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SCP-3274 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-3274
Expected annual
$24.6M
One-time setup
$115.5M
Annual recurring
$23.6M
Personnel
83
Estimated one-time capital costs are approximately $115.5M (site build, cells, labs, specialized equipment, and contingency reserves). Annual operating costs are roughly $23.55M, driven mainly by staff wages, R&D/anti-amnestic programs, field operations, and security/MTF readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $115.5M
Long Tail Contingency $50.0M
[#28] Long‑tail / worst‑case (existential) contingency reserve for planetary‑scale mitigation if escalation identified.
Facilities $20.0M
[#2] Secure high‑security wing build‑out (Site‑06‑3 wing, controlled entry, HVAC/filtration, EMP/EM shielding, backup power and fire suppression).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15.0M
[#3, #10, #23] Secure medical laboratory and sequencing/imaging capability (#3), anti‑amnestic R&D lab setup (#10), and genetic/fertility research program setup (#23).
Cell Construction $12.5M
[#1] Reinforced humanoid containment cells: assumed $250,000 per cell × 50 contained instances (working assumption).
Containment Expansion Reserve $10.0M
[#24] Reserve fund to add additional cells/staff/temporary safehouses (scalable).
Equipment $5.2M
[#4, #12, #13, #22, #25] Biobank freezers and inventory systems (#4), cognitohazard-safe AV suites (#12), secure IT/archive hardware (#13), neurosurgical OR equipment (#22), and classified archival storage setup (#25).
Field Agent Program Setup $1.0M
[#8] Field agent/covert program setup infrastructure (safehouses, false IDs, training) estimated midrange.
Mtf Equipment Setup $1.0M
[#16] Dedicated MTF equipment and initial readiness kit (vehicles, comms, vehicles, gear).
Medical Intake $750K
[#5] Initial per-subject medical intake (sequencing, imaging, panels) estimated $15,000 per subject × 50 subjects (one-time intake costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $23.6M/yr
Staff Wages $6.5M/yr
[#6, #7] Security guards, on‑site researchers/clinicians and core site staff (security staffing and specialist salaries aggregated).
Research And Monitoring $6.0M/yr
[#11, #23, #4] Ongoing anti‑amnestic and intelligence recovery R&D (#11), genetic/fertility program recurring costs (#23), and biobank sample storage/management (#4).
Field Agent Program $4.0M/yr
[#8] Recurring costs for covert field agents (salaries, cash ops, travel, safehouses) — estimated for a ~20‑agent program scaled to operations.
Mtf Readiness $2.0M/yr
[#16] Ongoing MTF staffing, training, drills, equipment maintenance and readiness costs.
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#9, #19] Covert operations, cover stories, legal teams, internal investigations, and litigation reserve for exposures/whistleblowing.
Supplies And Consumables $1.1M/yr
[#5, #17, #18, #21] Ongoing medical care per subject, psychotropic/amnestic stock, PPE/decon and basic long‑term detainee care (meals, laundry, utilities, custodial).
Facilities Maintenance $800K/yr
[#2] Maintenance, HVAC/filtration, backup power testing and building maintenance for the secure wing and containment infrastructure.
It Security And Audit $600K/yr
[#14] Secure IT maintenance, classification audits, sysadmin staffing, clearance renewals and secure backups.
Humanitarian Cover Operations $500K/yr
[#27] Humanitarian/cover operations (shelters, clinics) used to screen/extract likely SCP‑3274 from refugee/itinerant populations.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#15] Secure transfers and per‑transfer logistics (local convoy and occasional intersite air transfers aggregated into an annual estimate).
Public Disinfo And Liaison $300K/yr
[#20] Local authority liaisons and targeted disinformation/PR to maintain plausible deniability in regions of activity.
Cognitohazard Training $200K/yr
[#26] Cognitive‑hazard legal/procedural training, simulations and psychological monitoring for staff exposed to Interview Series media.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $23.6M/yr
82.8% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine containment, research, fieldwork and maintenance.
no major breaches steady arrival rate normal R&D pace
🚨 Minor Incident $24.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized incident such as an attempted escape, limited exposure, or small legal/PR event requiring targeted response.
attempted escape localized exposure small legal settlement
🚨 Major Breach $28.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant breach or protracted containment failure requiring multi-site response, large MTF deployment, repairs and public/legal mitigation.
multi‑detainee escape sustained breach response international incident
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $33.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Discovery or partial reversal of anti‑amnestic tech that triggers rapid scale‑up of R&D and secure facilities to exploit/contain findings.
successful anti‑amnestic lead decision to scale R&D need for specialized secure labs
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $223.6M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Existential or wide‑scale informational/memetic event (e.g., SCP‑3274‑A effects manifest at scale) requiring planetary mitigation and emergency contingency activation.
wide‑scale infohazard spread credible existential threat inter‑site coordination for mass mitigation
👥 Personnel 83 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#6] On‑site guards to staff a 24/7 secure wing; count derived to align with aggregated security wage estimate.
Research Scientist 12 [#7, #11] PhD‑level amnesticologists, geneticists and containment researchers included in specialist staffing.
Medical Officer 4 [#3, #5, #22] Medical staff for intake, neurosurgical support and ongoing healthcare.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#2] Site leadership and executive oversight (clearance management, intersite coordination).
Administrative Staff 6 [#9, #14] Admin, records, and security‑clearance support aligned with legal/cover operations and IT audit needs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low confidence due to redacted counts, broad ranges in analyst notes, unknown arrival rate, and many mission/policy decisions (R&D aggressiveness, international footprint) that materially change budgets.
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