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SCP-3379 Euclid ? low confidence
SCP-3379
Expected annual
$31.8M
One-time setup
$70.1M
Annual recurring
$26.6M
Personnel
43
Initial one-time capital for a modest, permanent containment program is approximately $70.1M, driven primarily by purchase of two ice-class patrol vessels, ROV/AUV inventory, and sensor/containment equipment. Annual recurring operations are roughly $26.6M/yr, dominated by crew and research salaries, vessel operating costs, contingency reserves, and ongoing legal/liaison/intelligence expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $70.1M
Equipment $62.7M
[#1, #5, #7, #9, #13, #15, #33, #35] Purchase of two ice-capable patrol vessels (capital), rugged ice-rated buoys and moorings, underwater sensor array, ROV/AUV inventory, cold-chain/freezer containers, field hazmat kits, ice-strengthened RIBs, and archival/transfer setup.
Facilities $3.8M
[#17, #28] Construction/installation of a small shore research base (modest/basic build) and installation of diesel generators/fuel storage and related site infrastructure.
Legal And Diplomatic Initial $2.8M
[#22] Initial negotiation/legal/liaison fees and up-front costs to pursue formal cooperation or permits with host-nation authorities.
Neutralization R And D $600K
[#30] Initial R&D into neutralization/disposal methods and pilot trials for hazardous/psychotropic biological materials.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#31] Initial LIMS development/customization and basic laboratory information systems and database customization.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $26.6M/yr
Contingency Fund $10.0M/yr
[#25] Annual emergency/incident-response reserve for rapid icebreaker hire, large-scale recovery, or surge operations.
Staff Wages $5.2M/yr
[#3, #18] Vessel crewing and onboard security (2 vessels × ~12 crew = 24 staff) and research/lab staff salaries (marine biologists, pathologists, technicians).
Facilities Maintenance $4.8M/yr
[#4, #6, #20, #28] Vessel operating costs (fuel, cold-weather maintenance, dry-dock cycles), buoy seasonal maintenance/replacement, long-term specimen storage maintenance, and shore-station fuel/resupply.
Research And Monitoring $1.9M/yr
[#8, #10, #19, #29, #31, #30] Sonar/sensor operations and telemetry, ROV/AUV operations and maintenance, per-specimen specialized analyses, environmental monitoring/compliance, LIMS hosting/maintenance, and ongoing neutralization/process costs.
Logistics And Transport $1.8M/yr
[#11, #12, #21, #27, #33] Helicopter charter standby/medevac and light cargo, contracting heavy-lift services for occasional recoveries, inter-site transportation logistics (cargo/airfreight), personnel rotation travel/accommodations, and RIB operations.
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#22, #23, #32] Ongoing legal/liaison/permit maintenance, notice-to-mariners/compensation pool and limited PR/community engagement to control disclosure.
Intelligence And Counter Disclosure $800K/yr
[#24] Covert surveillance, monitoring of nearby traffic, counter-disclosure operations and cybersecurity for collected data.
Insurance And Liability $600K/yr
[#26] Hull, P&I, environmental liability, and medevac/operational insurance premiums for Arctic/hazardous operations.
Supplies And Consumables $160K/yr
[#14, #16] Cold-chain consumables and power for freezers, and biohazard waste disposal (per-specimen incineration/secure disposal averaged across year).
Training And Certification $150K/yr
[#34] Arctic survival, HAZMAT, ROV certification, and regular safety drills.
Vessel Charter $0/yr
[#2] Charter alternative (very high recurring cost) — baseline assumes owned vessels; charter model is modeled separately in scenarios.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $26.6M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with owned vessels and no major incidents; routine recoveries and analyses only.
no_major_incidents normal_operations
🚨 Charter Heavy $106.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$80.0M vs baseline
Forced to operate via long-term charter of ice-capable vessels (e.g., lack of host-nation cooperation or loss of owned vessels), greatly increasing annual recurring costs.
host-nation_refusal loss_of_owned_assets diplomatic_crisis
🚨 Major Incident $34.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Large or clustered emergences requiring emergency icebreaker hire, extended heavy-lift operations, mass analyses, and accelerated disposal/containment efforts.
mass_emergence large_specimen_recovery containment_incident
👥 Personnel 43 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] Small rotating security teams assigned to vessels and site security.
Maritime Crew (Captain / Engineer / Deckhand) 18 [#1, #3] Crew to operate two ice-class patrol vessels (captains, engineers, deckhands) totaling ~24 personnel including security; 18 non-security maritime crew represented here.
Research Scientist 6 [#18, #19] Marine biologists, pathologists, geneticists and lead scientists conducting analyses and experiments.
Technician / Lab Technician 8 [#9, #10, #31] Laboratory technicians, ROV/AUV pilots and instrument operators responsible for sample processing and vehicle operations.
Medical Officer / Pathologist 2 [#3, #18] Medical staff for onboard sickbay and necropsy/pathology support for specimens.
Lab Manager / Administrative Staff 2 [#18, #31] Lab manager and administrative personnel for LIMS, chain-of-custody and permit administration.
ROV Pilot / AUV Operator 1 [#9, #10] Dedicated pilot/operator for complex under-ice ROV/AUV operations (additional pilots covered in technician counts as needed).
📋 Confidence Notes
SCP-3379 operations are subject to high uncertainty: unpredictable emergence frequency/size, host-nation (Russian) territorial/diplomatic constraints, and the choice between purchased assets vs. charter can change recurring costs by an order of magnitude. Many estimates are midpoints of broad ranges provided in analyst notes.
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