SCP-3456 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-3456
Expected annual
$201.8M
One-time setup
$574.5M
Annual recurring
$189.0M
Personnel
320
Initial global mitigation and infrastructure require roughly $575M one-time capital for facilities, equipment, and reserves; recurring annual costs are dominated by staff, R&D, covert operations, and contingency replenishment at roughly $189M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $574.5M
Facilities $143.0M
[#8, #19, #22, #15] Includes buildout/retrofit of 20 freshwater-proximate amnestic treatment centers, a single-site heavy-engineering safe-capture capability, safehouse setup pool, and limited hangar/infrastructure for airlift.
Insurance Reserve $100.0M
[#24] Initial insurance/hedging reserve to cover extreme asset seizure, political fallout, or large unplanned expenditures.
Incident Surge Reserve $100.0M
[#29, #26] Reserve fund sized for major incident surge expenditures (reconstruction, large-scale amnestic/PR operations).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $82.0M
[#4, #18, #23] AI/automated-detection development, initial high-energy/exotic containment R&D lab buildout, and specialized forensic/autopsy lab setup.
Equipment $78.0M
[#3, #5, #6, #7, #15, #11, #20] Purchase and deployment of sensor array hardware, autonomous ground robots, amphibious UAV/boats, water tanker fleet, helicopter airframes (capital), comms hardware, and initial data/redaction toolkit.
Compensation Reserve $50.0M
[#13] Initial front funds/reserve for compensation, disaster relief, and hush payments.
Amnestic Stockpile $20.0M
[#9] Initial inventory/manufacturing stockpile for Class G amnestics (10k-dose scale, QA, storage).
Ppe And Protocols Setup $1.0M
[#16, #27] Initial procurement of non-visual PPE, doctrine development, and set-up of non-visual operational protocols/training infrastructure.
Strategic Monitoring Setup $500K
[#1] Initial setup of strategic risk assessment & global monitoring program (non-recurring setup costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $189.0M/yr
High Energy R And D $30.0M/yr
[#18] Recurring operations and staffing for high-energy/exotic containment research programs.
Staff Wages $27.9M/yr
[#1, #10, #14, #25] Salaries and benefits for monitoring analysts, mobile amnestic response teams, embedded liaison officers (salary portion), and security/guard forces for critical facilities.
Facilities Maintenance $24.0M/yr
[#8, #22, #3] Annual operating costs for freshwater-proximate treatment centers, safehouse upkeep, and major facility upkeep associated with containment infrastructure.
Incident Reserve Replenishment $20.0M/yr
[#29, #26] Annual top-up to maintain accessible incident surge/reserve funds for reconstruction and major event response.
Logistics And Transport $12.0M/yr
[#15, #6, #7] Annual airlift/aircraft ops, amphibious fleet logistics, and rapid water-logistics transport/operations.
Compensation Replenishment $10.0M/yr
[#13] Annual replenishment to maintain the compensation/disaster-relief front fund.
Insurance Replenishment $10.0M/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment of insurance/hedging reserves.
Supplies And Consumables $7.0M/yr
[#9, #7, #16] Annual consumables including amnestic administration supplies (partial), emergency freshwater consumables, PPE replacement, and medical disposables.
Satellite Imagery Subscriptions $7.0M/yr
[#2] Near-real-time commercial satellite imagery global subscription program.
Cover Story And Legal $5.0M/yr
[#12] Baseline covert medical/legal/PR cover-up operations budget (media management, local contractors, legal retentions).
Amnestic Replenishment $5.0M/yr
[#9] Annual production, QA, and replenishment of Class G amnestic stockpile.
Safe Capture Ops Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#19] Annual budget for potential field testing, capture attempts, and specialized deployment operations.
Data Ops $5.0M/yr
[#20] Annual digital-forensics, redaction, secure archiving operations, and contractor rapid-response for viral events.
Evacuation Training $5.0M/yr
[#21] Annual public-safety training and civilian evacuation planning program costs (global exercises and support).
Liaison Program $4.0M/yr
[#14] Non-salary recurring costs for embedded liaison programs (travel, covert payments, per-diem, in-country contractors).
Research And Monitoring $2.0M/yr
[#1, #21] Ongoing monitoring program operations (non-salary analysis overhead), and low-level research/monitoring program costs.
Forensic Lab Ops $2.0M/yr
[#23] Ongoing running costs for specialized forensic autopsy and tissue analysis capability.
Psychological Support $1.5M/yr
[#17] Ongoing psychological care, monitoring, and post-amnestic treatment programs for survivors and staff.
Ai Ops $1.0M/yr
[#4] Cloud/operations costs, secure hosting, and automated-detection maintenance for exclusionary AI systems.
Freshwater Supplies $1.0M/yr
[#7] Annual emergency freshwater supplies, bladder replacements, pumping consumables, and per-deployment water costs.
Ppe And Training Ops $1.0M/yr
[#16, #27] Annual training program costs, recertification, and PPE replacement for non-visual doctrine.
Ethics And Compliance Unit $1.0M/yr
[#28] Recurring funding for internal ethical/legal oversight and compliance staff.
Narrative Research $1.0M/yr
[#30] Ongoing historical reattribution, academic planting, and narrative-maintenance research budget.
Robot Fleet Maintenance $500K/yr
[#5] Annual maintenance, spare parts, and remote operations for the autonomous ground robot fleet.
Comms Ops $500K/yr
[#11] Ongoing operations for hardened non-visual communications, secure servers, and telemetry.
Amphibious Uav Maintenance $400K/yr
[#6] Annual upkeep and spares for amphibious UAVs/boats.
Sensor Network Maintenance $200K/yr
[#3] Annual maintenance, power, and secure communications for ground acoustic/seismic sensor arrays.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $189.0M/yr
54.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing monitoring, maintenance, R&D, and cover operations; no major SCP-3456 incidents requiring large surge expenditures.
no major manifestations routine maintenance and training
🚨 Minor Incident $199.0M/yr
40.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized manifestation requiring rapid-response teams, limited amnestic use, temporary water logistics and PR/cover operations.
single-theater manifestation small-to-moderate amnestic deployment localized PR and reconstruction
🚨 Major Incident $264.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline
City-scale manifestation needing large evacuation, significant amnestic use, major cover-up expenditures, and heavy engineering response.
large urban manifestation multiple simultaneous appearances extensive infrastructure damage
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $689.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Multi-city or sustained high-casualty events requiring full deployment of reserves, international-level reconstruction, and accelerated R&D scale-up.
simultaneous multi-region manifestations mass casualties and viral attention need for international-scale reconstruction
👥 Personnel 320 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 240 [#25, #22] Guard forces for 20 facilities and safehouses (12 guards per facility × 20 facilities) included in staff wages.
Medical Officer / Mobile Amnestic Responder 40 [#10, #8, #9] Mobile response team sized per-theater (40 responders) responsible for mass amnestic administration and triage; salaries included in staff wages.
Research/Monitoring Analyst 10 [#1] Global monitoring and strategic risk analysis team (6–12 analysts mapped here); salaries included in staff wages.
Liaison Officer / Embedded Agent 20 [#14] Embedded officers with militaries/NGOs/local governments; salary portion included in staff wages (operational payments budgeted separately).
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#5, #3, #6, #15] Technical staff for autonomous fleets, sensors, amphibious assets, and airlift maintenance; included in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low confidence due to wide value ranges in analyst notes, large contingency/reserve items, uncertain incident frequency/severity, and unknowns about SCP behavior and potential escalation.
← SCP-3455 ↑ All SCPs SCP-3457 →