SCP-340 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-340
Expected annual
$3.2M
One-time setup
$3.6M
Annual recurring
$3.0M
Personnel
18
Initial capital outlay estimated at $3,615,000 driven mainly by specialized equipment and facility buildout; main recurring drivers are staff wages, medical supplies and contingency reserves totaling about $3,027,500/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.6M
Equipment $2.0M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #12, #15, #16, #17, #18, #19, #24] HVAC unit and installation, heating/temperature-control hardware, bulk water treatment systems, liquid waste equipment, autoclave or waste-incineration capacity, infusion pumps, environmental sensors/cameras, remote handling/ROV systems, specialized tooling, core analytical instruments (sequencer/mass spec/microscopy), backup generator/UPS, and initial transport containment hardware.
Industrialization Program $1.0M
[#30] Optional capital for pilot plants / industrial R&D (lower-end option included as an explicit one-time line).
Facilities $580K
[#1, #2, #21, #27] Tank construction, secondary containment room, decontamination/exit systems and initial tank surfacing and interior work (structural/room-level buildout and sealed walkthroughs).
Ppe Initial $35K
[#11] Initial stock of full-body suits, PAPRs, gloves, boot covers and decon chemicals.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Security staff (24/7 guards), medical staff (nurses/medics for IV administration and monitoring), and resident researchers/technical staff salaries.
Supplies And Consumables $491K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #11, #12, #13, #17, #21] Water-treatment consumables (filters/UV/chemicals), liquid effluent chemicals/disposal, waste disposal/autoclave contracts, ongoing PPE replacements & decon supplies, IV disposables, medication costs (antidepressants + antibiotics), specialized tooling consumables, and decon/laundry chemicals.
Insurance And Contingency $300K/yr
[#26, #29] Insurance reserve and contingency/on-call budget for outbreak response, remediation, and emergency escalation.
Industrialization Operating $250K/yr
[#30] Ongoing operating costs if industrialization / pilot-scale harvesting is pursued (optional recurring cost).
Research And Monitoring $122K/yr
[#14, #15, #28] Routine medical testing/viral surveillance (PCR, serology, panels), environmental sensor calibration/maintenance, and ongoing psychological care/ethics oversight for human hosts.
Facilities Maintenance $95K/yr
[#3, #16, #19, #27] HVAC filter/redundancy maintenance, remote-handling/robot maintenance, generator/fuel testing, and averaged tank resurfacing/biofilm control maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $85K/yr
[#22, #23] Regulatory compliance, legal counsel, record-keeping, and cover/PR costs for plausible deniability if needed.
Utilities And Site Overhead $54K/yr
[#4, #25] Energy cost to maintain tank temperature and general utilities/site overhead (water, sewer surcharges, telecom).
Training And Drills $25K/yr
[#20] Staff biosafety training, emergency drills, SOP development and periodic re-certification.
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#24] Per-transfer contracted costs and routine transport/logistics for samples and occasional secure transfers (baseline small number of transfers assumed).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.0M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; all recurring programs (including optional industrialization operating) active as budgeted.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized exposure, small contamination event, or single-person aspiration requiring enhanced response, testing and limited remediation.
staff_aspiration small_leak localized_contamination
🚨 Major Breach $8.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring large-scale remediation, legal response, PR campaign and potential facility replacement.
public_exposure multi-person_exposure regulatory_enforcement
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $6.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Decision to pursue industrial-scale harvesting/production following a research breakthrough, triggering large capital expansion and increased operating costs.
successful_pilot_results executive_decision_to_scale
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#8] 24/7 coverage across shifts; count chosen to provide minimum 3-shift coverage with overlap.
Medical Officer 4 [#9] Nurses/medics for twice-daily IV administration and on-call coverage.
Research Scientist / Lab Technician 6 [#10] Virologists, infectious-disease specialists, lab techs and behavioral staff responsible for resident hosts and research program.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates drawn from analyst-provided ranges; many line items have wide ranges and several optional/OR choices (in-house analytics vs contracting, optional industrialization). Safe-class stability lowers breach probability but biohazard uncertainty keeps confidence at medium.
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