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SCP-3449 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3449
Expected annual
$121K
One-time setup
$80K
Annual recurring
$120K
Personnel
0.75
One-time setup and hardening estimated at $80,350 driven primarily by a contingency reserve and IT/software integration; recurring annual operations are approximately $119,658/yr driven by dedicated research staff wages, IT monitoring/maintenance, and incident-response/legal overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $80K
Contingency Reserve $50K
[#17] Contingency reserve for escalation (reclassification, dedicated lab or stronger containment).
Software And It Integration $15K
[#6, #11] Records-management quarantine flag development/integration and initial IT scanning/detection implementation (one-time development/implementation fees).
Facilities $6K
[#1] Dedicated tamper-evident locker purchase/installation, badge lock and tamper seals.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4K
[#2, #4, #5] Archival preservation materials, air-gapped imaging workstation (scanner/camera/secure PC/USBs) one-time costs, initial WORM media.
Sop And Documentation Creation $3K
[#7] SOP drafting, quick-reference materials, and one-time production of pocket cards/posters.
Equipment $1K
[#3] Camera and tamper-sensor hardware (one-time purchase/installation portion).
Emergency Isolation Per Incident $1K
[#18] Per-incident secure transport / disposal / incineration costs (one-time per incident estimate).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $120K/yr
Staff Wages $60K/yr
[#8] Dedicated researcher time allocation (lead researcher ~0.5 FTE + small tech support portion aggregated into staff wages).
Administrative Overhead $16K/yr
[#19] Site overhead/apportioned facility and compliance charges (~15% of recurring subtotal).
Research And Monitoring $14K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #10, #11] Recurring storage retention and monitoring fees for camera/video ([#3]), secure storage media replacement ([#4]), offsite cold-storage refresh ([#5]), linguistic forensics/software tool subscriptions/contractor work ([#10]), and IT scanning operations ([#11]).
Incident Response And Audit $10K/yr
[#12] Retainer/reserve for incident investigations, forensic analysis, and containment audits.
Productivity Loss Allowance $5K/yr
[#20] Allowance for minor productivity losses due to extra review cycles and handling of corrupted documentation.
Training And Sops $4K/yr
[#7, #15] Recurrent staff training, refresher sessions, and contamination-mitigation training for IT/admin staff.
Cover Story And Legal $4K/yr
[#13] Legal review, redaction, cover-story materials and controlled records/FOIA responses.
Security Escort Time $3K/yr
[#14] Incremental security/escort time and administrative time for lock/unlock and access logs.
Records Management Maintenance $2K/yr
[#6] Ongoing maintenance and support for records-system quarantine flags and integration.
Supplies And Consumables $1K/yr
[#9] Experimental consumables: paper, pens, typewriter ribbons, gloves, scanner maintenance, small lab supplies.
Facilities Maintenance $300/yr
[#16] Electrical/energy costs for camera, sensors, and workstation.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $120K/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with regular monitoring, research activity, and routine training; no incidents requiring major remediation.
routine_testing scheduled_training normal_monitoring_and_backups
🚨 Minor Incident $132K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$12K vs baseline
Localized leakage or propagation of corrupted text into internal documents requiring focused incident response, extra remediation, and limited legal/PR work.
document_leakage minor_propagation_in_internal_repos staff_mishandling
🚨 Major Breach $195K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Significant propagation, public exposure, or evolution of the anomaly requiring escalation (reclassification, dedicated lab procurement, heavier legal costs).
widespread_propagation public_exposure reclassification_and_scale_up
👥 Personnel 0.75 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 0.5 [#8] Lead researcher time (approx. 0.5 FTE equivalent included in staff wages).
Laboratory Technician / Research Assistant 0.25 [#8] Part-time lab tech support (approx. 0.25 FTE equivalent included in staff wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and reasonable allocations for overlapping one-time/recurring items; contingency and incident-frequency are subjective, producing moderate uncertainty.
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