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SCP-3418 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3418
Expected annual
$25.2M
One-time setup
$90.5M
Annual recurring
$24.2M
Personnel
60
Large one-time capital outlays (site, power, specialized hardware, and large contingency reserves) total roughly $90.5M; main recurring drivers are a monthly Class-B aerosol program and on-site staffing, producing ~ $24.2M/year in baseline operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $90.5M
Scale Up Multiplier Reserve $55.0M
[#30] Surge reserve for scale-up multiplier contingency (short-term surge ops reserve midpoint).
Crisis Contingency Fund $15.0M
[#16] Rapid-response reserved fund for major breaches, mass decon, cover-up and emergency procurement (reserve midpoint).
Facilities $10.0M
[#1] Remote riverside outpost construction sized for ~60 staff with secure hardening, incinerator room, armoury and vaults.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.2M
[#2, #19] Dedicated neuroimaging-capable research containment (MRI-capable room, Faraday cage, monitoring rigs) and initial five-specimen containment fit-out.
Equipment $5.1M
[#3, #8, #9, #10, #13, #17, #21, #23, #28] Incinerator purchase, river patrol boats/USVs/ROVs, sensor array hardware, radiation detectors & shielding, secure communications hardware, initial PPE stock, generators/UPS, AI/ML hardware build, robotics/remote manipulators.
Legal Setup One Time $200K
[#14] One-time setup costs for liaison/legal/initial small payments to establish cover arrangements.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $24.2M/yr
Class B Aerosol Program $12.0M/yr
[#4] Monthly Class-B aerosol production and delivery across ~5,000 km² (agent manufacture, leased aircraft/UAV sorties, towers, QC and monitoring) assumed at the lower-bound monthly rate for baseline planning.
Staff Wages $3.5M/yr
[#6] Salaries and benefits for ~60 on-site Foundation FTEs (security, research, med/psych, logistics/tech, admin).
Research And Monitoring $2.3M/yr
[#11, #18, #19, #22, #23, #29, #26] Medical surveillance & decontamination programs, specialist contractor fees (neuroscience/radiobiology/forensics), ongoing specimen monitoring staffing & utilities, public-health epidemiological monitoring, AI/ML ops & tuning, annual audits/compliance, and psychological support programs.
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#8, #20, #15] Boat/USV fuel & maintenance, routine personnel rotation & med-evac/charter availability and monthly population-control checkpoints / cordon enforcement costs.
Cover Story And Legal $1.9M/yr
[#14, #24, #27] Ongoing liaison/legal payments, per-disappearance records/funerals/publication fabrication, and PR/disinformation / media-response team operations.
D Class Provisioning $1.3M/yr
[#7] Provisioning, recruitment, transport, supervision and basic subsistence for ~200 D-Class to maintain required population in AOI.
Facilities Maintenance $605K/yr
[#3, #9, #10, #13, #21, #28] Ongoing maintenance, calibration and consumables for incinerator, river sensor arrays, radiation monitoring/dosimetry, communications bandwidth & upkeep, generator maintenance, and robotics upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $262K/yr
[#12, #17] Waste handling / ash disposal recurring costs and PPE/biohazard consumables replenishment.
Environmental Remediation Reserve $200K/yr
[#25] Annualized expected cost reserve for remediation after neutron/Cherenkov events or significant manifest incidents (annualized expectation of event-driven costs).
Amnestic Administration Per Year $120K/yr
[#5] Estimated Class-A amnestic administration / family interactions assuming ~12 discovered cases/year at $10k average per family (planning figure).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $24.2M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major breaches; regular monitoring, monthly aerosol at baseline rate, and routine operations.
no containment failures monthly aerosol executed at baseline government cooperation maintained
🚨 Minor Incident $26.2M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized manifesting event requiring extra recoveries, short-term surge sorties, increased amnestic and burial/records operations and modest remediation.
localized SCP-3418-2 interruption multiple SCP-3418-1 recoveries in short period
🚨 Major Breach $54.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Containment failure / major manifesting event requiring large-scale decontamination, mass amnestics/cover operations, mobilization of contingency funds and extensive international fallout control.
containment breach large-scale SCP-3418-2 activity international exposure requiring mass response
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#6] On-site security officers maintaining river/watch rotations and cordons.
Research Scientist 15 [#6, #2] Neuroscience and imaging researchers conducting studies on SCP-3418-1 and maintaining instrumentation.
Medical Officer 6 [#6, #11] Medics and medical surveillance staff for staff/civilian screening and emergency care.
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#8, #9, #21] Technical staff for sensor arrays, vessels, generators, robotics and facility upkeep.
Administrative Staff 9 [#6, #14] Operations, liaison coordination, logistics and administrative support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates assemble analyst-provided ranges and midpoints; many drivers (manifestation rate, government cost-sharing, required enforcement levels) are uncertain, producing moderate confidence in the presented baseline and scenario probabilities.
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