SCP-3276 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3276
Expected annual
$11.8M
One-time setup
$15.2M
Annual recurring
$8.2M
Personnel
37
Initial capital (medical wing, research lab, contingency reserve, legal campaign, and detection engine) drives one-time costs (~$13.7M). Recurring annual operations (staff, medical care per case, monitoring, cyber ops, legal/PR, seizures, and research) drive an estimated ~$8.185M/year baseline.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $15.2M
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#32] One-time contingency surge / outbreak reserve fund (chosen midpoint of $3M–$10M for baseline preparedness).
Major Legal Campaign $3.0M
[#33] One-time large legal dissolution campaign reserve (mid-range of $1M–$10M).
Facilities $2.6M
[#7, #8] Medical containment wing conversion (~$2.5M midpoint) and safehouse setup costs (~$100k total for initial regions).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.4M
[#14, #15] Initial lab capital and core research equipment + fit-out (combined midpoint of listed ranges: sequencers, mass specs, BSL containment, storage).
Medical Research Program Initial $1.5M
[#17] Initial multi-year medical research program seed (one-time portion of clinical/research program budget).
Detection Engine Development $400K
[#1] One-time social-media crawler/dev & integration (dev cost midpoint) plus provisioning/proxies (~$50k included in total).
Fleet Startup $150K
[#25] One-time vehicle/fleet startup (vans, unmarked vehicles) midpoint of $50k–$250k.
Training Program Initial $125K
[#13] Initial undercover/therapist cover-narrative training program (initial $50k–$200k midpoint).
Corporate Infiltration Initial Setup $100K
[#20] Initial setup costs (training, recruitment) for corporate infiltration program (one-time portion).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.2M/yr
Staff Wages $3.3M/yr
[#3, #9, #12, #24, #20, #31, #35, #29] Salaries: content-moderation analysts, core obstetrics/anesthesia/NICU staffing, therapists, security guards, infiltration ongoing personnel, public-health liaison, admin/HR and ethical/audit staff.
Supplies And Consumables $960K/yr
[#10, #11, #26, #23] Per-patient prenatal/delivery consumables and neonatal care averages (baseline assumed ~10 cases/year), pharmaceuticals, prenatal vitamins/nutrition, and other consumables.
Cover Story And Legal $680K/yr
[#4, #21, #28] Legal retainer and per-takedown legal hours, PR/cover-story propagation campaigns, and general insurance/liability budgeting.
Research And Monitoring $600K/yr
[#14, #15, #16, #17, #18] Ongoing research budgets: genomic sequencing/pathology per case, cohort studies, controlled-exposure administrative costs, and maintenance of lab monitoring programs.
Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr
[#7, #8] Ongoing safehouse and medical wing utilities, facility maintenance, isolation room maintenance and security-related facilities upkeep.
Cyber Counterops $500K/yr
[#5] Ongoing cyber/counter-infrastructure ops budget (covert takedowns, sinkholing, forensics, tooling and ops team).
Logistics And Transport $485K/yr
[#6, #22, #25, #30] Field investigations (travel/equipment), witness relocation/identity support allocations, vehicle operating costs (fuel/maintenance/drivers), and per-case social support logistics.
Supply Chain Seizures $400K/yr
[#19] Recurring budget for warehouse raids, transport, storage and legal processing (assumes occasional seizures per year).
Product Analysis $300K/yr
[#14] Recurring per-batch purchase and chemical/microbiological/metagenomic/proteomic analyses (assumed multiple batches per year).
Monitoring Operations $180K/yr
[#2] Continuous hosting, API fees, cloud runtime, proxies, bandwidth and logging for web crawlers and detection pipelines.
Long Term Care Fund $100K/yr
[#30, #34] Ongoing subsidies / long-term social support allocations and occasional institutional care funding for retained SCP-3276-1 instances (baseline reserve).
Data Forensics Storage $60K/yr
[#27] Long-term archival, chain-of-custody storage and monthly storage fees (mid-range of monthly estimates).
Incident Forensics Reserve $50K/yr
[#27] Per-incident initial forensics budget reserve (covers occasional higher-cost forensic acquisitions).
Pharmaceutical Program $50K/yr
[#23] Program budget for limited pharmaceutical/medical interventions and monitoring (annual program costs).
Training Refresher $20K/yr
[#13] Annual refresher training for undercover operatives and therapists ($10k–$30k range; midpoint used).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.2M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing monitoring, routine per-case responses, and maintenance of readiness; no major outbreaks or large-scale legal actions.
isolated_cases routine takedowns steady monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $12.3M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$4.1M vs baseline
Localized surge / moderate outbreak (dozens of new cases) requiring surge operations, increased takedowns, temporary hiring and expanded medical/NICU load.
regional advertising push cluster of dozens of cases increased social spread
🚨 Major Outbreak $63.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$55.5M vs baseline
Large national outbreak (hundreds+ cases) requiring multiple medical wings, large legal/asset-seizure campaigns, massive surge hiring and long-term institutional care.
nationwide marketing saturation multi-region uncontrolled spread legal escalation
👥 Personnel 37 total
Role Count Notes
Content Moderation Analyst 6 [#3] Triage flags, 24/7 coverage for spikes; headcount chosen from analyst estimate range.
Research Scientist 4 [#14, #15, #16] Lab-based scientists for sequencing, analysis, and research programs.
Research Technician / Lab Tech 4 [#14, #15] Technical staff to run sequencers, mass-specs and sample processing.
Obstetrician / Medical Officer 2 [#9] Core obstetrics staffing (on-call coverage).
Anesthesiologist 1 [#9] Surgical/anesthesia coverage for C-sections and emergent care.
Nurse (OB/NICU) 6 [#9, #11] OB and NICU nursing staff to provide 24/7 care and neonatal support.
Pediatrician 1 [#9, #11] Pediatric follow-up and neonatal oversight.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#24] Guards and escorts for safehouses and medical sites (rotation coverage).
Therapist / Psychological Support 2 [#12] Licensed therapists trained for cult/MLM dependency and perinatal mental health (cover-group operatives).
Corporate Infiltration Agent 2 [#20] Undercover operatives placed into MLM downline/back-office.
Administrative Staff / Program Managers 3 [#35] Program management, HR, procurement, bookkeeping.
Public-Health Liaison 1 [#31] Coordinator for hospital/clinic agreements and reporting.
Ethical Oversight / Auditor 1 [#29] Internal ethical committee and audit staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item ranges and program structure are explicit in the analyst notes, allowing mid-range estimates for many categories; however uncertainty in case volume, detection speed, and legal outcomes drives residual uncertainty. Keter-class propagation and social-media dynamics particularly increase variance.
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