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SCP-3368 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-3368
Expected annual
$66.7M
One-time setup
$146.2M
Annual recurring
$61.7M
Personnel
56
Estimated one-time capital costs are approximately $146.2M driven by quarantine buildouts, major research program initiation, and a large emergency reserve; recurring annual operations are approximately $61.7M/year driven by research & monitoring, MTF operations, medical compensation, and cover/forensics programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $146.2M
Emergency Containment Reserve $50.0M
[#18] Global emergency containment / rapid response reserve (chosen mid-high contingency to cover large breach response).
Eradication Program Initiation $50.0M
[#25] One-time initiation capital for long-term eradication/reversal research program (early-phase capital expenditure).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $29.0M
[#8, #9] Initial detection/screening R&D program (~$20M) and dedicated neuro-insectary/research lab build-out (~$9M).
Facilities $10.6M
[#1, #2] Quarantine unit buildout for a major site (~$10M hardened suite) and site-wide retrofitting to SCP-3368-safe standard (midrange ~$600k).
Equipment $5.6M
[#3, #5, #10, #15, #22] Initial purchase of Foundation-grade beekeeper suits (~$900k), secure transport vehicles (~$1.1M), imaging/diagnostic hardware (~$3.0M), autoclave/decon equipment (~$300k), and sensor installation (~$300k).
Animal Program Initial Assets $1.0M
[#13] Initial mobile wildlife quarantine pens and field-capture assets for animal containment program.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $61.7M/yr
Research And Monitoring $20.3M/yr
[#8, #9, #12, #22, #25] Ongoing detection/assay validation and manufacturing (~$2M), insectary annual ops and staffing (~$3M), dedicated global monitoring baseline activities (~$5M), sensor monitoring maintenance (~$75k), plus annual budget for sustained eradication research operations (~$10M).
Mtf Maintenance And Operations $15.0M/yr
[#7] Specialized MTF Mu-Pi-6 recurring maintenance, training, hazard pay, vehicles and field-decon units; per-region operational budget.
Staff Wages $7.0M/yr
[#20] Salaries for specialized scientific staff and on-site support (research scientists/technicians/medical/support).
Cover Story And Legal $7.0M/yr
[#17, #24] Public relations, misinformation/diplomatic effort and routine legal defenses/hush funds (PR and legal teams).
Medical Compensation $6.0M/yr
[#11] Compensation, housing, medical monitoring, and pay differentials for transferred/infected Foundation personnel under quarantine.
Forensics And Record Operations $2.0M/yr
[#16] High-throughput data forensics, record tampering, secure storage and cross-jurisdiction tech/legal contractors.
Animal Containment And Wildlife Management $1.5M/yr
[#13] Field capture teams, veterinary staffing, mobile quarantine support and regional wildlife interventions (recurring).
Training And Drills $1.0M/yr
[#19] Continuous SOP development, annual drills, simulations, and staff training programs.
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#6, #5] Transport operations: drivers, fuel, maintenance, decontamination; baseline per-site transport ops estimate.
Psychological Care And Retention $500K/yr
[#23] PTSD/trauma counseling, retention programs, turnover-related costs, and productivity losses.
Supplies And Consumables $350K/yr
[#4, #14, #15] PPE lifecycle (replacement cartridges, laundering, retired suits), hazardous waste processing consumables, and decon supplies.
Energy Costs $300K/yr
[#21] Incremental power and fuel costs for 24/7 containment HVAC, imaging, and redundancy systems.
Facilities Maintenance $250K/yr
[#2, #15] Ongoing site retrofitting upkeep, decon station servicing and structural maintenance.
Scale Risk Multiplier $0/yr
[#26] Illustrative strategic risk multiplier: if infection scales to millions this multiplier would dominate costs; left at 0 here because it's a scenario-dependent multiplier (see risk scenarios).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $61.7M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major breaches beyond routine containment and planned research; recurring costs only.
no major escape limited new infections under active monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $71.7M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring regional surge response, temporary field quarantine expansion, overtime, and increased testing.
local breach cluster of new infections
🚨 Political Exposure $86.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Notable public/political exposure requiring large-scale PR, diplomatic action, major legal settlements, and expanded covert operations.
leak of infected high-profile figure international media exposure
🚨 Major Breach $411.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$350.0M vs baseline
Large-scale containment failure or sudden widespread zoonotic expansion requiring emergency construction, mass evacuation/containment, and potentially extraordinary settlements.
facility-wide breach rapid uncontrolled spread to civilian population
👥 Personnel 56 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 20 [#20] Senior and lead researchers in neuroentomology/neuropathology/genetics; included in staff_wages.
Research Technician 20 [#20] Lab technicians, imaging technicians, insectary technicians; included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 6 [#11, #20] Medical monitoring staff and clinicians providing care to quarantined/infected personnel; salary costs included in staff_wages and medical_compensation.
Engineer / Maintenance 5 [#15, #21] Containment, HVAC, and decon systems maintenance; included in staff_wages and facilities_maintenance.
Administrative Staff 4 [#16, #24] Admin, case managers, and program coordinators supporting monitoring and cover operations; included in staff_wages.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#1, #9] Executive oversight for the site research and containment program; included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
High uncertainty in scale (percent of global infection redacted), wide ranges for many line items, and scenario-dependent multipliers; estimates use mid-range assumptions for a major-site modular deployment rather than full global saturation.
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