SCP-3419 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3419
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
17
First-year one-time capital and setup costs are roughly $2.20M driven by vivarium construction, expansion contingency, and one-time equipment; ongoing annual operations are about $1.73M driven primarily by staff wages, medical/research costs, food, and utilities.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Expansion Relocation Budget $1.0M
[#21] Contingency budget for excavation/construction of additional vivarium module(s) if colony expands.
Facilities $395K
[#1, #14] Vivarium construction and civil works including sealed 3 m dirt layer, reinforced walls/floor, access hatches, demolition/repair of pre-existing structures; one-time sewage/waste treatment installation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#7, #8, #11] Lab buildout and scientific/medical instruments: sequencing and pathology instruments, portable imaging (ultrasound/X-ray) purchases, neonatal incubators and initial clinical equipment for neonatal/accelerated-growth contingencies.
Equipment $180K
[#3, #4, #5, #15, #18] One-time installation of HVAC, CCTV/audio/access control hardware, seismic/ground-penetration sensors/GPR-capable equipment or retainer, secure servers and data hardware, and generator/UPS capital purchase.
Long Term Planning $150K
[#25] One-time allocation for long-term care/retirement/termination planning, legal and disposition planning.
Structural Contingency Reserve $125K
[#20] Reserved contingency fund for unplanned structural reparations from digging/aggression.
Emergency Vehicle $70K
[#19] One-time purchase and equipping of a dedicated emergency response vehicle.
Non Lethal Containment Gear $35K
[#12] Initial stockpile of tranquilizers, z-wraps, nets, syringe guns, storage and associated equipment.
Initial Staff Training $20K
[#17] Initial specialized staff training (handling, non-kinetic restraint, debriefing protocols).
Amnestics Stockpile $18K
[#16] Initial Class-C amnestic stockpile purchase and secure storage setup.
Ppe Initial Procurement $10K
[#13] Initial procurement of biohazard suits, PPE, and decon station equipment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $990K/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #9] Salaries for 24/7 security (baseline 6 guards), medical staff (physician + nurses/techs), research team salaries (PI + techs/analysts), and full-time cleaning/maintenance technicians.
Supplies And Consumables $302K/yr
[#2, #7, #9, #10, #11, #12, #13, #24] Soil/topsoil replenishment, medical consumables and diagnostics, cleaning/decon consumables, food and potable water provisioning, neonatal recurring supplies, pharmaceuticals/tranquilizer replacements, PPE replacements, and behavioral enrichment consumables.
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#5, #8, #15, #22] Ongoing research consumables and sequencing, data storage/secure backups, periodic ground-penetrating scans (where billed as recurring research), and telepathic-effect monitoring/specialized mitigation research and screening.
Facilities Maintenance $116K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #14, #18, #20] Ongoing HVAC electricity and maintenance, CCTV/storage maintenance, periodic GPR scans and sensor maintenance, sewage/waste operations, allocated utilities for vivarium, and small annual replenishment of contingency/reserve.
Long Term Care Fund $50K/yr
[#25] Recurring allocation for long-term care, legal/ad hoc costs if long-term housing/retirement/termination becomes implemented.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#16, #23] Ongoing amnestic administration/replenishment, administrative cover-story costs, recordkeeping, audits, and ethics/compliance oversight budgets.
Staff Training And Psych Support $22K/yr
[#17] Ongoing refresher training, staff psychotherapy and debriefing budgets, and HR support for personnel exposed to colony/telepathy.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#19, #2] Operational costs for emergency response vehicle (fuel, maintenance), and occasional deliveries (bulk soil/topsoil transport overlaps with supplies).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
72.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine births and operations contained within existing facility capacity.
no escapes no major structural damage normal birth cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Small containment incident such as limited tunneling damage, localized repairs, or a small medical outbreak requiring extra resources.
localized digging/damage minor escape or medical surge
🚨 Major Breach $2.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant breach or destructive event requiring major repairs, large-scale recapture/medical response, legal exposure and remediation.
large structural failure escape requiring multi-team response substantial property damage
🚨 Expansion Required $2.7M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Colony growth exceeds containment capacity and a new vivarium module or major expansion is constructed.
accelerated reproduction policy decision to allow expansion sustained population growth
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#6] 24/7 onsite security staffing (baseline: 3shifts × 2 guards).
Research Scientist 1 [#8] Principal Investigator overseeing behavioral/genetic research.
Research Technician / Data Analyst 3 [#8] Lab technicians and data analysts supporting sequencing, behavior studies, and monitoring.
Medical Officer 1 [#7] Lead physician for on-site births and medical oversight.
Nurse / Emergency Med Tech 2 [#7] Support staff for neonatal and emergency care.
Cleaning Technician / Vivarium Maintenance 2 [#9] Weekly specialized cleaners and vivarium maintenance technicians.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3, #18] Facilities engineer for HVAC, generators, and structural systems maintenance.
Administrative Staff 1 [#23] Admin/recordkeeping and compliance coordination.
Emergency Response Specialist 0 [#19] Dedicated rapid-response duties are covered by security/MTF; no separate full-time hires budgeted here.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of provided ranges and explicit line-item notes; recurring staffing and consumable costs are reasonably well-specified, but uncertainty remains around reproduction rates, telepathic-effect research needs, and low-probability high-cost events (expansion/major breaches).
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