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SCP-3234 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3234
Expected annual
$16.8M
One-time setup
$3.9M
Annual recurring
$16.2M
Personnel
90
First-year capital outlay is roughly $3.9M with recurring annual operating costs of ~$16.2M; main cost drivers are staff wages (surveillance/embedded/therapist personnel), contingency/reserve funding for outbreak escalation, and ongoing research/clinical trial operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.9M
Equipment $1.2M
[#1, #5, #11, #17, #27, #28] One-time conversion/purchase of 3 specialized transport/containment vehicles (~$555k), surveillance hardware (per-suite + central server ~$305k), secure amnestic vault/storage setup (~$100k), initial secure server/workstation hardware (~$125k), forensic cold-storage (~$50k), and one-time decontamination equipment (~$50k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#6, #15] Research lab buildout and neurobiology/psych lab instrumentation (~$1,000,000) plus wearable biosensor device procurement/integration for 100 subjects (~$30k devices + $40k integration = $70k).
Facilities $810K
[#4, #22] Conversion/creation of 6 low-stimulus single-occupancy containment suites (6× mid-range = $510k) and site infrastructure resilience (UPS/generator/HVAC redundancy, physical security upgrades = $300k).
Community Reintegration One Time $500K
[#21] One-time phased relocation/housing/employment assistance and stipends for reintegration (partial one-time support of estimated $200k–$2M range).
Mtf Formation And Training $250K
[#3] One-time MTF formation & initial anomaly-specific training modules, live exercises, instructor pay and protective gear setup (one-time setup estimate).
Decontamination One Time $50K
[#28] One-time purchase/training fund for anomalous-phenomena cleanup equipment and initial reserve.
Termination Legal Review $20K
[#13] One-time legal/risk-review and approvals associated with termination protocol setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.2M/yr
Staff Wages $7.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #12, #20, #3] Recurring salaries and staffing costs: 25permanent observers (~$1.5M), 20 embedded undercover agents (~$2.0M), therapists/therapy-contract payments approximated as payroll equivalents (~$1.17M), on-call/short-term surveillance rotation contingency (~$700k), psychiatrist evaluations (~$100k), amnestic administration medical staffing (~$32.5k), baseline MTF agent staffing (~$480k), plus research staff and site executive/admin wages (remaining).
Contingency Escalation Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#30] Large annual contingency/reserve to fund worst-case outbreak mitigation, rapid expansion of containment capacity, mass-amnestic administration and surge MTF operations ($2M–$20M range; conservative mid-high reserve chosen).
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#15, #16, #5, #17] Recurring research staff/consumables and program costs: annual research operations and consumables (~$150k non-wage), clinical trial funding (~$1,000,000/yr), and monitoring/video retention/storage ongoing costs (~$80k).
Incident Response Legal Reserve $500K/yr
[#24] Annual reserve for incident response legal defense, liability, whistleblower cases and related contingencies (reserve funding).
Logistics And Transport $450K/yr
[#2, #1] Mobile deployment budget for MTF ETA-62 (air/ground travel, lodging, per diem, fuel/maintenance) estimated ~$400k/yr plus vehicle maintenance/depreciation (~$50k/yr).
Archive And Redaction $400K/yr
[#26] Staff hours and secure archiving for session logs, redaction and post-amnestic documentation (~$100k–$1M/yr; mid used).
Public Compensation And Hush Funds $300K/yr
[#29] Annual reserve for payments to families/employers/institutions to preserve cover stories (~$100k–$1M/yr; mid used).
Supplies And Consumables $290K/yr
[#11, #14, #27, #13] Annual consumables and inventories: amnestic inventory/resupply (~$120k/yr), medical consumables & emergency medkits (~$60k/yr), forensic/autopsy per-case costs allocation (~$40k/yr), plus consumables portion of termination activations (~$70k/yr).
Community Reintegration Stipends $200K/yr
[#21] Ongoing phased stipends and support for reintroduced subjects (partial recurring support assumed).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#18] Baseline annual legal counsel, fabricated records/PR/cover-story operations and record alteration budgeting (~$150k/yr baseline).
Training And Certification $140K/yr
[#3] Recurring refresher training, certification, instructor fees and facility time for MTF and containment staff (~$80k–$200k/yr; mid used).
Personnel Mental Health Care $125K/yr
[#23] Counseling/resilience programs for staff (~$500–$2k/employee/yr; mid applied for estimated staff pool).
Public Health Coordination $120K/yr
[#25] Liaison, temporary quarantine administration and law-enforcement coordination budget (~$50k–$300k/yr; mid used).
Termination Protocol $90K/yr
[#13] Recurring costs for euthanasia activations, team readiness, consumables and oversight (~$30k–$150k/yr; mid used).
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#22] Ongoing maintenance for HVAC redundancy, low-stimulus suite upkeep, UPS/generator maintenance and physical security maintenance (~$20k–$60k range; mid-range used).
Public Information Suppression $60K/yr
[#19] Ongoing social-media/Internet scrubbing, takedown operations and monitoring (~$25k–$150k/yr; mid used).
Wearable Biosensor Monitoring $40K/yr
[#6] Recurring monitoring/support and software licensing for wearable biosensor program (~$40k/yr).
Forensic Autopsy Services $40K/yr
[#27] Recurring per-case forensic/pathology contingencies and sample handling (~$2k–$8k per case annualized).
Decontamination Reserve $25K/yr
[#28] Ongoing small reserve for anomalous cleanup and training (~$10k–$100k range; lower-mid used).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.2M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing surveillance, therapy, research, and reserves at planned levels; no major outbreak or breach.
steady_case_load no_large_outbreak routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $16.9M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$690K vs baseline
Localized relapse cluster or several late-stage cases requiring extra deployments, additional amnestic administrations, short-term surge monitoring, and legal/PR response.
localized_relapse_cluster multiple_terminations targeted_public_leak
🚨 Major Breach $26.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant outbreak or containment breach requiring activation of surge capacity, mass transport/amnestics, many additional MTF deployments, and large-scale public/legal response.
widespread_transmission mass_public_exposure multi-site_outbreak
👥 Personnel 90 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#2, #3] Core MTF staffing for ETA-62 operations and deployments; estimated FTE count to support 50 deployments/yr and baseline site duties.
Permanent Surveillance Observer 25 [#7] Covert/low-profile posted personnel for long-term monitoring of reintroduced subjects (1 observer per ~4 subjects model).
Embedded Cover Personnel 20 [#20] Undercover agents embedded near reintroduced individuals (higher per-person cost and risk; counted separately from permanent observers).
Research Scientist 5 [#15] Research staff conducting imaging, biomarker work, and clinical trial coordination; salaries folded into research staffing costs.
Research/Therapy Clinician (Therapist) 13 [#9] Therapists providing thrice-weekly anomaly-safe therapy; therapist/session payment budget converted to FTE-equivalent for headcount estimation.
On-call Observer / Short-term Surveillance 12 [#8] Rotating observers for acute 24/7 monitoring shifts during early-stage containment; counted separately from permanent observers.
Psychiatrist 1 [#10] Psychiatrist performing periodic evaluations and follow-ups for patient cohorts.
Medical Officer 1 [#12] Medical personnel to administer amnestics and monitor pre/post procedures; staffing for medical administration events.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#3] Executive oversight and site-level decision-making; included in recurring wage pool.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#22] Facility/IT/physical plant engineer responsible for HVAC, UPS, and low-stimulus suite upkeep.
Administrative Staff 3 [#18, #26] Administrative and records staff responsible for redaction, cover-story paperwork, and coordination with legal/PR.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and scaling assumptions; many items (amnestic costs, public compensation, contingency reserves) are highly variable depending on caseload and policy, producing moderate confidence in these mid-range estimates.
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