if biological hazards are found; baseline assumes no BSL ops.
Monitoring And Remote Surveillance $0/yr
[#18] Recurring imagery/drone subscription and analyst time ($10k–$100k/yr) not included in baseline storage posture.
Operational Garrison Salaries $0/yr
[#23] Salaries for a forward-base garrison (8–12 personnel at ~$480k–$720k/yr) applied only in operational scenarios; baseline storage posture does not include garrison.
Contingency Reserve Annual $0/yr
[#26] Optional annual top-up to contingency reserve; baseline assumes no regular top-up.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12K/yr
91.5% probability / year
Storage-only posture: SCP-322 kept locked in Storage Unit-3 with monitoring, quarterly audits, and SOP refreshers; no deployments or facility conversion.
storage_only no_deployments no_conversion
🚨 Single Controlled Deployment $190K/yr
7.0% probability / year +$178K vs baseline
A one-off, approved field test/deployment: includes test-site prep, transport, excavation, short-term security, watering, and extra scientific analysis in that year.
approved_test_proposal field_deployment research_activation
🚨 Full Operationalization $1.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Foundation purchases/leases land and converts the produced castle into a forward base; includes one-time retrofit/hookup and large recurring garrison/security and facilities costs.
decision_to_retain_castle forward_base_conversion land_purchase
🚨 Major Incident $712K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$699K vs baseline
Uncontrolled growth/multiple-seed activation or hazardous emergent behavior requiring emergency demolition, large-scale containment and extended operations.
uncontrolled_growth multiple_seed_activation hazardous_servants_emergence
👥 Personnel 0.1 total
Role Count Notes
Catalog Specialist / Custodian 0.1 [#3] Part-time/shared specialist responsible for quarterly audits and chain-of-custody (~0.1 FTE reflected in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide explicit ranges for most line items allowing reasonable mid-point estimates; however large conditional items (land purchase, BSL buildout, demolition) have wide ranges and scenario-dependent occurrence, reducing confidence to medium.
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