SCP-3391
Safe
~
medium confidence
SCP-3391
Expected annual
$23.9M
One-time setup
$89.3M
Annual recurring
$23.1M
Personnel
112
Upfront capital (vessels, ROVs/submersible, and biosecure lab build) is large (~$89.4M one-time), while annual operations are dominated by ship operations, crew wages, and contingency/reserve costs (~$23.1M/yr). Main drivers are maritime assets and continuous scientific monitoring plus diplomatic/cover expenses.
One-Time Capital Costs
Total: $89.3M
Annual Recurring Costs
Total: $23.1M/yr
Cost Scenarios
📊
Baseline
(baseline)
$23.1M/yr
Normal operational year under Foundation-owned asset model with no major incidents.
routine patrols
scheduled research campaigns
no significant incidents
🚨
Lease Partnership
$25.1M/yr
Foundation leases vessels / partners with Greek Navy to reduce capital outlays but pays higher annual fees.
strategic decision to lease
increased annual reimbursements
🚨
Minor Incident
$23.4M/yr
Single moderate maritime incident requiring boarding, detention, amnestic use, and limited media/legal response.
civilian breach of exclusion zone
board-and-amnestic response
local media attention
🚨
Major Breach
$33.1M/yr
Significant containment breach or large-scale exposure requiring MTF deployment, asset loss/repair, major legal action and remediation.
large anomalous activity
multiple civilian exposures
asset loss or major legal claims
Personnel
112 total
| Role | Count | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Naval crew (officers/engineers/deckhands/cooks/medics) | 100 | [#3] Full crewing for 4 vessels with rotation; estimate based on 20–40 personnel/ship. |
| Research Scientist / Technical Staff | 12 | [#18] Marine biologists, ecotoxicologists, geneticists, pathologists, chemists and data analysts funded in recurring research salaries. |
Confidence Notes
Estimates are based directly on analyst-provided ranges; many line items (vessel class, lease vs purchase, frequency/severity of incidents) have wide ranges which drives uncertainty. Line-item mappings are explicit but high-level assumptions (asset classes, staffing levels) introduce medium confidence.